Agclimate outlooks delivering climate based information to stakeholders in agriculture
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AgClimate Outlooks: Delivering climate-based information to stakeholders in agriculture. Joel O. Paz, Clyde W. Fraisse, Norman E. Breuer, John G. Bellow and David F. Zierden. NOAA 32 nd Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Tallahassee, FL October 22-26, 2007.

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AgClimate Outlooks: Delivering climate-based information to stakeholders in agriculture

Joel O. Paz, Clyde W. Fraisse, Norman E. Breuer, John G. Bellow and David F. Zierden

NOAA 32nd Climate Diagnostics and Prediction WorkshopTallahassee, FLOctober 22-26, 2007


Agricultural Production in the Southeast

  • Cotton, peanut, corn, soybean, wheat


Agricultural Production in the Southeast

  • Cotton, peanut, corn, soybean, wheat

  • Cattle and calves


Agricultural Production in the Southeast

  • Cotton, peanut, corn, soybean, wheat

  • Cattle and calves

  • Pasture and hay

  • Vegetables

  • Poultry

  • Blueberry, strawberry

  • Peaches, citrus & other fruits


Market Value of Agricultural Products Sold

Source: USDA 2002 Census of Agriculture


ENSO and Agriculture in the SE

  • ENSO significantly influenced the value of corn, peanuts, soybean and tobacco (Hansen et al., 1998).

  • ENSO phases explained an average shift of $212 million, or 26%, in the value of corn.


ENSO and Agriculture in the SE

  • $165 million of losses due to the 1997-1998 El Niño event (Florida Dept. of Ag)


ENSO

Farmer Joe’s Questions

SST


Management Decisions

  • Variety selection

  • Planting dates


Management Decisions

  • Variety selection

  • Planting dates

  • Acreage allocation

  • Amount and type of crop insurance

  • Marketing

  • Purchase inputs


Florida State University – climate studies, coupled modeling, climate forecasts, forestry

University of Alabama Huntsville – climate, water resources

Auburn University – extension, economics, insurance

University of Florida – extension, crop modeling, decision support tools, water resources

University of Georgia – extension, crop modeling, decision support tools, climate,water resources, assessment

University of Miami – climate, economics, water resources, assessment

Southeast Climate Consortium


Major Activities

  • AgClimate (www.AgClimate.org)

  • Training and education

  • Interaction with growers and producers


AgClimate

  • Main mechanism for dissemination of information

    • Tools

    • Outlooks


AgClimate Website

http://www.agclimate.org


AgClimate Tools


El Niño

Oct 1-Jan 15: 560 chill hours


La Niña

Oct 1-Jan 15: 462 chill hours


Seasonal Outlooks


SECC Climate Outlook


Press release

Farmers &Ranchers

SECCClimate Outlook

State ClimatologistsAL, FL, and GA

Extensionmailing list

Regional TV & Radio

SECC Climate Outlook


SECC Climate Outlook


SECC Climate Outlook


State ClimatologistsAL, FL, GA

Press release

Farmers &Ranchers

SECCAg Outlook

Extensionmailing list

Research & Extension (Auburn, UGA, UF)

Regional TV & Radio

SECC Agricultural Outlook

SECCExtensionSpecialists


SECC Agricultural Outlook


Extension Articles


Extension Newsletter


Specific management recommendation- developed by Commodity Extension Specialist


County Agent Trainings

AgClimate workshop (Jan 26, 2005)


County Agent Trainings

AgClimate workshop for county agents (Statesboro, Georgia; Feb 7, 2006)

AgClimate workshop for county agents (Griffin, Georgia; Feb 7, 2007)


Working with Farmers and Stakeholders

Meeting with adivsory group in Headland, Alabama (February 26, 2007).


Working with Research and Extension Faculty

John Bellow showing the different features of the AgCclimate chill accumulation tool to Kathy Taylor (UGA Stone Fruit Specialist) and Frank Funderburk (Peach Co. Extension Coordinator).

L-R: Joel Paz and Rabiu Olatinwo with Bob Kemerait (Extension Plant Pathologist) and Albert Culbreath (Plant Pathologist).


Challenges

  • Provide improved El Niño/La Niña forecasts

  • Improve availability of timely updates

  • How can the SECC improve the partnership with the Ag. Research Faculty and Cooperative Extension Service?


Thank you!

Dr. Joel O. Paz

University of GeorgiaGriffin, GA770-228-7399jpaz@uga.edu


Regional Yield Maps


Rainfed Peanut (Georgia)


SECC Objectives

  • Outreach

  • Research and Development

  • Partnerships

  • Monitoring & Assessment


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