1 / 54

BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE

BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE. UNIQUE TOOLS FOR IMPROVING EDUCATION, MITIGATION, MONITORING , AND ADAPTATION FOR GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA . BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives On Science, Policy,

Download Presentation

BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE UNIQUE TOOLS FOR IMPROVING EDUCATION,MITIGATION, MONITORING, AND ADAPTATION FOR GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA 

  2. BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED

  3. MEDITERRANEAN REGION

  4. BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE: GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS MEDITERRANEAN REGION EUROPE NORTH AMERICA SOUTH AMERICA CARIBBEAN BASIN OCEANIA

  5. BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE: GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS ASIA RUSSIA INDIA CHINA SOUTHEAST ASIA

  6. BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE ON DISASTER-CAUSING PHENOMENA GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE DROUGHTS EARTHQUAKES FLOODS SEVERE WINDSTORMS WILDFIRES LANDSLIDES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS TSUNAMIS

  7. HURRICANES/ TYPHOONS FLOODS EARTHQUAKES GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE LANDSLIDES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS DROUGHT \LANDSLIDES WILDFIRES TSUNAMIS GCC AND NATURAL HAZARDS ATMOSPHERIC GEOLOGIC HYDROLOGIC

  8. THE DILEMNA OF DISASTER SCENARIOS FOR GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE OCCURS AT THE LOCAL LEVEL WHERE, BROAD BRUSH STROKES ARE TOO UNCERTAIN

  9. THE ISSUE: WERE RECENT UNUSUALLY SEVERE PHYSICAL EFFECTS EXACERBATED BY SOME OF MAN’S PAST ACTIONS, OR WERE THEY INDEPENDENT OF MAN AND EVIDENCE OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE?

  10. WAS THE WINTER OF 2008 UNUSUAL? VERY COLD IN CHINA VERY COLD IN NEW YORK SNOW IN AMMAN, JORDAN VERY WARM IN SWEDEN VERY WARM IN NORWAY VERY WARM IN ENGLAND

  11. SNOW IN AMMAN, JORDAN: JANUARY;2008

  12. WARM IN TYNEMOUTH, UK: FEBRUARY 2008

  13. NO ICE IN NORWAY: JANUARY 2008

  14. VERY COLD IN GUANGZHOU, CHINA: JANUARY 2008

  15. STOCKHOLM, SWEDEN: WARMEST SINCE 1755

  16. VERY COLD IN NEW YORK: FEBRUARY 2008

  17. PART 1:WHAT IS THE CURRENT THINKING ON GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE?

  18. GLOBAL TIPPING POINTS (Typical Climates Norms Replaced by Hotter Norms) Based on a research report published by the University of Hawaii at Manoa October 2013

  19. GLOBAL HOT SPOTS • Global temperatures at Locations worldwide will exceed historic norms as soon as 2020, … and no later than 2069

  20. EXAMPLES • 2020 IN MANOKWARI, INDONESIA • 2023 IN KINGSTON, JAMAICA • 2029 IN LAGOS, NIGERIA • 2047 IN WASHINGTON, DC

  21. IMPACTS • Locations in the tropics will experience the earliest emergence of the new climate norms

  22. PART 2:WHAT CAN WE DO ABOUT GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE?

  23. MONITORING • HAZARD MAPS • INVENTORY • VULNERABILITY • LOCATION • EDUCATION • PREPAREDNESS • PROTECTION • EARLY WARNING • EM RESPONSE • RECOVERY RISK ASSESSMENT POLICY TOOLS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE DATA BASES AND INFORMATION YOUR COMMUNITY HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

  24. RISK ASSESSMENT • VULNERABILITY • EXPOSURE • EVENT GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE NATURAL HAZARDS • COST • BENEFIT EXPECTED LOSS POLICY ADOPTION • CONSEQUENCES POLICY ASSESSMENT BUILDING A CULTURE OF DISASTER RESILIENCE

  25. MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR COPING WITH THE POTENTIAL ADVERSE EFFECTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE IF THE PREDICTIONS ARE RIGHT, WE WILL BE LIVING WITH THE EFFECTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE FOR THE REST OF OUR LIVES

  26. ANTICIPATE YOUR RISK

  27. GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE WAS ONLY DISCUSSED IN A HYPO-THETICAL WAY FOR MANY YEARS. If CONSIDERED AS A THREAT, IT WAS A THREAT FOR THE DISTANT FUTURE. GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE IS INCREASINGLY BEING REGARDED AS A FACT, … WHICH IMPLIES SERIOUS RISKS THAT PRESENT AND FUTURE GEN-ERATIONS ALIKE WILL HAVE TO FACE. GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

  28. MITIGATION ADDRESSES THE “FRONT END” OF THE GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE PROBLEM. IT INCLUDESACTIONS THAT WILL PREVENT (OR REDUCE) THE RELEASE OF EXCESS CO2 EMMISIONS. ADAPTATION ADDRESSES THE “BACK END” OF THE PROBLEM. IT INCLUDESACTIONS THAT WILL SAFE-GUARD A PERSON, A COMMUNITY, A BUSINESS, OR A NATION AS THEY LIVE WITH THE LIKELY IMPACTS. MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION

  29. MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • ADAPTATION IS REQUIRED BECAUSE WE CAN NOT TURN OFF THE MOMENTUM OF ADVERSE IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE IN A SHORT TIME. • CARBON DIOXIDE REMAINS IN THE ATMOSPHERE FOR DECADES, AND • OCEANS STORE HEAT FOR CENTURIES.

