Perspective Plan of Bangladesh 2010 -2021

1. Perspective Plan of Bangladesh 2010 -2021 Presentation by Dr. Muhammad G. Sarwar at Civil Service College, Dhaka 14 June 2010

2. Presentation Contents • Rationale for Development Planning in Bangladesh • Guiding Principles of Development Planning in Bangladesh • Chronology of Perspective Plan Preparation in Bangladesh • Perspective Plan of Bangladesh 2010 -2021

3. Selected Development Parameters: Bangladesh, LMI and UMI

4. Selected Development Parameters (contd.)

5. Chronology of Perspective Plan Preparation • 1979: Preliminary Thoughts on a Perspective Plan of Bangladesh 1980 -2000 • 1983: Thoughts about Perspective Plan • 1995: Participatory Perspective Plan of Bangladesh 1995 – 2010 • 2010: Outline Perspective Plan of Bangladesh 2010 – 2021: making vision 2021 a reality

6. Guiding Principles of Development Planning in Bangladesh • Bangladesh State Constitution • Millennium Development Goals • SAARC Development Goals • Other International Conventions • Election Manifesto of Party in Power

7. Bangladesh Development Planning is based on the State Constitution (Part II, Articles 9 -20) • Article 14: emancipation of the peasants and workers from all forms of exploitation; • Article 15: provision of basic necessities of life- food, clothing, shelter, education, and medical care; • Article 16: rural and agricultural development; • Article 17: free and compulsory education; • Article 18: improvement of nutrition and public health; • Article 19: equality of opportunity to all citizen; • Article 10: participation of women in national life. • Article 9: promotion of local govt. institutions for improving public service delivery;

8. MDGs: Global Poverty Reduction Goals • MDG 1: Halve the proportion of poor and hungry people; • MDG 2: Ensure that boys and girls can complete primary schooling; • MDG 3: Eliminate gender disparity; • MDG 4: Reduce under-five mortality rates; • MDG 5: Reduce the maternal mortality ratio; • MDG 6: Reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS and the incidence of malaria and TB; • MDG 7: Improve the access of safe water, basic sanitation and the lives of slum dwellers; • MDG 8: Develop a global partnership to create a non-discriminatory global trading and financial system.

9. Vision of the Perspective Plan 2010 -2021 • Making Bangladesh a middle-income and a high HDI country by 2021, the Golden Jubilee Year of national independence • Graduating Bangladesh to a resilient democratic nation • Democratic culture • Right to information and free media • Independence of judiciary • Gender balanced society • Food and energy secured country • Knowledge based society • Strengthening ICT towards ‘digital Bangladesh’ • Protecting environment and meeting climate change challenges

10. Key Development Targets • Increasing and sustaining annual GDP growth rate to 8% by 2013 and 10% by 2017 and raising per capita income to US$ 2000; • Reducing the poverty headcount ratio to 15% by 2021; • Achieve self-sufficiency in food by 2012; • Transforming the sectoral composition of GDP with the share of agriculture, industry and services standing at 15%, 40% and 45% respectively by 2021; • Reduction of unemployment rate 15%; • Transforming the employment shares of agriculture, industry, and services to 30%, 25% and 45% respectively by 2021; • Ensuring 100% net enrolment at primary school as soon as possible after 2010; • Providing free tuition up to degree level as soon as possible after 2013; • Attaining full literacy as soon as possible after 2014;

11. Key Development Targets (contd.) • Ensure living accommodation for the entire population as soon as possible after 2015; • Supply of pure drinking water for the entire population as soon as possible after 2011; • Bring each house under hygienic sanitation by 2013; • Eliminate all contagious diseases; • Increase life expectancy to 70 years by 2021; • Reduce maternal mortality to 1.5%; • Raise the use of birth control methods to 80%; • Reducing infant mortality to 15 per thousand live births by 2021; • Generating 11,500 mw by 2015 and 20,000 mw by 2021 and ensuring per capita energy consumption up to 600 kwh

12. Development Priorities of the Perspective Plan • Ensuring corruption free effective governance • Promoting an innovative people for digital Bangladesh • Creating a caring society • Ensuring broad-based growth and food security • Energy security for development • Building a sound infrastructure • Mitigating the impact of climate change • Addressing globalization and regional cooperation challenges

13. Corruption Free Good Governance for Economic Growth • Institutions of the State will be free from partisan influence. The basis of appointment and promotion in the civil service will be performance, commitment, efficiency, honesty and loyalty • Self-reliant local self-government institutions will be established at Upazila and Zila levels. Local government institutions will play a critical role in governance as well as in development programes • Anti-corruption movement • Installing a transparent procurement system • Formation of a effective office of Ombudsman • Introducing agency performance ranking • Targets for good governance • Develop a country specific governance measurement mechanism by 2012 • Develop a composite set of Agency Performance Indicators for the Ministries/ Divisions by 2014

14. Macroeconomic Strategic Goals of the Perspective Plan • Equitable, environmentally sustainable, inclusive pro-poor accelerated growth; • Productivity growth across all sectors of the economy; • Acceleration of investment from domestic resources; • Speeding up of employment keeping in view the issues of gender dimension; • Stabilization of general price level; and • Structural transformation in the economy

15. Macroeconomic Framework of PP

16. Projected GDP Growth Rate

17. Projected Poverty Headcount Ratio

18. Planned Structural Change in Bangladesh Economy by 2015 and 2021

19. Structure of Bangladesh Economy 2009

20. Structure of Bangladesh Economy 2021

21. Structural Change in External sector by 2015 and 2021

22. Vision 2021: education • Elimination of illiteracy as soon as possible after 2014; • Ensuring 100% net enrolment at primary school as soon as possible after 2010 with specific steps to address the dropout problem; • Providing free tuition up to degree level as soon as possible after 2013; • Emergence of Bangladesh as a country of educated people with skill in ICT; • Moving towards knowledge based society based on science and technology education.

23. Vision 2021: health • Supply of pure drinking water for the entire population as soon as possible after 2011; • Bring each house under hygienic sanitation by 2013; • Eliminate all contagious diseases; • Reduce maternal mortality to 1.5%; • Increasing CPR from 56% to 80%; • Reducing infant mortality to 15 per thousand live births by 2021; • Reducing TFR from 2.7 to 2.2; • Increase life expectancy to 70 years by 2021.

24. Agriculture Development by 2021: Crops Production Projection(in mil. tons)

25. Agriculture Development by 2021: Fisheries Production Projection(in thousand tons)

26. Agriculture Development by 2021: Livestock & Poultry Population Projection(million)

27. Energy Security: targets for electricity production

28. Energy Security: energy mix scenario

29. Implementation Phasing of Perspective Plan 2010 - 2021 • Perspective Plan 2010 -2021 would be implemented in two phased by preparing and implementing two Five Year Plans: • Sixth Five Year Plan 2011 – 2015; and • Seventh Five Year Plan 2016 - 2020

30. Thanks