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Recession ? … Depression ?... & A Bright Spot. Abdul Wahab Teffaha Secretary General - Arab Air Carriers Organization. International Conference on Air Transport, Law & Regulation: Challenges for the MEA, Abu Dhabi 14-16 April 2009. Overview.

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Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

Recession ? … Depression ?... &

A Bright Spot

Abdul Wahab Teffaha

Secretary General - Arab Air Carriers Organization

International Conference on Air Transport, Law & Regulation: Challenges for the MEA, Abu Dhabi 14-16 April 2009


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

Overview

  • In spite of a global crisis, Arab Aviation continues its growth

  • Air Transport is STILL a strategic asset .. Especially as an economic catalyst

  • Effects of the crisis on Arab Aviation

  • An Aero-political gridlock .. almost!


In spite of a global crisis arab aviation continues its growth

In spite of a global crisis, Arab Aviation continues its growth


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

AACOMembers and Industry RPKs and ASKs growth

Asian Financial Crisis

SARS

9/11 Attack

Global Recession

Gulf War 1

Gulf War 2

Source: AACO


Air transport is still a strategic asset especially as an economic catalyst

Air Transport is STILL a strategic asset .. Especially as an economic catalyst


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

Passenger Numbers in Arab Airports and Growth

Source: AACO, ACI


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

Top Five Growing Arab Airports

Source: AACO, ACI


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

Arab Air Transport Market

Size and Distribution of Traffic

75.6 Million Pax

85.7 Million Pax

102.6 Million Pax

113.7 Million Pax

Source: AACO, ACI, IATA


Effects of the crisis on arab aviation

Effects of the crisis on Arab Aviation


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

IATA Industry Forecast

Source: IATA, EIU


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

AACO Members RPKs Forecast

5% Lower

+4% over 2008

16% Lower

Source: AACO


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

Arab World and Industry GDP and RPKs Growth

Source: AACO, IATA, IMF


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

AACO Members Traffic Share on Inter-Regional Routes

Source: AACO


An aero political gridlock almost

An Aero-political gridlock .. almost!


Abdul wahab teffaha secretary general arab air carriers organization

An Aero-political gridlock .. almost!

  • Two Arab liberalization agreements ..not really implemented: the main driving force for liberalization is national agendas

  • National economic agendas vary depending on economic attributes .. Hence there is no predominant model that applies regionally

  • Privatization & Liberalization of ownership also depend on national economic attributes

Regional approach can only be achieved through creating a critical mass of like minded countries or .. By external affiliation


Conclusion

Conclusion


Conclusion1

Conclusion

  • In spite of the bright spot .. The long term future of growth depends on structural aero-political change

  • Liberalization & Privatization will become priorities but not uniformly

  • Air transport will continue to be an engine for economic growth


Thank you

Thank you


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