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2007 EMME Users Conference 12 October, 2007. Modelling Needs of Peel Region in the Context of the Emerging Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area. By: Murray McLeod, P. Eng. Manager of Transportation Planning, Peel Region, Ontario, Canada. Purpose. Transportation Challenges in Peel

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2007 emme users conference 12 october 2007
2007 EMME Users Conference12 October, 2007

Modelling Needs of Peel Region in the Context of the Emerging Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area

By: Murray McLeod, P. Eng.

Manager of Transportation Planning,

Peel Region, Ontario, Canada


Purpose
Purpose

Transportation Challenges in Peel

Use of EMME Modelling to Measure Transportation Performance

Use of 3D Graphics to Communicate Value of Peel Transportation Solutions (a Work in Progress)


Peel’s Strategic Location

Caledon

Peel

York

Brampton

Halton

Mississauga

Toronto

Hamilton

Durham



Ptg forecasts rapid population growth in suburban 905 areas
PTG Forecasts Rapid Population Growth in Suburban 905 Areas for Development

Population

( in Millions)

Population

( in Millions)

905 Area

(Peel, York, Durham,

Halton, and Hamilton)

Peel

York

416 Area

(Toronto)

Durham

Halton

Hamilton

1988

Source: 1971-2006 Statistics Canada

2011-2031 Places to Grow


Go rail and bus service a radial network
GO Rail and for DevelopmentBus Service:A Radial Network

Source: Peel Long Range Transportation Plan Report – September 2005



Peel’s Encouragement of Sustainable Transportation in the Future

Daily Trips

(millions)

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0

Current

Trend

Aggressive

Transit/TDM

70%

Auto Driver

Current

Trend

Sustainable

Travel Modes

Auto Passenger

30%

Walk & Cycle

Transit

1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031

1.7 cars/household


Peel gtha transit challenges
Peel (GTHA) Transit Challenges Future

Full daily GO Rail service (e.g. Milton, Georgetown)

New GO Rail service (Bolton)

New express trains (e.g. Brampton)

Add circumferential services (GO Bus and GO Rail)

Enhance local transit network


Peel Uses a 4-Stage Transportation Forecasting Model (EMME) Future

Trip Generation

Work Other

School

Airport

Trip Distribution

Work Other

Apply Growth Factors

Apply

Growth Factors

Modal Split

Peak Hour

Factors

Trip Assignment


Model application arterial extension of highway 427
Model Application: FutureArterial Extension of Highway 427

Origin-Destination plot (Select-Link Analysis)


Model Application: Future

2/3 of Peak Hour Travel on Peel Arterials will be Congested


Peel gtha highway road challenges
Peel (GTHA) Highway/Road Challenges Future

Extend key freeways (410, 427)

Selective Widening (e.g. 401 west of 410)

New Freeways (e.g. GTA West Corridor)

Roads to support new development and transit

Expansion to support inter-regional travel


Goods Movement in Peel Future

(Major Freight Hub for Southern Ontario)

Peel

Region


Peel s industrial economy freight centres around the pearson airport
Peel’s Industrial Economy: FutureFreight Centres Around the Pearson Airport

Legend

Service Facility

Yard

Warehouse

Intermodal Terminal

Highway Network

Canadian Cities

US Cities




Peel gtha challenges for goods movement
Peel/GTHA Challenges for Goods Movement 2007

Peel/Private Sector Goods Movement Planning Partnership

Strategic Goods Movement Plan for Peel

Improvements to NAFTA Corridors

Improvements to Border Crossings

Pursue Multi-Modal Gateway Solutions


Transportation performance as a driver of transportation solutions
Transportation Performance as a Driver of Transportation Solutions

Transportation issues in Peel

Assessing Peel/GTHA for transportation performance

Use of 3D graphics to communicate value of Peel transportation solutions (interested in your views)


Transportation performance measurement framework passengers goods
Transportation Performance Measurement Framework (Passengers & Goods)

Performance Measures

Time/speed

Network connectivity redundancy

Choice/mode

Reliability

Service Quality

Safety

Air emissions

Valuation

Economic

  • Social/Quality of Life

Environment


Highway 401 AADT Growth & Goods)

(1982, 1987, 1989, 1992)

Oshawa

Oakville


Speed/Flow Performance of Highway 401 & Goods)

Westbound section from Avenue Road to Renforth Drive (1995)

MTO Compass System Data


AM Peak Congestion & Goods)

Doubles Travel Time on Highway 401

Westbound Collectors, Avenue Road to Renforth Drive (1995)

Time Travelled (min)

Distance Travelled (km)


Speed/Volume Performance & Goods)

of a Freeway Lane

Highway Capacity Manual, 1985


Calgary Congestion Study & Goods)

Woudsma, 2006


Congestion in Calgary over time & Goods)

Woudsma, 2006






Projected 2031 gta employment ptg
Projected 2031 GTA Employment (PTG) & Goods)

Soberman Report, Nov 2006



Density of transit use in 2001 tts
Density of Transit Use in 2001 (TTS) & Goods)

Soberman Report, Nov 2006


Go rail service in peel total travel time to union station vehicle time to station plus rail time
GO Rail Service in Peel: Total Travel Time to Union Station (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)


Go rail service in peel total travel time to union station vehicle time to station plus rail time1
GO Rail Service in Peel: Total Travel Time to Union Station (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)

Existing GO Rail Service


Go rail service in peel total travel time to union station vehicle time to station plus rail time2
GO Rail Service in Peel: Total Travel Time to Union Station (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)

Express GO Rail Service from Bramalea Station

Existing GO Rail Service Plus a New Bolton Station


Am peak hour freeflow road network travel time to highway 401 at yonge st
AM Peak Hour Freeflow Road Network Travel Time (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)(to Highway 401 at Yonge St.)


Am peak hour congested road network travel time to highway 401 at yonge st
AM Peak Hour Congested Road Network Travel Time (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)(to Highway 401 at Yonge St.)


Am peak hour travel time to highway 401 at yonge st
AM Peak Hour Travel Time (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)(to Highway 401 at Yonge St.)

Congested Road Network

Free flow Road Network


Other 3d mapping applications
Other 3D Mapping Applications (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)

Accessibility to Jobs

Impact of Flow Management of Highways

Impact of HOV Lanes

Impact of Other TDM Measures

Impact of Tolls


Final thoughts
Final Thoughts (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)

EMME is a tool to measure the impacts of future transportation improvements

ARCGIS is a tool to visualize the impacts of future transportation improvements

ARCGIS helps communicate the value of transportation improvements (for transportation decision-makers, the public, politicians and senior funding agencies)


Special thanks to: (Vehicle Time to Station Plus Rail Time)

ESRI Canada: Alex Miller

Matt English

Susan Enyedy-Goldner

Questions??

Demonstration


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