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Overview of the Lebanese Economy and Banking Industry. Presentation to the delegation of The Banks Association of Turkey. Beirut- December 3, 2010 Dr. Makram Sader Secretary General Association of Banks in Lebanon. I- Economic Growth II- Public Finances III- External Accounts

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Overview of the Lebanese Economy and Banking Industry

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Overview of the Lebanese Economy and Banking Industry

Presentation to the delegation

of The Banks Association of Turkey

Beirut- December 3, 2010

Dr. MakramSaderSecretary General Association of Banks in Lebanon


I- Economic Growth

II- Public Finances

III- External Accounts

IV- Financial Intermediation


Real Sector Indicators

Sources: IMF Article IV- BDL- Economic Accounts of Lebanon- Lebanese customs.


Aggregate Demand and Supply USD billion and %

Source: Lebanon's Economic Accounts 2008


Public Finances

Sources: MOF, BDL

*Adjusted to include all telecom revenues.


Total debt structure in %

Source: BDL

Public debt holders*

in %

* Estimations


Balance of Payments million USD

* Estimates - IMF Article IV

** Projections- IMF Article IV

*** For Information

Sources: IMF- BDL- ABL


Structure of the Banking Industry


Lebanese Banking Presence Abroad


Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks million USD - End of period

Source: BDL


Consolidated Balance Sheet of Commercial Bankschange in %

Source: BDL


Dollarization

  • The net trading position against the Lebanese pound must not exceed 1% of shareholder's equity while the global position cannot exceed 40% of shareholder's equity .

  • A structural position of 60% of shareholder's equity is authorized to hedge the capital in LBP against fluctuations in the exchange rate .

  • Banks are required to maintain at least 10% of their foreign currency liabilities as net liquid assets and at least 15% as required and remunerated deposits in FC at BDL .

in %

Source: BDL


Weighted Average Spread (LBP and FC Markets)

Source: BDL


Indicators of the Lebanese Banking Sector Performance

* Cash and deposits at BDL + Treasury bills in LBP & Eurobonds ( with less than 1 year maturity)

+ foreign assets (excluding claims on non-resident private sector)


Key Prudential Practices


Financial Soundness Indicators- Regional comparison (latest available)

(1)Latest figure: Net Problem Loans/Net Total Loans- IMF Article IV Oct. 2010.

(2) Includes provisions against problem loans and general provisions.

(3) after taxes.

Source: Global Financial Stability Report/IMF, October 2010.


Bank Revenue Composition in % of total- 2009

Source: R. Ariss' calculations from Bankscope.


Selected Indicators on the Size of the Capital Markets, 2009 (In billions of U.S. dollars unless noted otherwise)

Source: Global Financial Stability Report/IMF, October 2010.

a- Includes Euro area countries, Denmark, Sweden and UK.

b- Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan province of China.

c - Commercial banks balance sheet


Selected Indicators on the Size of the Capital Markets, 2009 Structure and percentage of GDP

Source: Global Financial Stability Report/IMF, October 2010.

*includes Euro area countries, Denmark, Sweden and UK.

* Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan province of China.


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