  30. MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • MANY COUNTRIES ARE NOW MAKING LARGE INVESTMENTS IN MITIGATION AND ANTICIPATORY ADAPTATION ACTIONS. • LEADERS RECOGNIIZE THAT THE EFFECTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE WILL LIKELY INCREASE THE RISKS FOR PEOPLE, BUSINESSES, AND COMMUNITIES LIVING IN OR LOCATED IN COASTAL AREAS OR IN RIVER FLOODPLAINS.

  31. THE NETHERLANDS: MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • AFTER 800 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE BATTLING THE NORTH SEA, THE NETHERLANDS HAS NOW CREATED SOME OF THE STRONGEST FLOOD DEFENSES IN THE WORLD. • PRESENT RIVER DEFENSES PROVIDE 1-IN -250 YEARS PROTECTION LEVELS.

  32. THE NETHERLANDS: MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • THE OOESTERSCHELDEKERING, A PART OF THE DELTA WORKS DAMS, DEFENDS AGAINST THE NORTH SEA. • THEY ARE NOW BEING MADE STRONGER TO PROVIDE 1-IN-100,000 YEARS PROTECTION INSTEAD OF 1-IN-10,000 YEARS PROTECTION.

  33. THE NETHERLANDS:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • THE DUTCH ARE ALSO REVISING TRADITIONAL FLOOD MANAGEMENT THINKING. • IN ADDITION TO CONTAINING THE FLOOD WATERS, THEY WILL ALLOW CERTAIN DESIGNAGTED LOCATIONS TO BE FLOODED. • THIS STRATEGY IS CALLED, “LIVING WITH WATER.”

  34. THE OOESTERSCHELDEKERING: THE NETHERLANDS

  35. THE NETHERLANDS: MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • THE NETHERLANDS WILL COMMIT ABOUT $1.3 BILLION ANNUALLY TO INCREASE FLOOD PROTECTION LEVELS. • THIS INVESTMENT IS EQUAL TO ABOUT 0.2 PERCENT OF THE NETHERLAND’S GDP.

  36. BRITAIN:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • THE BRITISH ARE IMPROVING AND EXTENDING THE “THAMES BARRIER,” A SET OF FLOODGATES ACROSS THE THAMES RIVER. • WHEN THE BARRIER IS CLOSED (ABOUT 10 TIMES A YEAR) IT PROVIDES 1-IN-2,000 YEARS PROTECTION OF LONDON FROM FLOODING CAUSED BY OCEAN SURGES DURING STORMS.

  37. LONDON, ENGLAND

  38. THAMES RIVER BARRIER DURING STORM

  39. BRITAIN:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • THE PREDICTED RISE IN SEA LEVEL BY 2030 IS EXPECTED TO REQUIRE AN INCREASE IN PROTECTION ALONG THE THAMES TO 1-IN-1,000 YEARS. • THE ENTIRE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE REPLACED AND UPGRADED BY 2100.

  40. TOKYO: ANTICIPATES MORE WATER THAN USUAL IN THE FUTURE

  41. JAPAN:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • JAPAN IS ANTICIPATING MUCH MORE WATER FROM RISING SEA LEVEL, OCEAN STORM SURGES, TSUNAMI WAVE RUN UP, AND EXCESSIVE PRECIPITATION FROM TYPHOONS. • ITS 12-YEAR-OLD “G-CANS PROJECT” HAS CREATED A MASSIVE UNDERGROUND CONCRETE “RIVER SYSTEM” IN NORTHWEST TOKYO TO FACILITATE REMOVAL OF EXCESS WATER FROM TOKYO’S STREETS.

  42. G-CANS: THE WORLD’S LARGEST UNDERGROUND “RIVER” SYSTEM

  43. JAPAN:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • JAPAN HAS INSTALLED UNDERGROUND PUMPS THAT CAN PUMP 100 TONS OF WATER PER SECOND OUT OF RIVERS AND INTO THE HARBOR TO PREVENT FLOODING OF CTY STREETS. • THIS SYSTEM IS ALREADY CONSIDERED TO BE OPERATING AT FULL CAPACITY NOW.

  44. BANGLADESH:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • BANGLADESH, ONE OF THE MOST VULNERABLE PLACES ON EARTH TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE, NOW REQUIRES USE OF CLIMATE CHANGE MODELS IN ALL FUTURE PLANNING AND DECISIONS. • IT HAS BEGUN SWITCHING LAND USE FROM RICE FARMING TO PRAWN FARMING IN LOCATIONS WHRE SALT WATER IN THE BAY OF BENGAL IS NOW MOVING INLAND.

  45. BANGLADESH:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • BUT, BEING ONE OF THE POOREST COUNTRIES IN THE WORLD, BANGLADESH CAN NOT AFFORD THE INVESTMENTS REQUIRED FOR ADAPTATION MEASURES NOW UNDERWAY IN MANY INDUSTRALIZED COUNTRIES. • IT NEEDS INTERNATIONAL AID, WHICH IS NOT NOW AS AVAILABLE AS IN THE PAST.

  46. GREATER NEW ORLEANS, LA: ONLY 300,000 AFTER KATRINA

  47. NEW ORLEANS: ANTICIPATES HURRICANES EVEN WORSE THAN KATRINA

  48. UNITED STATES:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION • ADAPTATION IS NOW ON THE AMERICAN AGENDA BECAUSE OF HURRICANE KATRINA AND ITS IMPACT ON NEW ORLEANS AND THE GULF COAST. • NEW ORLEANS HAS BECOME A LABORATORY FOR SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, HAZARD INSURANCE, AND PUBLIC POLICY.

  49. NEW ORLEANS:MITIGATION & ADAPTATION

  50. NEW ORLEANS’ LEVEE SYSTEM

More Related