Transmission planning activities in south east europe
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Joint Transmission System Operator – Utility Regulator Workshop on Integration and Cross Border Trade of Renewable Energy Resources in Regional Transmission Networks Istanbul, 8 March 2011. Transmission Planning Activities in South-East Europe. ENTSO-E: a trans-European network.

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Transmission Planning Activities in South-East Europe

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Transmission planning activities in south east europe

Joint Transmission System Operator – Utility Regulator Workshop on Integration and Cross Border Trade of Renewable Energy Resources in Regional Transmission NetworksIstanbul, 8 March 2011

Transmission Planning Activities in South-East Europe


Entso e a trans european network

ENTSO-E: a trans-European network

  • Established under the Regulation 714/2009

  • Fully operational since July 2009

  • Represents 42 TSOs from 34 countries

    • 525 million customers

    • 828 GW generation capacity

    • 305,000 Km of transmission lines

    • Total demand:3,400 TWh/year

    • Electricity trade volume: 400 TWh/year

  • Replaces former TSO organisations: UCTE, ETSO, NORDEL, UKTSOA, ATSOI, BALTSO


Regional groups of system development committee of entso e

Regional Groups of System Development Committee of ENTSO-E


Regulation 714 2009 tasks for entso e

Regulation 714/2009 – tasks for ENTSO-E

Article 4: European network of transmission system operators for electricity

Completion and functioning of the internal market in electricity and cross-border trade

Optimal management, coordinated operation and sound technical evolution of the European electricity transmission network

Article 6: Establishment of network codes

Article 8: Tasks of the ENTSO for Electricity

Network codes

Common network operation tools

Non‑binding Community‑wide 10‑year network development plan, including a European generation adequacy outlook, every two years

Work programme, annual report, summer/winter outlooks, monitoring

Full implementation until March 2011

ENTSO-E operational much earlier because a fully developed IEM and the integration of RES

demand urgent TSO action


Context for the tyndp

Context for the TYNDP

Non binding

Every 2 years

Binding

Every year

Regulators check consistency

  • Nat. TYNDPs

  • Existing and forecast supply demand

  • Efficient measures to guarantee adequacy & SoS

  • Indicate main transmission infrastructure to be built

  • Based on reasonable assumptions about evolution of generation

  • Supply consumption and exchanges

  • EU-TYNDP

  • Generation adequacy outlook 5 yr up to 15yr ( 2025!)

  • modelling integrated networks

  • Scenario development

  • Assessment of resilience

  • Based on reasonable needs of system users

  • Identify investments gaps

  • Review barriers to increase cross border capacities arising from approval procedures

Build on nat. gen. adequacy outlooks and invest. plans

Take into account

Non binding

Every 2 years

Take into account

Take into account

Regional Investment Plans


Context

Context

Energy policy goals

Sustainability:

More renewables and further from the loads

More heating and mobility with electricity

Competitiveness/market integration:

More long-distance flows

Security of supply:

More optimal resources sharing

require more grid


Transmission infrastructure in the centre

Transmission Infrastructure in the centre

Sustainability

Assessment

Competitiveness

EU Strategic Goals

Security of Supply

Assist

Policy

Action

Inform

TYNDP

Coordinate

Evaluate

Monitoring

  • “ENTSO-E shall adopt a non-binding Community-wide ten-year network development plan”

  • Transparency

  • Decision making process

  • Networks/scenarios/Generation outlook/resilience


Tyndp delivers

TYNDP delivers

Investment Needs based on calculations and experience from 42 TSOs

2010-2014

2015+

1st Pilot TYNDP issued on June 2010

 A comprehensive and pragmatic identification of investment needs


Tyndp delivers1

TYNDP delivers


Tyndp delivers2

TYNDP delivers

Planned transmission projects

2010-2014

2015+

 The most up-to-date collection of all planned transmission investments


Tyndp in figures

TYNDP in figures

The TYNDP projects represent~14% of existing lines

€ 23 to 28 billion for the first five years !


