Boe advisory council july 25 2013 the economic outlook
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BOE Advisory Council July 25, 2013 The Economic Outlook PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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BOE Advisory Council July 25, 2013 The Economic Outlook. Joe Fitz Chief of Research and Statistics Board of Equalization. U.S. Economic Forecast Selected U.S. Economic Indicators. Actual Forecast 1/ 2011 2012 2013 2014 Real Gross Domestic Product

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BOE Advisory Council July 25, 2013 The Economic Outlook

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BOE Advisory CouncilJuly 25, 2013The Economic Outlook

Joe Fitz

Chief of Research and Statistics

Board of Equalization


U.S. Economic ForecastSelected U.S. Economic Indicators

Actual Forecast 1/

2011201220132014

Real Gross Domestic Product

(Percent Change)1.8%2.2%1.6%2.7%

Consumer Price Index

(Percent Change)3.1%2.1%1.3%1.5%

Unemployment Rate (Percent)8.9%8.1%7.6%7.2%

Ten-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Rates2.8%1.8%2.2%2.7%

1/ Source: Global Insight July 2013 forecast


Real Gross Domestic Product


Real Growth by Component of Consumption


Real Growth by Component of Nonresidential Investment


Real Growth by Component of Residential Investment


Real Growth of Exports and Imports


Real Growth of Government Spending


Consumer Prices


U.S. Gasoline Prices (Cents/gallon)


U.S. Unemployment Rate (%)


Federal Deficit (Federal FY, Billions $)


Ten-Year Treasury Note Yield (%)


Monthly Financial Obligations as a Percent of Disposable Income


Percent Change in U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls


U.S. Employment Growth


2013-14 May Revision Forecasts for California


Changes in Taxable Sales From 2006 to 2011 (Top Ten Cities Ranked by Population)


2011 Per Capita Taxable Sales(Top Ten Cities Ranked by Population)


Cities Expanding in Taxable Sales (Ranked by Population of the Top Ten Expanding Cities)


Cities Not Expanding in Taxable Sales (Ranked by Population of the Top Ten Cities Not Expanding)


2010 and 2011 Changes in Taxable Sales(Top Ten Cities Ranked by Population)


2010 and 2011 Changes in Taxable SalesCities Expanding in Taxable Sales


2010 and 2011 Changes in Taxable SalesCities Not Expanding in Taxable Sales


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