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About the Poll

The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity & Race (WISER), a research center at the University of Washington in the School of Social Sciences. Dr. Gary Segura, a professor of Political Science is the Director of WISER and a co-principal investigator on this survey with Dr. Matt Barreto, also a professor of political science.

The survey was administered by telephone, by Pacific Market Research, in Renton, WA, based on a randomly selected list of phone numbers. The survey was in the field from October 25 – 31, 2006. A total of 700 registered voters throughout the state of Washington were interviewed, yielding in a 3.7% margin of error. Final data are weighted by party identification based on the average of similar political polls from 2004 – 2006, and are based on a spread of 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 33% Independent.

Additional results and cross-tabulations will be released each day, so please check back for updates.

Questions/Comments: [email protected]


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The Washington Poll

U.S. Senate Election

In the election for U.S. Senate, will you vote for Mike McGavick, the Republican or Maria Cantwell, the Democrat?

Mike McGavick – certain 37 %

Mike McGavick – could change 2 41%

Undecided – lean McGavick 2

Maria Cantwell – certain 48

Maria Cantwell – could change 3 53%

Undecided – lean Cantwell 2

Other 2

Undecided/Don’t know 5

sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%


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The Washington Poll

Washington State Supreme Court

In the election for state Supreme Court, will you vote for Susan Owens or Stephen Johnson?

Stephen Johnson – certain 25 %

Stephen Johnson – could change 3 30%

Undecided – lean Johnson 2

Susan Owens – certain 28

Susan Owens – could change 6 37%

Undecided – lean Owens 3

Other 2

Undecided/Don’t know 31

sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%


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The Washington Poll

Initiative 920

Statewide ballot initiative 920, which would repeal the estate tax, currently dedicated for the education legacy trust fund. Will you vote yes or no on I-920?

Yes on I-920 – certain 26 %

Yes on I-920 – could change 4 32%

Undecided – lean Yes 2

No on I-920 – certain 44

No on I-920 – could change 6 53%

Undecided – lean No 3

Undecided/Don’t know 14

sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%


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The Washington Poll

Initiative 933

Statewide ballot initiative 933, which would require the government to compensate property owners if their property is devalued. Will you vote yes or no on I-933?

Yes on I-933 – certain 32 %

Yes on I-933 – could change 6 39%

Undecided – lean Yes 1

No on I-933 – certain 43

No on I-933 – could change 6 51%

Undecided – lean No 2

Undecided/Don’t know 10

sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%


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The Washington Poll

Initiative 937

Statewide ballot initiative 937, would require large electric utilities to meet energy conservation targets and to use renewable resources. Will you vote yes or no on I-937?

Yes on I-937 – certain 40 %

Yes on I-937 – could change 10 52%

Undecided – lean Yes 2

No on I-937 – certain 28

No on I-937 – could change 3 33%

Undecided – lean No 2

Undecided/Don’t know 12

sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%


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Approval Ratings - statewide

Bush Gregoire State Leg Congress

Strongly

Approve 22% 28% 7% 7%

Somewhat

Approve 16% 38% 53% 27%

Somewhat

Disapprove 9% 12% 14% 23%

Strongly

Disapprove 49% 17% 7% 33%

Don’t know 1% 3% 13% 5%

sample = 700 registered voters, +/- 3.7%


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Approval Ratings – by region

Bush Gregoire State Leg Congress

Strongly Oth Oth Oth Oth

Approve 22% 25% 7% 5%

Somewhat

Approve 21% 35% 51% 27%

Somewhat

Disapprove 8% 12% 13% 23%

Strongly

Disapprove 45% 20% 5% 33%

Don’t know 1% 4% 16% 6%

PS PS PS PS

22% 30% 8% 8%

11% 40% 55% 27%

10% 12% 16% 22%

54% 14% 9% 33%

1% 1% 9% 4%

PS = Puget Sound counties: King, Pierce, Thurston, Snohomish

Oth = All other counties in the state


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Additional Results

For cross-tabulations of these results, broken down by region of the state, party identification, ideology, and gender please download Part 2 of the preliminary results, posted online for 11/01/06

If you have additional questions, and would like to see any additional, or more specific results, please send us an email and we will try to accommodate your request


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