Tyndp in figures1

TYNDP in figures

Each market region is concerned


Grid development challenges

Grid development - challenges

  • Legal and Regulatory frameworks

    • accelerate/simplify permitting procedures while maintaining checks and balances

    • adequate financing given the major effort induced by RES

  • Involve all relevant stakeholders into information channeling in order to alleviate uncertainties (generation location, policy implications)

  • Social acceptance of transmission infrastructure


  • Tyndp public consultation

    TYNDP - public consultation

    • Public consultation 1st March – 10th April

      • More than 100 attendees at workshop, 21 written answers

  • Acknowledgements

  • Shared sense of urgency

  • Synthetic picture of congestion

    • Project clustering, improved transfer capability

  • Achievement of EU 2020 targets

  • Integration of transmission projects

    • Also from non-ENTSO-E members


  • First tyndp a pilot but process has already started

    First TYNDP a Pilot, but process has already started

    EC preparation of the Energy Infrastructure Package: ENTSO-E invited to provide additional input to assist the assessment of the Policy

    Compare TYNDP planning scenarios with publicly available scenarios related to the EU2020 targets.

    “What if” planning scenarios should converge today to 2020 scenarios.

    More RES? Less Fossil? Where?

    Propose measures to accelerate permitting procedures in Europe.

    Visualize main enhancements in NTCs

    But, focus on forward-looking indicators for market integration.


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    Evolving from reliable networks designed for optimization of generation resources and power demand requirements…

    … towards a transmission & distribution networks implementing EU energy & climate policies and maximizing welfare.

    Main challenge for all network operators

    • Electricity Directive 96/92/EC (1999)

    • 3rd Legislative Package for the Internal Market in electricity (2009)

    • Directive for Renewable Energy Sources (2009)

    August 24, 2014

    Page 16 of 17


    Next steps

    Next steps

    State of the art

    Network data

    2012 and further

    3rd package + stakeholders’ expectations

    Inputs/data for background scenarios

    First draft -10yNDP

    Regional Transmission Plans

    First -10yNDP

    consultation

    Background scenarios development

    Background scenarios validation

    Grid adequacy analyses

    Background scenarios

    Draft 10yNDP consultation

    Investment gaps

    Grid projects

    In 2010

    Next issues of 10yNDP


    Goals for the next tyndp in 2012

    Goals for the next TYNDP in 2012

    Run the complete 2-year cycle

    Consultations on scenarios and final report

    Regional Transmission Plans + ENTSO-E TYNDP

    Develop a third shared, top-down, long-run scenario

    NREAPs in June/10

    A shared vision of the EU 2020 targets in the power sector in every country

    Set a framework for all regional studies

    Use of dedicated shared ENTSO-E pan-European models

    Modeling the market behavior

    Scenario EU 2020 (main + obligatory)

    Constructed in collaboration with other bodies (EURELECTRIC, EWEA, EFET, EGREG, etc)


    Scenario eu2020 3x20

    Scenario EU2020 (3x20)

    cutting energy consumption by 20% of projected 2020 levels - by improving energy efficiency

    Indication of the impact of efficiency measures on electricity demand

    increasing use of renewables (wind, solar, biomass, etc) to 20% of total energy consumption

    RES share in electricity consumption

    Harmonization of Grid Codes

    cutting greenhouse gases by at least 20% of 1990 levels

    CO2 emissions indicator

    Compatible with available NREAPs

    Comparison to a “Business As Usual” Scenario (B)


    Res share in electricity consumption at entso e eu level

    RES share in electricity consumption at ENTSO-E/ EU level


    Discrepancies among scenaria

    Discrepancies among Scenaria


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    Continental South East Regional Group


    Cse regional group

    CSE Regional Group

    • 11 TSOs


    Motivation for transmission investments in cse europe

    Motivation for transmission investments in CSE Europe

    • Strengthening of the Regional network in the predominant power flow directions (N-S, E-W)

