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Two Approaches to Assessing Affordability

Evidence on Affordability From Consumer Expenditures and Employee Enrollment in Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance. Two Approaches to Assessing Affordability. Family Budget Approach : measure “room” in family budgets to pay medical costs after paying for other necessities

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Two Approaches to Assessing Affordability

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  1. Evidence on Affordability From Consumer Expenditures and Employee Enrollment in Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance

  2. Two Approaches to Assessing Affordability • Family Budget Approach: measure “room” in family budgets to pay medical costs after paying for other necessities • Voluntary Enrollment Approach: Assume that individuals can afford insurance if they voluntarily choose to enroll when offered by their employer • Both suggest that insurance is largely affordable both above and below 300% of poverty.

  3. Family Budget Approach • Use best source of expenditure data for the U.S.: Consumer Expenditure Survey • Sample of families in Massachusetts • Data on income and consumption expenditures on various categories of goods

  4. Defining Necessities • Categories of “necessities” follows earlier approaches: • Child care • Food • Housing • Taxes • Transportation • Miscellaneous (10% of total)

  5. Defining Necessities • This approach understates affordability • Counts all expenditures in these categories regardless of how “necessary” • By definition assumes that health insurance should be a lower priority than these other “necessities”

  6. Available Resources • Big issue: families spend more than their income • True for most families below 300% of poverty • Some of this is borrowing • But most of it is under/mis-reporting of incomes • So “available resources” are really better measured by expenditures • In other words, question is: how much “room” do families have in their budgets for health care? • I measure the available “room” as what they are spending on non-necessary consumption items

  7. Available Resources • What if individuals are going into debt? • Not obviously a problem – law students should have health insurance even if building up debt • For others, it can be … so subtract debt holdings from available resources • That is, “room” to pay premiums is expenditures on non-necessities minus debt

  8. Available Resources • Example: Janet • Reported income of $20,000 • Expenditures of $25,000 • No reported debt • Expenditures on necessities of $20,000 • So her available resources are $25,000 • And her “room” to pay premiums is $5000

  9. Available Resources • Example: Joe • Reported income of $20,000 • Expenditures of $25,000 • Debt of $5000 • Expenditures on necessities of $20,000 • So his available resources are $20,000 • And his “room” to pay premiums is $0

  10. Out of Pocket Spending • Another issue: what about out of pocket spending / deductibles? • Not clear whether we should account for these in considering affordability • Individuals face even more out of pocket costs without insurance than with insurance • For individuals who are sick, it is lack of insurance that is unaffordable • Strange to say that illness makes insurance unaffordable!

  11. Out of Pocket Spending • At the same time, we are asking folks to pay both premiums and considerable OOP costs (if in MCC plan) • So choose middle ground: consider typical OOP costs for uninsured person under each plan • Can’t use typical costs for insured person – that would build in bias towards excess care once insured

  12. Enrollment Based Approach • Alternative: Individuals can afford insurance if they buy it voluntarily • A natural laboratory for looking at this question: the workplace • In fact, very few individuals offered insurance at the workplace turn it down to become uninsured • Suggests that for most, employer-provided insurance is affordable

  13. Enrollment by Premium Level • Enrollment high on average – but does it fall as employer premiums rise? • Use data on average enrollment by single/family premiums from Kaiser Family Foundation survey • Find that enrollment remains high even at very high premium levels

  14. Enrollment Among Low Wage Workers • We are particularly concerned about affordability for low income families – less than or near 300% of poverty • Kaiser data – enrollment at firms where 35% of worker earn $20,000 or less • Still get high enrollment even at premiums of $200/month or more

  15. Enrollment Among Very Low Wage Workers • Massachusetts-specific survey • Smaller sample sizes, but know more about wage distribution • Even among firms where 90% of workers earn less than $30,000, two-thirds enroll • Despite typical cost per worker of $100 per month • Insurance clearly affordable for workers in this range

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