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Kyle A. Poyar 2008 Ernest F. Hollings Scholar Candidate for A.B. in Environmental Studies Presentation to CES: April 30, 2010 Contact: [email protected] // a ssessing the economic efficiency of climate adaptation in R hode I sland //. beyond no regrets. Climate Change in the U.S.

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beyond no regrets

Kyle A. Poyar

2008 Ernest F. Hollings Scholar

Candidate for A.B. in Environmental Studies

Presentation to CES: April 30, 2010

Contact: [email protected]

//assessing the economic efficiency of climate adaptation in Rhode Island //

beyond no regrets

climate change in the u s
Climate Change in the U.S.

“… unequivocal…”

“… occurring now…”

- U.S. Global Change Research Program (2009)

moving beyond no regrets
Moving Beyond No Regrets

Adapted from Poyar and Beller-Simms, 2009.

my project
My Project
  • How could one apply economic methods to climate change adaptation policy?
  • How much will climate change-induced heat waves and hurricanes cost RI in $ terms?
  • When would adaptation be cost-effective?
key considerations
Key Considerations
  • Net Present Value
  • Discount Rate
    • 3%
  • Value of Human Life
    • $6.9 million per life
heat waves climate change and human health
Heat Waves, Climate Change, and Human Health

2003 European Heat Wave Kills 25,000

Urban Heat Island Effect

hurricanes and r i
Hurricanes and R.I.

New England Hurricane of 1938

adaptation options
Adaptation Options
  • Heat Waves
    • Air-Conditioning
    • Warning and Alert Systems
    • Urban Forestry
  • Hurricanes
    • Relocation
    • Strengthen buildings
    • Hurricane barriers
    • Preparedness , Evacuation
adaptation options1
Adaptation Options
  • Heat Waves
    • Air-Conditioning
    • Warning and Alert Systems
    • Urban Forestry
  • Hurricanes
    • Relocation
    • Strengthen buildings
    • Hurricane barriers
    • Preparedness , Evacuation
conclusions
Conclusions
  • Adaptation to heat waves and hurricanes can be justified on cost-effectiveness grounds
  • Cost-benefit analyses can support projects with substantial benefits to vulnerable populations
  • Rhode Island should start taking bold adaptation action today
thank you
J. Timmons Roberts, Brown University

Sri Nagavarapu, Brown University

Nancy Beller-Simms, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Gordon Sparks, University of Saskatchewan

Josh Foster, Center for Clean Air Policy

Ivo Welch, Brown University

Kurt Teichert, Brown University

Fellow CES Students and ENV 201 Classmates

THANK YOU!
discussion
Discussion
  • What needs to happen (e.g. public awareness) for adaptation to move forward?
discussion1
Discussion
  • To what extent should adaptation be a local, state, versus national issue?
discussion2
Discussion
  • How can Brown students become more engaged in climate adaptation (policy and research)?
discussion3
Discussion
  • Is cost-benefit analysis appropriate for climate change adaptation? What should be the role of equity, legitimacy, and other policy evaluation criteria?
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