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Overview of the Lebanese Economy and Banking Industry. Presentation to the delegation of The Banks Association of Turkey. Beirut- December 3, 2010 Dr. Makram Sader Secretary General Association of Banks in Lebanon. I- Economic Growth II- Public Finances III- External Accounts

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Overview of the Lebanese Economy and Banking Industry

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Overview of the lebanese economy and banking industry

Overview of the Lebanese Economy and Banking Industry

Presentation to the delegation

of The Banks Association of Turkey

Beirut- December 3, 2010

Dr. MakramSaderSecretary General Association of Banks in Lebanon


Overview of the lebanese economy and banking industry

I- Economic Growth

II- Public Finances

III- External Accounts

IV- Financial Intermediation


Real sector indicators

Real Sector Indicators

Sources: IMF Article IV- BDL- Economic Accounts of Lebanon- Lebanese customs.


Aggregate demand and supply usd billion and

Aggregate Demand and Supply USD billion and %

Source: Lebanon's Economic Accounts 2008


Public finances

Public Finances

Sources: MOF, BDL

*Adjusted to include all telecom revenues.


Total debt structure in

Total debt structure in %

Source: BDL

Public debt holders*

in %

* Estimations


Balance of payments million usd

Balance of Payments million USD

* Estimates - IMF Article IV

** Projections- IMF Article IV

*** For Information

Sources: IMF- BDL- ABL


Structure of the banking industry

Structure of the Banking Industry


Lebanese banking presence abroad

Lebanese Banking Presence Abroad


Consolidated balance sheet of commercial banks million usd end of period

Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks million USD - End of period

Source: BDL


Consolidated balance sheet of commercial banks change in

Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial Bankschange in %

Source: BDL


Dollarization

Dollarization

  • The net trading position against the Lebanese pound must not exceed 1% of shareholder's equity while the global position cannot exceed 40% of shareholder's equity .

  • A structural position of 60% of shareholder's equity is authorized to hedge the capital in LBP against fluctuations in the exchange rate .

  • Banks are required to maintain at least 10% of their foreign currency liabilities as net liquid assets and at least 15% as required and remunerated deposits in FC at BDL .

in %

Source: BDL


Weighted average spread lbp and fc markets

Weighted Average Spread (LBP and FC Markets)

Source: BDL


Indicators of the lebanese banking sector performance

Indicators of the Lebanese Banking Sector Performance

* Cash and deposits at BDL + Treasury bills in LBP & Eurobonds ( with less than 1 year maturity)

+ foreign assets (excluding claims on non-resident private sector)


Key prudential practices

Key Prudential Practices


Financial soundness indicators regional comparison latest available

Financial Soundness Indicators- Regional comparison (latest available)

(1)Latest figure: Net Problem Loans/Net Total Loans- IMF Article IV Oct. 2010.

(2) Includes provisions against problem loans and general provisions.

(3) after taxes.

Source: Global Financial Stability Report/IMF, October 2010.


Bank revenue composition in of total 2009

Bank Revenue Composition in % of total- 2009

Source: R. Ariss' calculations from Bankscope.


Overview of the lebanese economy and banking industry

Selected Indicators on the Size of the Capital Markets, 2009 (In billions of U.S. dollars unless noted otherwise)

Source: Global Financial Stability Report/IMF, October 2010.

a- Includes Euro area countries, Denmark, Sweden and UK.

b- Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan province of China.

c - Commercial banks balance sheet


Selected indicators on the size of the capital markets 2009 structure and percentage of gdp

Selected Indicators on the Size of the Capital Markets, 2009 Structure and percentage of GDP

Source: Global Financial Stability Report/IMF, October 2010.

*includes Euro area countries, Denmark, Sweden and UK.

* Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan province of China.


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