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South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS. Comparison of two observational datasets. Deterministic assessment of skill of the system using the ensemble mean. Ensemble mean and spread. Comparing observations to the spread of the forecast ensemble. Probability forecasts of terciles and tercile observed.

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South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS

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South East Asia: Region 0 JJAS


Comparison of two observational datasets


Deterministic assessment of skill of the system using the ensemble mean


Ensemble mean and spread


Comparing observations to the spread of the forecast ensemble


Probability forecasts of terciles and tercile observed


ROC curves for below normal (left) and above normal (right) categories


Reliability and sharpness diagrams


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