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Higher Density Housing: Adelaide’s Future? . Andrew Beer Centre for Housing, Urban and Regional Planning . Agenda . The Demographic Imperative The Affordability Imperative Industry Structure and Process Outcomes . The Demographic Imperative .

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Higher Density Housing: Adelaide’s Future?

Andrew Beer

Centre for Housing, Urban and Regional Planning


Agenda

  • The Demographic Imperative

  • The Affordability Imperative

  • Industry Structure and Process

  • Outcomes


The Demographic Imperative


Changed Life Histories, Change Housing Transitions


Number of Australian Households Resident in Flats and Semi Detached Dwellings, 1996-2006


Household Type Where Children are Defined as Dependents Under 24 Years, 1996, 2001 and 2006, Australia


Household Type Where Children are Defined as Dependents Under 15 Years, 1996, 2001 and 2006, Australia


The Affordability Imperative


Tenure Across Australia, 1991, 1996 and 2006


Number of Households in the Bottom 40 Per Cent of the Income Distribution Paying 30 Per cent or More for their Housing


%of Households in the Bottom 40 Per Cent of the Income Distribution Paying 30 Per cent or More for their Housing


Number of Households in the Top 60 Per Cent of the Income Distribution Paying 30 Per cent or More for their Housing


% of Households in the Top 60 Per Cent of the Income Distribution Paying 30 Per cent or More for their Housing


Industry Structure and Process


Industry Structure, Adelaide and Sydney 2006


Outcomes


Top 20 SLAs to Record an Increase in Households Resident in Buildings Four or More Storeys High, 1996 to 2006.


Impediments and Challenges

  • Families and higher density housing

    • Children falling from height

    • Access to play space

    • Cultural preference/usability of open space

  • Cost of land

    • Radford et al 2003

  • Cost of construction

    • Gratten Institute estimates building and construction one of the most ‘protected’ industries in Australia

  • Tax system

    • Reinforces preference amongst small scale investors for detached dwellings

  • Strata title and strata title management costs

  • Planning regulation/government housing policy


Key Drivers

  • On going strength in education sectors

  • Higher energy costs

  • Shifting industry structure

    • Services

  • Ageing of the population

  • Population growth


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