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The Global Environmental Change and Human Security Project

The Global Environmental Change and Human Security Project. THE SOUTHERN AFRICA VULNERABILITY INITIATIVE (SAVI):INAUGURAL WORKSHOP MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE 19-21 JUNE 2003. Overview. SAVI Context GEC Research Community GECHS Development & Research Agenda

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The Global Environmental Change and Human Security Project

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  1. The Global Environmental Change and Human Security Project THE SOUTHERN AFRICA VULNERABILITY INITIATIVE (SAVI):INAUGURAL WORKSHOP MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE 19-21 JUNE 2003

  2. Overview • SAVI Context GEC Research Community GECHS Development & Research Agenda • Rethinking Vulnerability within the GEC Community • SAVI Overview & Sponsors • Workshop Objectives & Format [next]

  3. The GEC Research Community Sponsoring Agencies Research Programs Research Projects

  4. The GEC Research Community cont’d SPONSORS: International Council for Science (ICSU) International Social Science Council (ISSC) World Meteorological Organization (WMO)

  5. The GEC Research Community cont’d PROGRAMS (SPONSORS) World Climate Research Program (WCRP) (ICSU,WMO) International Geosphere Biosphere Program (IGBP) (ICSU) International Human Dimensions Program on GEC (IHDP) (ICSU, ISSC) DIVERSITAS (ICSU)

  6. The GEC Research Community cont’d IHDP Projects Institutional Dimensions of Global Environmental Change (IDGEC) Industrial Transformation (IT) Land Cover & Land Use Change (LUCC) Global Environmental Change & Human Security (GECHS)

  7. The GEC Research Community cont’d WMO ICSU ISSC WCRP IGBP IHDP DIVER IDGEC IT LUCC GECHS

  8. SAVI Organization • GECHS-led project (1 yr grant) • Science Agencies (Funders) ICSU & IHDP • Co-op Universities, Institutes & Organization Witswatersrand, Carleton, Center for International Climate and Environmental Research–Oslo, Internat Geog Union (Vulnerability Task Force), IGBP, Southern Africa Savannas Network

  9. SAVI Organizing Committee Coleen Vogel, University of the Witswatersrand Karen O’Brien & Ane Schjolden, Center for International Climate & Environmental Research–Oslo Mike Brklacich, Carleton University

  10. GECHS Origins • Redefinition of traditional security concepts • Human security & the Canadian/international policy agenda • Environment & economy linkages • Critical zones mapping [next]

  11. Human Security & GEC Human security is having the capacity to overcome vulnerability and to respond positively to environmental change

  12. Key Questions Underlying GECHS Context: Response Options: • What types of environmental change threaten human security? What strategies are potentially available to cope with the insecurities caused by environmental change? • How does environmental change threaten human security? • What is the present extent of insecurity? Analysis: • Which regions and groups are the most insecure? • Why are some strategies selected? • Can we predict future insecurities? • Why are some effective? • Why are some regions and groups more vulnerable to specific environmental change than others? • How can obstacles be overcome? [next]

  13. Rethinking Vulnerability to Climatic Change (CC) • Impacts • to • Responses • to • Vulnerability [next]

  14. Impacts of Climatic Change Macro-Climatic Change Scenarios First-Order Impacts: Regional Climatic Properties Second-Order Impacts: Primary Productivity Higher-Order Impacts: Regional Production

  15. Responses to Climatic Change Macro-Climatic Change Scenarios Impacts Adaptation Nonresponse Mitigation

  16. Attributes of Impacts &Response Research • Single stressor • Slow, incremental CC • Single scale • Limited socio-economic change • Vulnerability as a CC residual

  17. CLIMATIC CHANGE Change in type, freq & mag of threats BIO-PHYSICAL VULNERABILITY CC Exposure Building A Framework To Link CC & Vulnerability Research

  18. CLIMATIC CHANGE Change in type, freq & mag of threats Capacity to cope with & recover from CC CC Exposure COMPREHENSIVEVULNERABILITY Building A Framework To Link CC & Vulnerability Research cont’d SOCIETAL CHANGE Change in institutions, resource accessibility, economic conditions, etc

  19. Comprehensive Vulnerability:Science – Policy Linkages • Identify vulnerable populations/regions • Assess interventions to reduce human vulnerability / improve human security • Balanced programs to improve adaptive capacity & mitigation

  20. SAVI Overview • Project Development • Sponsoring Agencies • SAVI Objectives • SAVI Process [next]

  21. Project Development • Comprehensive vulnerability • Multiple stressors • Current (environmental) stress & GEC • Policy responses • Southern Africa focus

  22. SAVI Organization • GECHS-led project (1 yr grant) • Science Agencies (Funders) ICSU & IHDP • Co-op Universities, Institutes & Organization Witswatersrand, Carleton, Center for International Climate and Environmental Research–Oslo, Internat Geog Union (Vulnerability Task Force), IGBP, Southern Africa Savannas Network

  23. SAVI Purpose Develop long-term applied research program & network for southern Africa to address who is vulnerable, to what, why, and what can be done.

  24. SAVI Objectives 1. Consolidate different facets of vulnerability research and develop an integrated framework for understanding vulnerability within the context of southern Africa 2. Develop a proposal for a self-sustaining, longer-term project which integrates vulnerability research with policy formulation. 3. Build a coalition amongst ICSU and other scientists in the region to implement a vulnerability research program.

  25. SAVI Process (Tentative) • Assembling the multi-disciplinary team(Mar-Jun 03) • Inaugural W/S(Jun 03) • Workshop report(Jun-Sep 03) • Report in IHPD Update(Sep-Oct 03) • AVISO Bulletin & Briefings in Washington (US AID &WB) & Ottawa (CIDA & IDRC)(Jul-Dec 03) • Draft longer-term research proposal (Aug-Dec 03) • Mtg/ws to Review & Revise Draft Proposal and Engage Policy Community(Jan 04) • Preparation and Submission of Proposal for Long-term Project Funding(Oct 03 – Mar 04)

  26. Inaugural SAVI Workshop • Workshop Objectives • Logistics • Anticipated Outcomes & Follow-up [next]

  27. Workshop Objectives • Examine current threats to human security in the region • Discuss how GEC in combination with other stresses might impinge upon human security in the region, & identify linkages. • Articulate policy issues relating to comprehensive vulnerability and human security in the region. • Begin development of a conceptual framework to assess comprehensive vulnerability.

  28. Workshop Logistics • Mix of thematic & case studies • Short presentations to stimulate discussion • Discuss Qs presented in ToRs • Articulate linkages amongst vulnerability threats • Brainstorming!!!!!!

  29. Anticipated Outcomes & Follow-up • Sharper Qs regarding: • Who and which regions within southern Africa are vulnerable & to what & why? • What is threatened? • Role of GEC and other changes in future vulnerabilities? • Future collaborations & funding? • Sketch of SAVI conceptual framework • Workshop reports • W/S summary, IHDP Newsletter, AVISO, Other? • Plans for SAVI W/S II • Purpose, Focus, Timing

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