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U.S. Chamber of Commerce Economic Outlook July 2010 PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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U.S. Chamber of Commerce Economic Outlook July 2010. Economic Policy Division. Real GDP Outlook. Comparing Recessions. Potential GDP and the Unemployment Rate. Personal Consumption Outlook. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures. Real Disposable Income Per Capita. Household Wealth.

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U.S. Chamber of Commerce Economic Outlook July 2010

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U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

U.S. Chamber of Commerce Economic OutlookJuly 2010

Economic Policy Division


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Real GDP Outlook


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Comparing Recessions


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Potential GDP and the Unemployment Rate


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Personal Consumption Outlook

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures

Real Disposable Income Per Capita

Household Wealth

Retail Sales


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Housing Market Trends

Home Sales

Housing Starts

Housing Inventory

Median Home Prices


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Housing Market Trends

Spread between 30 Year Conventional Mortgage and 10 Year Treasury Note

Housing Affordability Index

Mortgage Delinquency Rates

Mortgage Foreclosure Rates


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Investment

Real Private Investment in Equipment & Software

Real Change in Private Inventories

Real Private Investment - Structures


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Investment Drivers

Industrial Production

Corporate Profits

Purchasing Managers’ Index

Inventory-to-Sales Ratio: Total Business


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

U.S. Trade

Real Net Exports of Goods and Services

Real GDP Growth of Top Trading Partners

U.S. Nominal Trade Weighted Exchange Rate


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Labor Market

Total Nonfarm Jobs

Household Employment

Unemployment Rate June 9.5%

Initial Unemployment Claims


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Labor Market

Part-time for Economic Reasons

Discouraged Workers

Duration ofUnemployment

Civilian Participation Rate


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Inflation

Core Consumer Price Index

Consumer Price Index

Spot Market Price Index: All Commodities

Market Inflation Expectations


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Interest Rates

10-Year Treasury Note Yield

3-Month Treasury Note Yield

Risk Spread

Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield Minus Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield

Yield Spread


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Banking and Credit Markets

TED Spread

3-Month LIBOR Minus 3-Month Treasury

Commercial Paper Spread

30 Day A2/P2 Less AA Nonfinancial CP

Bank Reserve Positions


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

The President’s Budget

(Forecast from CBO)

Deficit to GDP


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Government Debt


Government revenues and outlays of gdp

Government Revenues and Outlays(% of GDP)


U s chamber of commerce economic outlook july 2010

Government Revenues and Outlays

(% Change)


Sources of tax revenue of total revenues fiscal years

Sources of Tax Revenue (% of Total Revenues, Fiscal Years)


Government outlays of total outlays fiscal years

Government Outlays(% of Total Outlays, Fiscal Years)


Mandatory spending of total mandatory spending fiscal years

Mandatory Spending(% of Total Mandatory Spending, Fiscal Years)


Discretionary spending of total discretionary spending fiscal years

Discretionary Spending(% of Total Discretionary Spending, Fiscal Years)


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