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Welcome to the Symposium on Space Transportation Policy and Market Risks November 16, 2011 PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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Welcome to the Symposium on Space Transportation Policy and Market Risks November 16, 2011. Space Policy Institute Elliott School of International Affairs George Washington University 1957 E Street, NW Washington, D.C. 20052. Challenges for Government Initiatives.

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Welcome to the Symposium on Space Transportation Policy and Market Risks November 16, 2011

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Welcome to the Symposium on

Space Transportation Policy and Market Risks

November 16, 2011

Space Policy Institute

Elliott School of International Affairs

George Washington University

1957 E Street, NW

Washington, D.C. 20052


Challenges for Government Initiatives

  • Costs for on-going conflicts

  • Rise in transfer payments

  • Aging population/health care costs

  • Infrastructure recapitalization

  • Non-State threats: physical, WMD, cyber

  • Global economic turmoil


Past Assumptions for Launch Demand and Technical Readiness


Policy, Architecture, and Acquisition Decisions Determine the Space Launch Industrial Base

28 (140%)

12

20

(167%)

12

(100%)

20

(56%)

20

20 (100%)

8

16-20

8

(33%)

NASA rate at 4 heavy lift flights per year. Air Force at EELV rate.

Green represents known/estimated production at present.

5

National Aeronautics and Space Administration 2009


Agenda

  • Keynote Presentation – the Space Industrial Base

  • Panel 1 – Alternative Market Possibilities

  • Panel 2 – Financial and Market Risks for Space Launch Providers

    Lunch

  • Panel 3 – Public/Private Sector Roles and Responsibilities

  • Panel 4 – Near-term Risks to the Space Launch Industrial Base

  • Panel 5 – International Customers, Competitors and Partners

  • Closing and Summaries

    Reception


National Space Transportation Policy Review

  • NSC-led policy review currently underway

    • Possible release by end of 2011

  • Some likely issues:

    • Human space transportation

      • SLS , MPCV, EELV, New Entrants

    • Criteria for USG use of new launch vehicles

    • Space Industrial base – rocket motors

    • Technology development

    • Interagency coordination – NASA, AF, NRO

    • International cooperation – critical paths?

      • Extension of INKSNA wavier for payments to Russia?


International Commercial Cooperation


Key Policy Questions

  • What is the relationship of human space transportation to larger U.S. foreign policy, economic, and national security interests?

  • Is there is a need for independent U.S. government human access to space, and if not, the identification of those entities upon which we are willing to depend for such access;

  • Is it in the larger interests of the United States to invite international partnerships in regard to capabilities which are on the so-called “critical path” for common exploration goals; 

  • The degree to and roles in which the U.S. government should foster the development, and embrace the capabilities, of “commercial space” in the furtherance of national goals; 

  • The proper role of NASA in the human expansion into space, and in particular NASA’s disparate functions as 'innovator and technology developer' vs. ‘designer/developer/smart buyer’ of new systems, and ‘system operator’ vs. ‘service customer’.


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