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NES 2009-New Elements

NES 2009-New Elements. - A Lokniti Presentation -. Core features of NES Tradition. Election study as a window to study Indian democracy Strict probability sampling with non-substitution Exhaustive questionnaire with detailed background Direct training and supervision of field investigators.

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NES 2009-New Elements

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  1. NES 2009-New Elements - A Lokniti Presentation -

  2. Core features of NES Tradition • Election study as a window to study Indian democracy • Strict probability sampling with non-substitution • Exhaustive questionnaire with detailed background • Direct training and supervision of field investigators

  3. Third generation of NES • Expanded sample • Coverage of all states • Probability sample drawn at state level • State specific questions • Thematic focus • Decentralized administration

  4. Methodological Refinements • Schedule for respondents not interviewed • Revert back to earlier practice of strict non-substitution • Keywords based translation of ‘dialects’ • Overhauling of caste coding • Revamping the training of investigators

  5. Expanding sample & coverage • Expected Sample Interviews: 38,000+ • 3 levels of Sample: • Small states: about 1000 • Medium states: about 1500 • Large states: 2000 or above • To cover about 537 LS constituencies • Locations: 2000+

  6. ‘Split Sample’ for Deeper Probe • Departure from the earlier practice of administering identical questions to all respondents. • National sample to be divided into five sub-samples with sample of 7000+ • Sub samples to be randomized • In-depth probing of specific themes without compromising reliability

  7. Effect of Split Sample • Interview Schedule to be divided into: • Core questions common in all 5 Sets • Set specific questions • State specific questions • Introduction & Informed consent common in all 5 Sets • Background questions common in all 5 Sets

  8. Core Questions • Voting preference: present and past • Turnout: did you vote? Why? Why not? • Participation in election related activities • Interest and involvement in politics • Partisanship: identification, loyalty • Evaluation of Union government • Leadership preference

  9. State Specific Questions • Evaluation of state government’s performance • Comparison of State Leadership • State level issues to be determined by the state team

  10. Theme 1: Economy • Changing economic conditions of the family: past, present & future • Effect of recent economic changes: global meltdown, job losses, farmers’ suicides etc • Access to economic opportunities of the UPA schemes: NREGA, loan waiver etc • Knowledge of and opinion about New Economic Polices

  11. Theme 2: National Security • Awareness of key developments: Indo-US deal, Mumbai attacks etc • Foreign policy orientation • Reaction to terrorism • Linkage between external relations/ national security and voting

  12. Theme 3: Political Choices • Choice of political parties - Likes & Dislikes • Party or Candidate as consideration of voting • Role played by caste and communities in determining political choices

  13. Theme 4: Democracy • Meaning of democracy • Support for democracy • Legitimacy, efficacy and trust in public institutions • Responses to politics and

  14. Theme 5: Social & Political Values • Awareness of key developments like Ram Setu controversy • Nature of religious practice • Communalism/Secularism issue • Responses to Hindutva • Religiosity and its impact on voting behaviour.

  15. Thank You

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