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Lanchester’s Laws in Space. Overview. Introduce Lanchester’s Laws Show a game demo Go through the math How to apply to game design. Lanchester’s Laws. Devised by Frederick Lanchester in WW I Describe the relative strengths of two fighting armies in a war of attrition.

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Presentation Transcript
overview
Overview
  • Introduce Lanchester’s Laws
  • Show a game demo
  • Go through the math
  • How to apply to game design
lanchester s laws
Lanchester’s Laws
  • Devised by Frederick Lanchester in WW I
  • Describe the relative strengths of two fighting armies in a war of attrition.

What’s better: more troops or bigger guns?

slide4

“…a man with a firepower of 2X is not worth twice the value of a man with firepower X, but rather as much, after taking into account one hit on either kills just as dead.”

see also
See Also

The Designer\'s Notebook: Kicking Butt by the Numbers: Lanchester\'s Laws

  • Ernest Adams
lightspeed brigade
Lightspeed Brigade
  • Lots of different tradeoffs between firepower, hitpoints and # of units.
  • Need to balance units, but also create R/P/S relationship.
  • Leave room for future content expansion.
lanchester s laws1
Lanchester’s Laws

Model relationship between numerical advantage (N) and firepower advantage (F)

example fighters vs ninjas
Example: Fighters vs. Ninjas

Suppose:

  • Everyone has 10 hitpoints
  • Ninjas do 1 hitpoint per round.
  • Fighters do 10 hitpoints per round.

How many Ninjas can a Fighter defeat?

case 1 thunderdome2
Case 1: Thunderdome

Equilibrium:

(Lanchester’s Linear Law)

slide28

It could be multiple Thunderdomes

  • 1-on-1 fighting is the important property
case 2 gun fight1
Case 2: Gun Fight
  • Combatants gang up for maximum attrition.
  • No Overkill
  • No “Underkill”
case 2 gun fight2
Case 2: Gun Fight

Equilibrium:

(Lanchester’s Square Law)

lanchester s laws2
Lanchester’s Laws
  • Thunderdome
  • Gun Fight
point value of a unit
Point Value of a Unit
  • How many Ninjas is a unit worth?
  • Solve for N.
point value of a unit1
Point Value of a Unit
  • Thunderdome
  • Gun Fight
variable hitpoints1
Variable Hitpoints
  • Thunderdome
  • Gun Fight
    • 2 guys can beat 2x firepower OR 2x health
    • But not both.
  • Works for heterogeneous armies.
two extremes
Two extremes
  • Thunderdome
  • Gun Fight
  • In General
k represents inefficiency
k represents inefficiency

Sources of inefficiency:

  • Limited range and/or movement
  • Limited space
  • Overkill
  • Underkill

Wikipedia: Modern calculations use k =⅔

factors that don t affect efficiency
Factors that Don’t Affect Efficiency
  • Multipliers on F
    • fire rate
    • to-hit chance
  • Multipliers on H
    • dodge chance
    • damage reduction
factors that don t f it the model
Factors that Don’t Fit the Model
  • Healing/Regeneration
  • Per-hit damage thresholds
  • Etc.
back to lightspeed brigade
Back to Lightspeed Brigade
  • Different ship sizes and ship costs
  • Rock/Paper/Scissors relationship
creating rock paper scissors
Creating Rock/Paper/Scissors
  • Create match-ups that are inefficient for each side.
ai changes were needed
AI changes were needed
  • Dreadnoughts: Don’t bother shooting at fighters.
  • Cruisers: Change targets quickly. Only steer at one target.
explicit r p s mechanics avoided
Explicit R/P/S Mechanics Avoided
  • One less rule to learn
  • Leave room for future expansion
if it s r p s why do point values matter
If it’s R/P/S, why do Point Values matter?
  • You could end up with a “lopsided” R/P/S:
    • Rock beats Scissors handily
    • But Paper beats Rock just barely.
to sum up
To Sum Up
  • “Thunderdome” and “Gun Fight” have perfect solutions.
  • Your game lies between them.
  • Lanchester’s laws can give you a head start on point values.
  • Still no substitute for playtest.
  • Spreadsheets are awesome.
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