Loading in 2 Seconds...
Loading in 2 Seconds...
Institute for Sustainability, Health and Environment Inaugural Conference Anticipating tomorrow for changing today UWE, Bristol, 21 st April 2009 Sara Parkin Founder Director www.forumforthefuture.org.uk.
Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.
Institute for Sustainability, Health and Environment Inaugural ConferenceAnticipating tomorrow for changing todayUWE, Bristol, 21st April 2009Sara ParkinFounder Directorwww.forumforthefuture.org.uk
What will relationship between health and environmental sustainability look like in 2035 and what to do now?
Well before 2035:
What to do
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment 2005
15 out of 24 ecosystem services are degraded or being used unsustainably
Millennium Development Goals 2005
“If current trends exist there is a risk many of the poorest countries will not be able to meet many of them”
Observations confirm worst-case IPCC trajectories are being realised.
Many societies are highly vulnerable to even modest levels of climate change
Rapid, sustained, and effective mitigation is required to avoid "dangerous climate change"
Climate change will have strongly differential effects on people (intra and inter-generational) and biodiversity.
Inaction is Inexcusable
Many of the tools and approaches to deal effectively with the climate change challenge already exist.
Meeting the Challenge
Need to overcome significant constraints (e.g. inertia in economic and social systems) and seize critical opportunities (development of the green economy).
Copenhagen: key messages
Source: CSA March 2009
Shrinking supply side
“Normally, large, aggressive, predatory mammals are rare – humans have broken this rule”
Colin Tudge, 2005
but so does space and impact
people carbon emissions per sq km p/capita p/year
Bangladesh 954 0.2
Netherlands 468 8.7
England & Wales 389 11
China 143 2.2
European Union (25) 118 2.8
Kenya 53 0.3
USA 29 19.8
S and C America
Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 billion fewer people
4 billion fewer people
in Asia and Africa
1 billion fewer US-style
“leadership matters, no trend is immutable, and timely and well-informed intervention can decrease the likelihood and severity of negative developments and increase the likelihood of positive ones.”
Forum for the Future, UK Sustainable Development Strategy
7 by 2020, 2 by 2050
Two will do population policy
Grow human and social capital
freedom from calamity
enjoyment of health
HEALTH BEING WELL HAPPY
soundness of fortunate
wholesome prosperity felicitous
all of these are cheaper than the opposite
Thank you for listening!
Forum for the Future