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95% credible intervals: Vbak: 19.9939 40.6203 K: 34.9009 43.7138 P: 3.4135 3.4168

test data set 1 50,000 iterations run starting points chosen from eyeballing and fiddling with data and guessing at a good fit. relatively poor mixing (parameter draws made independently despite known correlations) burn-in: 10,000. 95% credible intervals: Vbak: 19.9939 40.6203

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95% credible intervals: Vbak: 19.9939 40.6203 K: 34.9009 43.7138 P: 3.4135 3.4168

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  1. test data set 150,000 iterations runstarting points chosen from eyeballing and fiddling with data and guessing at a good fit.relatively poor mixing(parameter draws made independently despite known correlations)burn-in: 10,000

  2. 95% credible intervals: Vbak: 19.9939 40.6203 K: 34.9009 43.7138 P: 3.4135 3.4168 chi: 0.3458 0.4481 e: 0.2262 0.5009 omega: 1.0409 1.6849

  3. test data set 210,000 iterations run(this morning!--not enough time for more.)starting points chosen from eyeballing and fiddling with data and guessing at a good fit.relatively poor mixing(parameter draws made independently despite known correlations)no convergence at all, so no distributions drawn or intervals constructed

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