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Simultaneously Improving Glider Position

Estimates and Ocean State ForecastsOASIS, Inc., Patrick Cross, (808) 423-0011, [email protected]$404,649Short term goals: develop and test an iterative method for improved subsurface position estimates for ocean gliders Long term goal: integrate method with Navy 4D-Var ocean model data assimilation

  • Content of Presentation
  • Penta Chart: New method for position estimates
  • Importance – ocean models, raw interpretation
  • State of the Art – Linear dead reckoning, introduces errors in ocean state calculations/forecasts
  • Customer – Naval Oceanographic Office, IOOS
  • Project Plan and Timeline
    • Quantitative Goals and Success Criteria
    • Work Tasks/Costs/Level of Effort
    • Customer engagement plan
    • Project Plan and Schedule
    • Transition plan
  • Questions/Discussion and backup slides

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Improved Underwater Glider Positions

STATUS QUO

QUANTITATIVE IMPACT

END-OF-PHASE GOAL

NEW INSIGHTS

Developing a Method to Improve the Accuracy of Glider Subsurface Position Estimates

  • Improvements in NAVO support capabilities for ASW, MIW, NSW
  • Improved interpretation of raw glider data
  • Improved ocean model forecasts
  • MAIN ACHIEVEMENTS (Expected)
  • Develop glider kinematic model
  • Develop statistics relating to scale of positional issue by leveraging ONR field test in Phil Sea
  • Develop iterative technique, using high-res ocean model, to improve subsurface position estimates
  • Field test method in Hawaii using bottom transponders for accurate measured positions
  • HOW IT WORKS:
  • Kinematic model incorporates vehicle inertial mass, surface area, drag coefficients, seawater density, hydrodynamic forces (lift and drag)
  • Glider model takes output of ocean model, over time, to predict x, y, and z coordinates of glider position through course of dive
  • Glider data (T/S) is input back into ocean model at improved positions
  • Process is run iteratively to seek convergence and improved ocean state forecasts
  • ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITATIONS:
  • Scale of possible positional improvement must exceed grid resolution of ocean model
  • Possibility that solution may not converge
  • Field validation very important to project
  • Gliders in use by Navy and others in growing numbers
  • Position during dive based on linear dead reckoning only
  • Take advantage of state-of-the-art ocean models
  • Develop glider kinematic model guided by ocean model
  • Input glider data into ocean model at improved positions
  • Glider kinematic model
  • Iterative technique developed
  • Field test in Hawaii

2

Glider data is increasingly prevalent. Improved positional data will greatly enhance its utility.

Company: OASIS, Inc. Contact: Patrick Cross Email: [email protected] Phone: (808) 423-0011

importance
Importance
  • Navy is committed to large fleet of ocean gliders (100 or more) through Littoral Battlespace Sensing, Fusion, and Integration (LBSFI) program
    • Characterization of Battlespace for ASW, MIW, NSW, EOD applications
    • Feed broad area ocean models
  • Glider fleet managed by Naval Oceanographic Office (NAVO)
  • Glider data is used in raw form and ingested into predictive ocean models, such as NAVO’s Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM)
  • Gliders obtain GPS fix when on surface, but position is not known accurately once they dive
    • Can lead to errors in estimation of ocean state, and, when assimilated into an ocean model, errors in forecast fields
  • Our concept of using an ocean model, paired with a glider motion model, to provide enhanced subsurface glider positional accuracy is supported by NAVO (Dr. Frank Bub and Mr. James Rigney). Also, PMW-120 (Dr. Ed Mozley) has expressed interest in the method and would pick up funding beyond CEROS as part of LBSFI program.

3

state of the art no effort here yet
State of the Art(no effort here yet)
  • Describe the state of the art and the state of the practice
  • Identify other individuals and research groups who are working on the problem (including alternative approaches)
  • Describe the ways in which your project will advance current knowledge and practice
  • Describe the technical challenges
  • Additional detail slide (or two… mindful of existing content already submitted in your written proposal, and time limits on presentation!)

