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Defence Review 2015

Defence Review 2015. Progress Report to the NCOP Select Committee on Security and Justice. February 2016. AIM. Information Brief On The Progress Made With The Planning And The Implementation Of The SA Defence Review 2015. INTRODUCTION.

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Defence Review 2015

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  1. Defence Review 2015 Progress Report to the NCOP Select Committee on Security and Justice February 2016 RESTRICTED

  2. AIM Information Brief On The Progress Made With The Planning And The Implementation Of The SA Defence Review 2015 RESTRICTED

  3. INTRODUCTION • SONA 2014 confirmed the continuation of the current ordered commitments for the SANDF and recognised the need to fund the ‘recently approved Defence Review’. • Minister’s Budget Vote Speech 2014 and 2015 identified the following domains as the Ministerial priorities in the implementation of the Defence Review. • Strategic Leadership. • The funding model for Defence. • Personnel renewal. • Organisational renewal. • Capability renewal. • Defence industry and technology. • Defence Commitments. RESTRICTED

  4. INTRODUCTION • Defence Review adopted by the National Assembly and the National Council of Provinces on the 4th June 2015 and the 24th June 2015 respectively. • Department of Defence has constituted a Defence Review Implementation Project Team as the high level oversight body that will manage planning and implementation. • Developed and approved an ‘Overarching Planning and Implementation Framework’ to allow for the Defence Review programmatic implementation aligned with the government planning cycle. • The Defence Review comprises of 5 Milestones i.e. • Milestone 1 : Arrest the Decline • Milestone 2 : Rebalance the Force • Milestone 3 : Capacitate the Force • Milestone 4 : Respond to Challenges. • Milestone 5 : Limited War RESTRICTED

  5. PLANNING THE DEVELOPMENT TRAJECTORY • Critical Success Factors • Parliament Endorsed • Directed by the CiC. • Cabinet supported. • Appropriately funded. • National consensus. • Command driven. • Interactive timeline. • Value proposition focus. • Strategic partners. MS0 MS5 ??? MS2 MS1 MS4 MS3 Current Situation Limited War Respond to Challenges Arrest Decline Capacitate Rebalance RESTRICTED

  6. INTRODUCTION • Milestone 1 Plan to ‘Arrest the Decline’ • Plan about to be finalised toaddress the following 2 key areas: • Minimal cost – driven interventions that will improve efficiencies and effectiveness within the DOD as a whole. • Cost – driven interventions for those capabilities that are required to support existing ordered operational commitments. • DOD will use the 2015/16 as the year of planning and the minimal cost – driven interventions have been included in the adjustments to the 16/17 APP in January 2016. • The actual deliverables with respect to Milestone 1: Minimal Cost Driven Interventions to be carried out by the DOD will be contained in the FY16/17. • The Costed Plan for Milestone 1: Cost Driven Interventions will be finalised by March/April 2016 to form the basis of engagement with NT and other stakeholders. RESTRICTED

  7. INTRODUCTION • Funding the Defence Review: • The realization of the objectives of the Defence Review Milestones is depended on the adequate funding of the DOD by government through defence appropriation. • If the above doesn’t happen, the defence trajectory as set out in the Defence Review will not be reached and the consequences of that will be the continued decline of defence capabilities to the disadvantage of ordered commitments. • In view of this unfavorable situation, the DOD needs the support of all stakeholders particularly Parliament to support the call for added funding. • Given the current constraints in the national revenue, we are not expecting that this money should come from the National Fiscus,  we have to look elsewhere and fund this urgent imperative off balance sheet without incurring additional burden in borrowing by the state.  • The DOD is considering various options of alternative sources of revenue to supplement the inadequate defence allocation. This is conducted as part of the development of the Defence Funding Model. RESTRICTED

  8. APPROACH TO PLANNING • DOD has used the 2015/16 year of planning and implementation will start 1 April 2016. • Developed a DOD project schedule to ensure a logical and systematic approach to the development of both the short term interventions and the long term defence development plan. • SecDef and CSANDF have signed the Defence Planning Instruction 08/2015: Implementation of the Defence Review • Appointed two permanent planning teams to develop the detailed plans (Military and Secretariat) • Provides for two main work packages to run simultaneously within two permanent planning teams: • Identify and execute the ‘Interventions to arrest the decline’ (Milestone 1). • Develop the ‘Long term Defence Development Plan’ to implement the Defence Review (Milestone 2 – 4). RESTRICTED

