Adaptation:
Download
1 / 20

Ana Iglesias Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain EastAgri Annual Meeting 2010 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 119 Views
  • Uploaded on

Adaptation: managing the unavoidable Roundtable 3: Can agricultural investment coexist with climate change policies?. Ana Iglesias Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain EastAgri Annual Meeting 2010 Istanbul, 13-14 Oct 2010 Roundtable 3 (October 14, 900 – 1230 h).

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about ' Ana Iglesias Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain EastAgri Annual Meeting 2010' - samira


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript

Adaptation: managing the unavoidableRoundtable 3: Can agricultural investment coexist with climate change policies?

Ana Iglesias

Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain

EastAgri Annual Meeting 2010

Istanbul, 13-14 Oct 2010

Roundtable 3 (October 14, 900 – 1230 h)


1 key issue can agricultural investment coexist with climate change policies?

2 challenges

  • Speak a common language (prioritise reasons for concern)

  • Improve dialogue between science, policy and society (define how, lessons from EU initiatives, measures that make sense today and in the future)

    (academic point of vies, some thoughts and some examples)


Reasons for concern

Financial crisis, terror, inequality, degradation of the environment, …

Common element: global issues, what happens in one place has an influence on what happens in another place


Food importers are buying agricultural land of poor countries

Defining the baseline is difficult


High risk, highly certain countries

Medium risk, some uncertainty

Possible opportunity,

if management is adequate

“The adaptation gap” Can optimal management decrease vulnerability to climate?


Example 1 changes in land productivity iglesias et al 2007 2010
Example 1 countriesChanges in land productivity (Iglesias et al 2007; 2010)

HadCM3A2

HadCM3B2

We do not know how our world would be like in the future



What might a low GHG diet look like? countries(Source: T. Garnett, 2009)

  • Not overeating

  • Much less meat and dairy

  • Seasonal field grown foods

  • Not eating certain foods

  • Reducing dependence on cold chain

  • Wasting less

  • Efficient cooking

  • Redefining quality


6 Evaluation criteria countries

  • Mitigation potential

  • Externalities

  • Barriers to implementation (tech., ec., social)

  • Interest to farmers

  • May be included in CAP?

  • Incentives?

6 Measures with high mitigation potential

  • Catch crops

  • Reduced tillage

  • Use crop residues

  • Optimising fertiliser use

  • Increase wood crops

  • Optimal pasture renewal

Source: PICCMAT (6th FP EU)

10


Example 2 water

Additional population under extreme stress of water shortage countries

120

Population (millions)

80

40

0

2020

2050

2080

Example 2: Water

University of Southampton

11


12 countries


14 countries


Example 3: Human displacement countries

http://ciesin.columbia.edu/publications.html


Improve dialogue science, policy, society countries

Example 4: Lessons from EU initiatives (EC White paper on adaptation; EU funded research)

16


Axis 1 countries

  • Farm modernization

  • Restoring & prevention

  • Farm advisory services

  • Training

    Axis 2

  • Agri-env measures

  • Payments linked to WFD

    Axis 3

  • Diversification into non-agricultural activities

    Leader

Role of RD (CAP)

A flexible framework


natural water resources countries

regulation infrastructure

non-conventional

resources

Policy

water availability

Policy

nature

non-nature uses

essential

productive

Policy

Role of WFD

Policy

water recycling

Source: Garrote et al., 2010


Example 4: countriesEvaluation (and valuation) of policy action (Iglesias et al., 2010)

HadCM3/HIRHAMB2 scenario, 2071-2100, (% yield change)

(1) Emphasis on water resources protection and urban development

(2) Farm adaptation without policy support (private)

(3) Emphasis on agricultural production and rural development


Reasons for concern when we think about climate change countries

Consequences are too unequal

Uncertainty

Deciding on the solutions that are appropriate (the how issue)


thank you countries

[email protected]

Presentation made at the:

EastAgri Annual Meeting 2010

Istanbul, 13-14 Oct 2010

Roundtable 3 (October 14, 900 – 1230 h)


ad