4

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Advancing the State-of-the-Art

considers vehicle inertial

mass, surface area, drag

coefficients, seawater

density, vehicle lift and drag

Ocean Model

(such as NCOM)

Velocity

Field

Glider Model

Assign glider T/S

to revised x, y, z

Estimated glider

x, y, z vs time

Crude effort at

block diagram

5

customer naval oceanographic office navo
Project endorsements

Dr. Frank Bub, NAVO Ocean Modeling Technical Lead – interested and pressing endorsement through CNMOC Advisory Board

Mr. James Rigney, NAVO Chief Scientist – “potentially useful to NAVO”, says CNMOC will formally endorse

Dr. Ed Mozley, PMW-120 Asst. Program Manager – willingness to fund follow-on work through LBSFI

Envisioned nature of customer relationships:

Short term: Provision of NCOM model output, Guidance relating to method development

Long term: Operational implementation of method in NAVO Reachback Cell

Other sources of support, or related efforts:

Leveraging SPAWAR PMW-120 EMPath project (part of LBSFI)

Leveraging ONR Code 32 Deep Water Acoustics Philippine Sea 2010 test

Methodology will have benefits in ocean and climate modeling in academia, at NOAA (IOOS Program), and elsewhere

Customer – Naval Oceanographic Office (NAVO)

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methodology
Methodology

Develop glider kinematic model

Run glider model during ONR Philippine Sea test

Test will span ~5 months of Seaglider deployments

Glider model fed with output from NAVO’s NCOM

Actual surfacing positions compared with those forecast by glider model to generate statistics to assess degree of potential positional error

Develop ocean model iterative technique

Utilize high-resolution UH ROMS model

Test iterative approach during Hawaii sea test

~ 2 weeks duration off leeward Oahu

Utilize field of 8 bottom transponders

1000m dives, through transponder field

Compare measured and predicted

positions during analysis phase

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Customer Engagement Plan

(no effort here so far)

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Transition Plans

  • Short-term transition of glider model, through LBSFI EMPath program, to NAVO for enhanced glider positional modeling
  • Longer-term transition of iterative method to NAVO ocean modeling group, after 4D Var data assimilation becomes operational
  • Will continue to update NAVO and PMW-120 on progress, and seek follow-on funds to move toward long-term transition
  • Identify transition partners
    • Obligated funding: none locked in, likely from PMW-120 (Mozley)
    • Leveraged funds: OASIS LBSFI funding for EMPath, OASIS/UH funding in ONR’s Deep Water Acoustics Philippine Sea program
    • Partners: Dr. Bruce Howe ([email protected]), Dr. Brian Powell ([email protected]) of University of Hawaii – gliders, iterative technique, field test support
    • Endorsements: NAVO, CNMOC, PMW-120
  • Expected Intellectual Property (IP) - ?

11

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Simultaneously Improving Glider Position

Estimates and Ocean State ForecastsOASIS, Inc., Patrick Cross, (808) 423-0011, [email protected]$404,649

Q&A / Discussion

12

slide14

Heilmeier Questions

(Think these questions through very carefully and have lucid answers prepared)

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Anticipated Transition Plan

Class of Endorsements:

1) “We will help fund …”

2) ”If successful, we will do …”

3) “We will provide planes, vessels, people and will mentor and advise.”

4) “We are interested in the outcome.”

Potential Interest, but no endorsements:

Identify PEOs

Identify Commands

Current Systems

Current Products

Organizations and assets in position to benefit from project results and operational transition, but without firm, funded requirements:

Program AandProgram Bleverage CEROS funding.

Program of Record, funded Requirements

Class-4 Endorsement

Program B $xxx K

Class-1 Endorsement

Ongoing support, expanded project

Class-2 Endorsement

Program A $xxx K

Class-1 Endorsement

Facilitate ongoing tests and development

Class-3 Endorsement

Reach TRL4:

For TRL 5-7: Add functionality, modules, capabilities

CEROS $xxx K

(Support Design/Planning

And Proof of concept)

Year 5

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

TRL 8

Integrated

operationally

TRL 4 Component

Validation in Lab

TRL 6 Prototype demo in relevant environment

TRL 7

Prototype demo in operational environment

TRL 9

Operationally and mission proven

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