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Whither Speech Technology? A Twenty-First Century Perspective Steven Greenberg International Computer Science Institute

Whither Speech Technology? A Twenty-First Century Perspective Steven Greenberg International Computer Science Institute 1947 Center Street, Berkeley, CA 94704 http://www.icsi.berkeley.edu/~steveng steveng@icsi.berkeley.edu. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology.

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Whither Speech Technology? A Twenty-First Century Perspective Steven Greenberg International Computer Science Institute

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  1. Whither Speech Technology? A Twenty-First Century Perspective Steven Greenberg International Computer Science Institute 1947 Center Street, Berkeley, CA 94704 http://www.icsi.berkeley.edu/~steveng steveng@icsi.berkeley.edu

  2. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology

  3. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology Speech Technology Research is Currently in a Parlous State

  4. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology Speech Technology Research is Currently in a Parlous State A Train Wreck About to Happen

  5. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology Speech Technology Research is Currently in a Parlous State A Train Wreck About to Happen

  6. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically

  7. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating

  8. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites

  9. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists

  10. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology?

  11. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent

  12. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre

  13. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse)

  14. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing

  15. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment

  16. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment • Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development

  17. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment • Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development • Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur

  18. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment • Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development • Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur • Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing

  19. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment • Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development • Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur • Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing • Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles

  20. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment • Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development • Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur • Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing • Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles • A few sites tend to obtain the lion’s share of the available funding

  21. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment • Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development • Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur • Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing • Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles • A few sites tend to obtain the lion’s share of the available funding • This is no way to sustain innovative research development

  22. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment • Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development • Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur • Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing • Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles • A few sites tend to obtain the lion’s share of the available funding • This is no way to sustain innovative research development • The Situation is Likely to Worsen Over the Coming Years

  23. The Coming Crisis in Speech Technology • Demands on Speech Technology are Increasing Dramatically • Its incorporation into operating systems, voice portals, call centers, etc. is accelerating • This Increasing Demand is Placing Severe Pressure on Academic Sites • There is relatively little funding to support the training of speech savvy engineers and scientists • From whence will come the future innovators and leaders in speech technology? • Yet the Ability to Truly Satisfy Such Demands is Not Readily Apparent • The quality of current speech technology is mediocre (or worse) • The pace of scientific and engineering innovation is slowing • The Commercial Sector is Likely to Experience Severe Disappointment • Resulting in significant consumer backlash and cutbacks in speech tech development • Retrenchment in the corporate sector is already beginning to occur • Government Funding for Speech Technology Research is Slowing • Government funding tends to conform to “boom” or “bust” cycles • A few sites tend to obtain the lion’s share of the available funding • This is no way to sustain innovative research development • The Situation is Likely to Worsen Over the Coming Years • Is there “light” at the end of this “Dark Valley”?

  24. From Alchemy to Speech Technology • There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore

  25. From Alchemy to Speech Technology • There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore • Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little

  26. From Alchemy to Speech Technology • There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore • Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little • There was massive investment in Biotech (Genentech, etc.) over a 20-year interval

  27. From Alchemy to Speech Technology • There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore • Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little • There was massive investment in Biotech (Genentech, etc.) over a 20-year interval • Significant returns from Biotech investment are only now coming to fruition

  28. From Alchemy to Speech Technology • There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore • Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little • There was massive investment in Biotech (Genentech, etc.) over a 20-year interval • Significant returns from Biotech investment are only now coming to fruition • Biotech and Pharmaceutical Companies Invest $Billions in Academia

  29. From Alchemy to Speech Technology • There are Parallels between Today’s Speech Tech and the Biotech of Yore • Biotech of the 1970’s and 1980’s promised much, but delivered relatively little • There was massive investment in Biotech (Genentech, etc.) over a 20-year interval • Significant returns from Biotech investment are only now coming to fruition • Biotech and Pharmaceutical Companies Invest $Billions in Academia • This amount stands in stark contrast to the paltry sums invested by speech tech

  30. Beyond Freedom and Discipline • There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley”

  31. Beyond Freedom and Discipline • There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” • A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives

  32. Beyond Freedom and Discipline • There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” • A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives (for the better)

  33. Beyond Freedom and Discipline • There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” • A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives (for the better) • Building on technology’s capability of fostering a boom in the communications industry

  34. Beyond Freedom and Discipline • There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” • A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives (for the better) • Building on technology’s capability of fostering a boom in the communications industry • And helping to alleviate behavioral deficits associated with communication disorders

  35. Beyond Freedom and Discipline • There is an Alternative Scenario to the “Dark Valley” • A scenario that focuses on the potential for speech technology to transform our lives (for the better) • Building on technology’s capability of fostering a boom in the communications industry • And helping to alleviate behavioral deficits associated with communication disorders (such as hearing impairment and speech production problems)

  36. Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research • In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research ….

  37. Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research • In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research …. • The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites

  38. Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research • In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research …. • The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites • Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously

  39. Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research • In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research …. • The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites • Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously • Industry, government and academic leaders need to define short, intermediate and long term goals with forethought and precision

  40. Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research • In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research …. • The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites • Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously • Industry, government and academic leaders need to define short, intermediate and long terms goals with forethought and precision • But foster creative means with which to accomplish these objectives

  41. Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research • In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research …. • The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites • Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously • Industry, government and academic leaders need to define short, intermediate and long terms goals with forethought and precision • But foster creative means with which to accomplish these objectives • In order to effect a balance between scientific and technological perspectives in defining the speech research of tomorrow

  42. Towards a “Golden Age” of Speech Research • In Order to Kick Start an Age of Innovative Research …. • The Speech Tech industry needs to collaborate far more closely with academic sites • Government funding agencies need to fund speech research far more generously • Industry, government and academic leaders need to define short, intermediate and long terms goals with forethought and precision • But foster creative means with which to accomplish these objectives • In order to effect a balance between scientific and technological perspectives in defining the speech research of tomorrow (as well as the coming century)

  43. For Further Information ….

  44. For Further Information …. See the Proceedings Paper

  45. For Further Information …. See the Proceedings Paper Whither Speech Technology?

  46. For Further Information …. See the Proceedings Paper Whither Speech Technology? – A Twenty-First Century Perspective

  47. That’s All, Folks Many Thanks for Your Time and Attention

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