  9. BROAD PROJECT PLANNING DELIVERABLES Rebalancing Defence Capability Arresting the Decline Capacitating Defence Capability Responding to Military Threats ARREST THE DECLINE MS 0 MS 1 MS 4 MS 2 “As Is” MS 1 MS 3 “As Is” MS 4 MS 4 “As Is” “As Is” MS 4 JANUARY 2016 16/17 DOD APP ADJUSTMENTS FULLY COSTED PLAN FOR MS1 COMPLETED BY MARCH/APRIL 2016 FULLY COSTED PLAN COMPLETED BY MAY 2017 MS 2 LONG TERM DEFENCE DEVELOPMENT PLAN MS 4 REPORTS PROVIDE VALUE PROPOSITION FOCUS --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DOD 20 YEAR PROJECT PLAN INFORMS SECRETARIAT AND MILITARY LONG-TERM PLANS DOD 20 YEAR PROJECT PLAN: 2 PRIMARY WORK PACKAGES

  10. MILESTONE 1: PLANNING APPROACH • Milestone 1 focus. • Interventions to ensure the capability and capacity requirements to meet current defence commitments as described in the Joint Force Employment Strategy. • Enhanced or new policy to enable the interventions to ‘arrest the decline’. • Develop the policy, strategy, plan and reporting prescripts to enable the implementation of Milestones 2 – 4 of the Defence Review. • Deliverable: The Plan to ‘Arrest the Decline’ thatmust address the following key areas: • Non and minimal cost-driven: Interventions that will improve efficiencies and effectiveness within the DOD as a whole. • Cost-driven: Urgent funding for those capabilities that are required to support existing ordered operational commitments. RESTRICTED

  11. BROAD PROCESS LOGIC: MILESTONE 1 Rebalancing Defence Capability Arresting the Decline Responding to Military Threats Capacitating Defence Capability Arresting the Decline Permanent Planning Teams “As Is” MS 1 MS 4 “As Is” MS 4 MS 1 MS 4 MS 2 MS 3 “As Is” FY 20/21 FY 17/18 FY 16/17 “As Is” FY 18/19 FY 19/20 DEFINE THE DOD INTEGRATED MS1 INTERVENTIONS: SANDF TEAM and SEC DEF TEAM (JFE and GRC) Required Defence Capability (MS 1) Current Defence Capability (MS 0) APP APP APP APP DELIVERABLES: VALUE PROPOSITION (JFE) AND SD PROCESS REQUIREMENTS (PSP) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT MANAGEMENT

  12. MILESTONE 2 - 4: PLANNING APPROACH • Coupled to the pronouncements of the Defence Review, the policies, strategies and plans delivered as part of the MS 1 execution deliverables provide the foundation and informs the planning for MS 2 – 4. • The planning for MS 2 – 4 can thus be seen as concurrent with the planning for MS 1 as and therefore commences during the planning and execution of MS 1 at the completion of the development of the Military Strategycomponent. • The planning for the implementation of MS 2 – 4 will culminate in the ‘Long–term Defence Development Plan’. The following are key components to the plan: • An Accountability and Delegation Regime that eliminates the current obstacles that inhibit effective command and control. • A Military Strategy that will include the following. • A blueprint Force Design for MS 4. • A Force Structure supportive to the design. • Establishment tables • A Joint Force Employment Concept inclusive of Landward Defence, Air Defence, Maritime Defence, Special Forces and Military Health concepts. • The Long Term Capability Development Plan. • Functional Support Plans. • Year On Year Funding Requirement. RESTRICTED

  13. BROAD PROCESS LOGIC: MILESTONE 2 - 4 Rebalancing Defence Capability Responding to Military Threats Capacitating Defence Capability MS 1 MS 2 MS 4 MS 3 MS 4 “As Is” “As Is” MS 4 MS 1 MS 1 MS 1 MS 1 MS 1 MS 1 Defence Accountability and Command Relations Policy (Costing and Budgeting Tool)-> Funding Requirement <-(Funding Model) Military Strategy Force Design and Structure Resource Support Plans Capability Development Plan MS 4 MS 4 MS 4 MS 4 MS 4 MS 4 LONG TERM DEFENCE DEVELOPMENT PLAN --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT MANAGEMENT PROCESS

