The Future of Telecommunications

2. The Future of Telecommunications John A. Phillips Nortel, ETSI General Assembly Chairman 2007 World Electronics Forum, Tel Aviv, 5th November 2007

3. Pervasive, Personal Broadband Mobility & Intelligence Network Build-Out Connectivity Every Application Communicates Everything Connects Industry Landscape Future 2007 Expectations/Trends 2000 1995 Broadband Access is Everywhere 1990

4. Pervasive personal broadband • Hyper-Connectivity – evolution from being fully connected, (meaning everybody is on the network), to being hyper-connected, (meaning the range of devices and entities on the network far outpaces the number of people consuming the services offered by those devices). • Communications-Enabled Applications – applications to support new levels of network-aware intelligence and an intuitive interaction experience through advanced technology frameworks such as IMS and Services Oriented Architecture (SOA). • True broadband – the communications experience is so seamless that users no longer have to consider which technology – wire line or wireless – is being used to make a connection. They simply communicate, anywhere, anytime from whichever device is most convenient. Most importantly, the broadband experience becomes so economical that the range of uses exceeds any experience of the past.

5. Hyperconnectivity is Realand Happening Now Machine to Machine Person to Person Person to Machine • By 2010, worldwide: • 4-fold growth in Internet Commerce to 100B transactions • 1-2 billion A-GPS-enabled handsets • 98% of all CPUs today are embedded (by 2010 – 14 billion connected, embedded devices) • 70%+ of all 2007cars in U.S. have iPOD connectivity • Europe – mobile phones now outnumber people (103% penetration) • Global mobile IM grew 33% 2H06 • 100 million iPODs sold (market to double 2005 – 2010) • Sensor pocket in Nike shoes • iPhone available in June; hyper-connectivity at applications level • One Laptop Per Child

6. Anything that can be connected and would benefit from being connected will be connected

7. Addressing the Challenge and Opportunity of Hyperconnectivity Hyperconnectivity Pillars of Hyperconnectivity Communications- Enabled Applications “True” Broadband

8. True Broadband • Broader wireline bandwidth to the home and office • Ubiquitous wireless coverage with less expensive infrastructure, more flexibility, wider bandwidth • Seamless integration so the user doesn’t have to know which Unwired homes, offices and public environments

9. 802.16 View 3G View True Broadband – by Wireless Connecting Everything That Should Be Connected Broadband Home Mobile VOIP Metro HotSpot Mobile Video Mobile Data Multimedia Distribution Extended Enterprise

10. Communications-Enabled Applications Every Application will have Built-In Communications Capabilities

11. 3GPP’s IP Multimedia Subsystem • IMS – 3GPP’s IP Multimedia Subsystem – is a multi-vendor SIP connection engine providing access to generic application servers from any connected party • IMS provides applications-enabling service capabilities to a service-aware applications layer: • SIP connection • Resource access control • Collection and delivery of charging data • Presence, security, … • With recent updates to support wireline access as well as wireless,

12. Service Oriented Architecture • Characteristics • Platform independent Services with describing interfaces using XML • Formally defined Messages • Services can be discovered • Policies to define services SLA • SOA is the collection of policies, practices, and frameworks by which the implementer ensures that the right services are provided and consumed to create business value • Key business functions are modularized as re-usable and loosely coupled services, with well-defined interfaces, that can be invoked in a defined sequence to form business processes Composable Interoperable Re-Usable SOA LooselyCoupled From a one-service network to a multi-service network

13. From Proposition to Implementation • The proposition • Anything that can be connected and would benefit from being connected will be connected • Unwired homes, offices and public environments • Every Application will have Built-In Communications Capabilities • From a one-service network to a multi-service network • The implementation • There are opportunities and challenges …

14. Opportunity Increased productivity Better communications experience A more connected world (societal good) Challenge Scale is unprecedented Today’s networks not designed for Hyperconnectivity New technology required to transform much of IT and Telecom Hyperconnectivity: Opportunity & Challenge Businesses that embrace innovation and scale will capture the opportunity of Hyperconnectivity

15. Simplicity New technology has to hide its complexity from the user Security New technology has to provide all of the right security attributes, including adequate privacy in a hyperconnected world, to inspire confidence in its use Dependability New technology has to be very dependable because people will increasingly depend on it From the User Point of View Global standards to achieve the vision