    • Accommodation of foreseen new conventional and RES generation

    • Increase reliability and security of supply

    • Increase transfer capacities and volume of commercial exchanges in the region

    • Extension of the synchronous zone to the East (Turkey and Ukraine & Moldova)


    Grid investment needs for se continental system up to 2015

    Grid investment needs for SE Continental system up to 2015

    The most significant reinforcement projects for this period appear in Greece and in south Italy


    Grid investment needs for se continental system after 2015

    Grid investment needs for SE Continental system after 2015

    Major reinforcement projects for this period appear also in other Balkan countries e.g. Bulgaria, Romania


    New projects in se up to 2015

    New projects in SE up to 2015

    • New important transmission lines:

    • N. Santa (GR)-Maritsa (BG)

    • Ernestinovo (HR)-Pecs (HU)

    • Stip (MK) – Nis (RS)

    • Podgorica (ME)-Tirana (Al)

    • Italy-Montenegro (DC)

    • Italy-Albania (DC)


    New projects in se after 2015

    New projects in SE after 2015

    • New important transmission lines:

    • Cirkovce (Sl) - Heviz (Hu)

    • Pancevo (RS)-Resita (RO)

    • Okroglo(Sl) - Udine(IT)

    • Italy – Greece new dc cable


    Cse regional group summary of projects

    CSE Regional Group – Summary of projects

    • Upgrade or construction of ~6,500km of AC lines (380-400kV)

    • Upgrade or construction of ~ 513 km of AC lines (<380kV)

    • Construction of ~2270km of DC lines

    • Estimated cost 4-5 billion Euros for the next 5 years


    Next steps to proceed with regional investment plan and contribution to tyndp 1 2

    Next steps to proceed with Regional Investment Plan and contribution to TYNDP (1/2)

    • Common market and network studies:

    • Regional market modeling

    • Network adequacy studies and provisional needs for transmission investments

    • Sensitivity studies

    • Estimation of future NTC values


    Next steps to proceed with regional investment plan and contribution to tyndp 2 2

    Next steps to proceed with Regional Investment Plan and contribution to TYNDP (2/2)

    • To provide an estimation of the “most likely” power flows

    • To estimate transmission adequacy and expected transfer capacity increase

    • Main scenario to be examined 20x20x20 in 2020

    • Assessment of the impact of increased RES penetration on the regional network

    • A Regional (coordinated) Investment Plan will be issued on December 2011


    Common activities for large res penetration in se europe

    Common activities for large RES penetration in SE Europe

    • Regular meetings for regional RES issues

    • Regular information exchange for RES developments and prospects in each country

    • Analysis of the current situation, regulatory and technical frameworks as well as the expected RES penetration in the area.

    • Common studies have been launched to assess the impacts of the expected RES penetration in the Balkan grid.

    • Detection of weak network points and proposals for reinforcements

    • A coordinated Regional Transmission Plan will be issued on December 2011


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    Visions and Actions towards 2050


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    ENTSO-E takes over a responsible role for the future energy system

    Integrated concept

    Taking all aspects into account

    Involving all major stakeholders in the process

    Huge investment budget

    In-depth study necessary to avoid stranded investments

    Modular approach

    Gaining know-how along the learning curve, realization should proceed step-by-step

    In line with EIP, ENTSO-E takes the lead in a 3-year in-depth study project to finally develop by end 2014

    the Modular Development Plan for a

    Pan-European Electricity Highways System

    The Strategy: Sustainable solutions for the big challenges ahead need in-depth analysis before investment decisions.


