South east asia region 0 jjas
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South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS. Comparison of two observational datasets. Deterministic assessment of skill of the system using the ensemble mean. Ensemble mean and spread. Comparing observations to the spread of the forecast ensemble. Probability forecasts of terciles and tercile observed.

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South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS

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South east asia region 0 jjas

South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS


South east asia region 0 jjas

Comparison of two observational datasets


South east asia region 0 jjas

Deterministic assessment of skill of the system using the ensemble mean


South east asia region 0 jjas

Ensemble mean and spread


South east asia region 0 jjas

Comparing observations to the spread of the forecast ensemble


South east asia region 0 jjas

Probability forecasts of terciles and tercile observed


Roc curves for below normal left and above normal right categories

ROC curves for below normal (left) and above normal (right) categories


Reliability and sharpness diagrams

Reliability and sharpness diagrams


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