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投資管理 第八章 PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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投資管理 第八章. 指導老師 : 歐陽豪 老師. 學生 :4980D001 黃奕評 4980L027 劉怡妏 4980L078 林冠賢 4980L079 劉啟崇. 8.1 基本分析的觀念與架構. 從事股票投資的投資人,對於投資組合的建構及將來的調整,心中應有一套屬於自己思考邏輯的方法,如基本分析、技術分析等不一而足。 投資人應該要知道有哪些因素或事件會影響投資標的的價格變動。. 8.1.1 影響股價變動的因素. 從經濟面而言,一般商品的價格是由買賣雙方所共同決定,即依供需情況而定。

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投資管理 第八章

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:

:4980D001

4980L027

4980L078

4980L079


8.1


8.1.1

  • -



8.1

  • () ()()()


1.


2.

  • (GDP)


3.


8-1


8.1.2


  • (Top-Down Approach )

    • 8-2

  • (Bottom-Up Approach)


8-2


  • (LED)


8.2.1

  • (GDP)

    • 459(CheckPoint)383223178-2


8-2


8-3

  • 8-3195412


8.2.2

  • 27

  • 3~58-4


8-4


8.2.3


8-3


8.2.4

    • (Misery Index)

  • Misery Index

  • (WPI)(CPI)


8.2.5


8.2.6

  • 25M1aM1bM2M1b

  • M1a

  • M1b M1a

  • M2 M1b(quasi-money)


8-4

  • 1989~19907.75%1200020002001~20031.375%3000


8-5

  • 1987~19892000120002008940008000


8.2.7

  • 50%50%50%

  • (SMIT, Supply Management Institute, Taiwan)2011(Taiwan PMI-Manufacturing)


8-6 M1bM2

  • 19861997 1999 2001 2007(2)2009(3)M1bM219891994 1998 20002007(12)M1bM2


8.3







    • 1990


    • 20022010


    8.4

    • (Intrinsic Value)


    8.4.1

    (IFRS)IFRSIFRS


    • 2013IFRS2012IFRS

    • 2015IFRS2013

    • IFRS



    • (Non-Current Assets)

    • (Non-Current Liabilities)

    • (Non-controlling Interest)


    • (Comprehensive Income Statement)

    • (Flow)



    • (Cash Flow)(Out Flow)(In Flow)

    • (Indirect Method)(Direct Method)

    • (Investing Activities)

    • (Financing Activities)


    8.4.2


    8.4.3



    (Event Study)



    • 31


    2008613(2008415)2007121811.2520084925.45

    2008122(2008113)200861318.95200872330



    8-1(8-5)(8-6)2011


    END


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