The good the bad and the ugly
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The good, the bad and the ugly…. Tammy Marino Associate Economist NYS Department of Labor Division of Research & Statistics (585) 258-8870 [email protected] www.labor.state.ny.us/workforceindustrydata/fin/index.shtm. March 18, 2009 Finger Lakes Workforce Investment Board.

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The good the bad and the ugly

The good, the badand the ugly…

Tammy Marino

Associate Economist

NYS Department of Labor

Division of Research & Statistics

(585) 258-8870

[email protected]

www.labor.state.ny.us/workforceindustrydata/fin/index.shtm

March 18, 2009

Finger Lakes Workforce Investment Board


The good the bad and the ugly

Private Sector EmploymentUnited StatesJanuary 2008-January 2009

Employment declined 3.7 million (-3.2%) over-the-year.


The good the bad and the ugly

Private Sector EmploymentRochester MSAJanuary 2008-January 2009

Employment down 1,400 (-0.3%) over-the-year.


Unemployment rates january of each year

Unemployment Rates(January of each year)

Rochester MSA U.S.FLR

2009 8.0%8.5%8.6%

20085.7%5.4%6.1%


Unemployment rates

Unemployment Rates


The good the bad and the ugly

Private Sector EmploymentRochester MSA(January of Each Year)

Employment down 16,500 (-3.7%) since its peak in 2001.


Two trends driving change rochester msa 1990 2008

Two Trends Driving Change…Rochester MSA1990-2008

Locally manufacturing comprises:

14% of employment and 22% of wages

(Nationally manufacturing accounts for 11% of employment)


Employment by industry 4 county finger lakes region 2 nd quarter 2008

Employment by Industry4-County Finger Lakes Region-2nd Quarter 2008


Industries that lost jobs 4 county region 2q 2005 to 2q 2008

Industries that Lost Jobs4-County Region 2Q 2005 to 2Q 2008


Industries that gained jobs 4 county region 2q 2005 to 2q 2008

Industries that Gained Jobs4-County Region 2Q 2005 to 2Q 2008


Trends in today s economy

Trends in Today’s Economy

  • More Women in the Workforce

  • Baby Boomers are Retiring

  • Aging Out of the Workforce

  • Service Based Economy

  • Global Trade

  • Technology Advances

Spas, financial services, lawn services, landscaping

Hands on careers-hvac, nursing, spas, education, daycare, pet care


Fastest growing occupations finger lakes region 2006 2016

Fastest Growing OccupationsFinger Lakes Region2006-2016


Fastest growing occupations continued

Fastest Growing Occupations continued…


The good the bad and the ugly

Occupations Requiring a Bachelor’s Degree, Finger Lakes, 2006-2016

% Growth

Fastest Growing Occupations

Median Wage

Network Systems & Data Communications Analysts 40.0%

Physician Assistants 39.6%

Personal Financial Advisors 32.7%

Computer Software Engineers, Systems Software 31.9%

Database Administrators 31.2%

$68,560 $72,010 $84,370 $81,330 $71,450

Occupations with Most Annual Openings

Openings/Year

$63,170 $64,440 $60,560 $62,610 $71,530

Elementary School Teachers, Ex. Special Ed. 220

Secondary School Teachers, Ex. Special & Vocational Ed. 210

Accountants and Auditors 180

Middle School Teachers, Ex. Special and Vocational Ed. 90

Computer Systems Analysts 90

Source: New York State Department of Labor


The good the bad and the ugly

Occupations Requiring an Associate Degree, Finger Lakes, 2006-2016

Median Wage

Fastest Growing Occupations

% Growth

$32,520 $36,640 $59,090 $27,220 $42,650

Medical Records and Health Info. Technicians35.6%

Physical Therapist Assistants34.6%

Dental Hygienists29.9%

Veterinary Technologists and Technicians28.1%

Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians27.6%

Occupations with Most Annual Openings

Openings/Year

Registered Nurses 330

Computer Support Specialists 100

Paralegals and Legal Assistants 30

Radiologic Technologists and Technicians 10

Dental Hygienists/Assistants/Lab Technicians 60

$60,780 $47,940 $43,250 $50,570 $59,090

Source: New York State Department of Labor


The good the bad and the ugly

Occupations Requiring Either Postsecondary Training or

Long-term OTJ Training, Finger Lakes, 2006-2016

Median Wage

Fastest Growing Occupations*

% Growth

$33,260 $52,530 $41,830 $34,440 $52,550

Fitness Trainers & Aerobics Instructors 30.8%

Electricians 29.3%

Heating, AC, & Refridge. Mechanics & Installers 26.2%

EMTs and Paramedics 24.1%

Plumbers, Pipefitters, & Steamfitters 23.5%

Occupations with Most Annual Openings

Openings/Year

$46,670 $35,860 $53,690 $40,640 $52,530

Nursing Aides, Orderlies & Technicians 140

Licensed Practical Nurses 130

Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 70

Carpenters 130

Electricians 60

Source: New York State Department of Labor


The good the bad and the ugly

Occupations Requiring Moderate to Short-term OTJ Training, Finger Lakes, 2006-2016

Occupations with Most Annual Openings

Median Wage

Openings/Year

Customer Service Representative340

Child Care Workers290

Janitors and Cleaners290

General Office Clerks250

Teacher Assistants230

Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 210

Farmworkers and Laborers200

Laborers and Freight Movers200

Home Health Aides190

Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 180

$29,300 $19,000 $21,500 $20,300 $32,000 $19,600 $22,300 $23,100 $20,700 $38,300

Source: New York State Department of Labor


The good the bad and the ugly

Occupations Requiring Moderate to Short-term OTJ Training, Finger Lakes, 2006-2016

Occupations with Most Annual Openings

Median Wage

Openings/Year

Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor Trailer120

Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers110

Security Guards110

Social and Human Service Assistants100

Correctional Officers and Jailers 80

Construction Laborers 70

$35,300 $23,200 $24,000 $25,400 $54,000 $33,700

Source: New York State Department of Labor


The good the bad and the ugly

When will the economy turn around?


Recession proof jobs

Recession Proof Jobs

  • Education

    • Teacher, Teacher Assistant, Instructor

  • Health Care

    • Nurse, Pharmacist, Physician Assistant

  • Energy

    • Alternative Energy (solar, wind, biofuel…)

  • Environmental

    • Ecologists, Hydrologists, Environmental Chemists

  • Security

    • Police Officer, Detective, Security Guard,

      Homeland Security


Long term trends

Long Term Trends

  • Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts

  • Computer Software Engineers, Applications

  • Home Health Aides

  • Personal and Home Care Aides

  • Medical Assistants

  • Dental Hygienists

  • Dental Assistants

  • Physical Therapist Assistants

  • Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors

  • Computer Systems Analysts

  • Physical Therapist Aides

  • Network and Computer Systems Administrators


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