2012 general election
Download
1 / 23

2012 General Election - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 93 Views
  • Uploaded on

2012 General Election. What Happened? Prepared for MAHP November 15, 2012. 1992 – 2012 Composition Of The Electorate (based on exit polling). White. Age 18-29. Black. Hispanic. 1992 – 2012 Composition Of Partisan Presidential Vote, By Ethnicity. Asian. Asian. Hispanic. Hispanic.

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about ' 2012 General Election' - phuoc


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
2012 general election

2012 General Election

What Happened?

Prepared for MAHP

November 15, 2012


1992 2012 composition of the electorate based on exit polling
1992 – 2012 Composition Of The Electorate(based on exit polling)

White

Age 18-29

Black

Hispanic


1992 2012 composition of partisan presidential vote by ethnicity
1992 – 2012 Composition Of Partisan Presidential Vote, By Ethnicity

Asian

Asian

Hispanic

Hispanic

Black

Black

White

White


Six keys to the 2012 presidential
Six Keys To The 2012 Presidential Ethnicity

  • Tax Policy

  • George W. Bush

  • Empathy

  • Health Care Reform

  • Hurricane Sandy

  • Voter Suppression Efforts


2012 Turnout Appears To Be Down From 2008, With Significant Variation By State (based on AP reporting as of Tuesday Nov. 13, 2012)

Turnout Increases: Top 10 States

Turnout Decreases: Top 10 States

2008 Total Votes: 129,449,593

2012 Total Votes: 121,190,681

Change: - 4.5%

*Competitive Senate race



Unsurprisingly, The Economy Was Viewed As The Most Important Issue Facing The Country On Election Day

Which ONE of these four issues is the most important facing the country? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

Support among those indicating issue as the most important

The economy

Health care

Federal budget deficit

Foreign policy


Evaluations of the economy remain dismal but are notably better than 4 years ago
Evaluations Of The Economy Remain Dismal, But Are Notably Better Than 4 Years Ago

Do you think the condition of the nation’s economy is: excellent , good, not so good, or poor?


Most voters still blame george w bush for economic problems
Most Voters Still Blame George W. Bush For Better Than 4 Years AgoEconomic Problems

Who is more to blame for current economic problems?

Not sure 9%

Obama

38%

Bush

53%


6 in 10 voters favor higher tax rates for those earning over 250 000
6-in-10 Voters Favor Higher Tax Rates For Those Earning Over $250,000

Should income tax rates: increase for all, increase only on income over $250,000, or not increase for anyone?

Not sure 5%

Not increase for anyone

35%


Obama dominated vote among those most interested in a caring president
Obama Dominated Vote Among Those Most Interested In A $250,000Caring President

Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted for president? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

Support among line-item

respondents

Has a vision for the future

Shares my values

Cares about people like me

Among Blacks: 38%

Among Hispanics: 28%

Is a strong leader


Majority of Voters Think Obama Is More In Touch With People Like Them, Especially Young, Non-White Voters

Who is more in touch with people like you?

Not sure 4%

Obama

53%

Romney

43%


Deep Divisions Persist On Health Care Law, But Only One-Quarter Of Voters Supported Romney’s Position To Repeal It

What should happen to the 2010 health care law?

Support among line-item

respondents

Expand it

Leave it as is

Repeal some of it

Repeal all of it


Obama edged romney among late deciding voters
Obama Edged Romney Among Late Deciding Voters One-Quarter Of Voters Supported Romney’s Position To Repeal It

When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the presidential election?

Support among line-item

respondents

Just today / In the last few days

In October

In September

Before that


Hurricane sandy appears to have moved some voters to obama
Hurricane Sandy Appears To Have Moved Some Voters To Obama One-Quarter Of Voters Supported Romney’s Position To Repeal It

In your vote for president, how would you rate the importance of Obama’s hurricane response?

Support among line-item

respondents

The most important factor

An important factor

A minor factor

Not a factor at all


Massachusetts senate race
Massachusetts Senate Race One-Quarter Of Voters Supported Romney’s Position To Repeal It


Massachusetts senate race results
Massachusetts Senate Race Results One-Quarter Of Voters Supported Romney’s Position To Repeal It


Brown margin by county
Brown Margin, by County One-Quarter Of Voters Supported Romney’s Position To Repeal It


Turnout analysis
Turnout Analysis One-Quarter Of Voters Supported Romney’s Position To Repeal It

Counties won by Brown in 2010




Brown viewed more favorably than warren among election day voters
Brown Viewed More Favorably Than Warren Among Election Day Voters

Is your opinion of (candidate): favorable or unfavorable?


Thank you
Thank you! Voters

Chris Anderson

617.742.3766

[email protected]

Anderson Robbins Research

6 Beacon Street, suite 720

Boston, MA 02108


ad