2012 / 13 Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook. Neville Koop, Meteorology and Climate Advisor, SPREP . SST Anomaly September. Neutral. El Nino. La Nina. SPCZ and ITCZ.
2012 / 13 Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook
Neville Koop, Meteorology and Climate Advisor, SPREP
Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook: Near average or slightly above average numbers for many islands likely, and increased activity in the late season near Tonga and Niue.
Seven analog tropical cyclone seasons (1978/79; 1979/80; 1980/81; 1990/91; 1996/97; 2001/02; 2003/04) have been identified.
Note that the small number of analog seasons relates to the brevity of the high-quality TC data set (only 42 years) and the limited number of similar analogs to this season.