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Faith's Comeback?. The Demographic Revival of Religion in Western Europe Eric Kaufmann Birkbeck College, University of London. Decline of Liberal Protestants. Conclusion.
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Faith's Comeback? The Demographic Revival of Religion in Western Europe Eric Kaufmann Birkbeck College, University of London
Conclusion • Northwest Europe (and probably all of western Europe) will likely be more religious in 2100 than in 2000 on current trends because: • Secularisation rates have slowed dramatically, to the point of stalling • Religious women have 10-20% higher fertility, all else equal • Non-European immigrants are far more religious • Muslim immigrants retain their religiosity
Religious people are more conservative, and more conservative people vote for right-wing parties, BUT immigrants vote for left-wing parties • Thus much will depend on how parties – especially conservative ones - position their strategy vis a vis religious immigrants • Ethnic cleavage (Europe) v Religious cleavage (USA)?