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    The Timeline: Main steps towards a Modular Development Plan for a pan-European Electricity Highways System

    Q1-Q2 2011

    Q1 2012

    Q4 2014

    Broad consultation of study package

    Start of FP7 study project

    Dissemination of intermediate results

    Modular Development Plan for Pan-EuropeanElectricity Highways System


    The overall entso e mission

    The overall ENTSO-E Mission

    • Identify studies and elaborate a “Roadmap towards a pan-European power system 2050” with special focus on a 2050 supergrid as an overall guideline for the supergrid conceptual phase

    • Perform consultations and closely collaborate with EC, stakeholders and the public for achieving a common understanding of supergrid issues

    • Manage ENTSO-E supergrid studies and address all essential results at EU level

    • Develop strategies for increasing the social acceptance for grid development measures as a precondition for the realization of the supergrid concept.

    • Develop strategies for increasing the readiness of decisionmakers to support and promote the idea of a supergrid as an answer to European energy needs.


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    New Context: The EIP Blueprint*

    • EIP blueprint recommendations:

    • Following key actions are necessary to prepare European Electricity Highways:

    • In line with the conclusions of Bucharest Forum (06/2009):

    • Initiate dedicated work on the Electricity Highways, in the framework of

    • the Florence Forum, to structure the work carried out by all stakeholders

    • Organisationby the European Commission and ENTSO-E and bringing together all relevant stakeholders

    * Communication paper on Energy Infrastructure Package as published by EC on 17th November 2010


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    Energy regulators

    European Commission

    New Context: Possible Electricity Highways Stakeholder Platform

    Member States

    Energy industry associations

    DSO association

    Manufacturer

    ENTSO-G

    ENTSO-E

    ACER

    Universities/R&D performer

    Renewable energy associations

    Financial institutions

    Consumer associations

    NGOs


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    The Approach – ENTSO-E Study Roadmap

    Modular Electricity Highways System Development Plan 2050

    ENTSO-E Study Roadmap

    Setting up ENTSO-E approach on Electricity Highways System

    12/2014

    Pre-phase

    Consultations with relevant supergrid players

    08/2010

    Final consultation process

    Study Roadmap towards a pan-European power system 2050

    Elaboration of ENTSO-E study package towards concept on Electricity Highways System

    Elaboration of comprehensive and sustainable concept on Electricity Highways System

    07/2011

    12/2011

    02/2011

    Initial consultation process

    Consortium establishment

    Start of Study package on Electricity Highways System

    06/2012: TYNDP 2012 incl. progress report on Electricity Highways System


    Way ahead work programme from 2011 on i

    Way ahead: Work programme from 2011 on (I)

    • Q4 2010 – Q1 2011:Consultation with DG Energy / Preparation of Electricity Highways Stakeholder Platform:

      • Several discussions with DG Energy were done in preparation of EIP (incl. contribution to ENTSO-E reaction on EIP blueprint).

      • In close cooperation with DG Energy, a comprehensive stakeholder list for Electricity Highways Stakeholder Platform was defined in preparation of 19th Florence Forum (see Annex 2 to cover note).

      • Currently: Florence Forum conclusions, the DG Energy/ENTSO-E/ACER chaired Electricity Highways Stakeholder Platform is in realization.

    • Q1/Q2 2011:ENTSO-E internal/external consultation on 2050 Study Roadmap (see slides below)

    • Q3/Q4 2011:Preparation of realization of 2050 Study Roadmap

      • Establishment of consortium in cooperation with RDC and Electricity Highways Stakeholder Platform (TSOs as coordinator, EDSO, manufacturers, institutes and universities, NGOs, consumer associations, industry associations,…)

      • Application on dedicated SET plan FP7 call


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    Way ahead: Work programme from 2011 on (II)

    • Q1 2012 – Q4 2014: Coordination of FP7 study project on pan-European Electricity

    • Highways System

      • Preparation of Modular Development Plan on pan-European Electricity Highways System - following the EIP blueprint

      • Involvment of all relevant stakeholders optimally by usage of the Electricity Highways Stakeholder Platform as Stakeholder Advisory Body in the FP7 project structure


    Transmission planning activities in south east europe

    Thank you

    [email protected]


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