NUOPC IOC Status Report to COPC November 16, 2010. Allan Darling Deputy Director, NCEP Central Operations NOAA NWS NCEP Allan.Darling@noaa.gov. G. G. NUOPC IOC-1 / NAEFS. November 10, 2010. PM: Fred Toepfer. Objective. Y. Schedule.
Allan DarlingDeputy Director, NCEP Central Operations
NOAA NWS NCEPAllan.Darling@noaa.gov
NUOPC IOC-1 / NAEFS
November 10, 2010
PM: Fred Toepfer
Requirement: Combine the NOAA and Navy ensemble members as the National Ensemble. Combine this National Ensemble and the CMC ensemble in the NAEFS. With the addition of FNMOC, increase NAEFS members from 126 to 166, forecasts to 16 days, and standardize variables.
Goal: Enhance the multi-model ensemble system to produce bias corrected ensemble variables and probabilistic products for use by the Operational
Implementation slip from 22 Dec to 11 Jan
Risk: Schedule has slipped due to effect of required maintenance on availability of development system. Completion of external evaluation the week of 20 December pushes project completion to the first possible post-holiday implementation date of 11 January 2011.
DATMS-U upgrade (JAG/CCM) - Complete
Infrastructure augmentation (TOC) - Complete
Ensemble delivery (FNMOC) - Complete
New file structure for communication and processing efficiency
Routine delivery (FNMOC, TOC, NCEP) - Complete
Ensemble integration (NCEP, FNMOC) - Complete
Transition to operations (NCEP) – In process
Adding FNMOC ensemble to NAEFS
Continued evaluation of the benefits derived from the addition of the FNMOC ensemble data is required
Scope change may be required if pre-implementation testing reveals negative impact on skill for any of the four variables listed above
Develop UEO Implementation and Management Plan
12-24 month work plan
Rationalize NUOPC and NAEFS requirements
Establish NUOPC / NAEFS coordination process
Potential supporting infrastructure upgrades
FNMOC interface system upgrades
Next Generation COPC Enterprise Network (AI 2008-2.11)
COPC Action Item 2010-1.4: Develop and submit to COPC for approval a Unified Multi-Model Ensemble Operations annex to the DAPE MOA to address NAEFS and/or NUOPC operations management, alignment of performance requirements, change management, and data dissemination.
Advocate: WG/CSAB, JAG/OCM, and JAG/CCM
Suspense: October 2010