  14. SOME SHORT-TERM ACHIEVEMENTS Personnel • Strategic Leadership. • SDSP offered at the Masters Degree level in process. (Defence College) • Reworked the Officer Development path. • Reworked the NCO development path • Expanding the capacity of the Military Academy as a basis to migrate to the Defence Academy. This includes the development of a new degree on cyber warfare. • Cyber warfare strategy development is in process. • Renewed focus on the University Reserve Training Program. • Personnel is working on career pathing and succession planning to support the leadership requirement. RESTRICTED

  15. SOME SHORT-TERM ACHIEVEMENTS Personnel (2) • Personnel renewal. • Personnel (HR) Charter has been developed and provides for the Policy, Strategy and Planning outcomes for Personnel including timelines. • Decentralised recruitment by Services and Divisions. • Exit mechanism under development and is undergoing preliminary consultation with NT and DPSA. • Training of own personnel in specific musterings (medicine, aviation, engineering…) in countries abroad such as Cuba, Russia & China. RESTRICTED

  16. SOME SHORT-TERM ACHIEVEMENTS Organisation • Planning Teams constituted and commenced work from the 1st August 2015. • DOD already in a position to influence and add to the 16/17 APP. • Planning teams currently verifying the sequencing of interventions. • Organisational renewal. • New Military Strategy is being developed. • Process to develop the Force Design options as a prerequisite to the Force Structure is in an advanced stage of development. • Simulation with CSIR to test new organisational combat configurations that will influence doctrine and design and future military effectiveness. RESTRICTED

  17. SOME SHORT-TERM ACHIEVEMENTS • Sustainment • Defence industry. • NDIC formedand is to be launched on the 3rd March 2016. • Armscor Board/Management together with Def Mat focused on accelerated acquisition process that will support current operational commitments. • Armscor Strategy approved by the PDSC for presentation to higher authority. RESTRICTED

  18. SOME SHORT-TERM ACHIEVEMENTS Equipment • Capability renewal. • Capability Development process in place that integrates with the Force Design development process and can respond to the military strategy once it has been finalised. • Focus on satisfying the current operational commitments. • OP THUSANO • Project THUSANO (ambulance and fleet R&M for improved serviceability of operational vehicles and skills advancement of personnel). • Also assisted the Aviation environment with recovery of aircraft (Astra fleet that was due for disposal is now being maintained and repaired for use) and vehicles (Samil). • Also assisted the SA Air Force with capacity building in the technical personnel environment. • Maintenance and repair of Samilvehicles through own capacity. RESTRICTED

  19. SOME SHORT-TERM ACHIEVEMENTS Doctrine • (Policies/ Instructions/Directives). • Project plan and schedule for the Milestone 1 interventions has been developed using the MS Projects software. • Planning interventions for Milestone 1 in process and will be executed in the following manner. • FY 16/17 APP requirements was finalised by the PDSC and the COD during January 2016. RESTRICTED

  20. SOME SHORT-TERM ACHIEVEMENTS Facilities • The return of the control of the Dockyard to the SA Navy isin process. • Decision to upgrade of the Naval Station Durban to a base. Planning to achieve this is underway. • MOU on function transfer of the defence endowment property signed and under implementation. • Consolidation of the Works Formation as the DOD in house capability for repair and maintenance. Technology • Defence industry and technology. • Various R&D projects into technology force multipliers being developed to support current defence commitments. RESTRICTED

  21. BRIEFINGS TO PARLIAMENTARY OVERSIGHT COMMITTEES • MOD led delegation gave a progress report and presentation made to the PCD 27 November 2015. The following key pronouncements were made by the committee. • PCD supported fully the approach to implementation as defined in the Defence Review Overarching Planning and Implementation Framework. • PCD supported the approach of delineating Non cost-driven interventions from cost-driven interventions. • PCD supported the inclusion of non cost-driven interventions for the FY 16/17 Annual Performance Plans. • PCD supported the notion of alternative sources of funding for the DOD and in particular the sweating of DOD assets in this regard. • PCD directed that the ARMSCOR proposal on sale of possible surplus facilities be pursued as a first-order funding intervention. RESTRICTED

  22. MAIN CHALLENGES • Arresting the decline is critically dependent on increased defence appropriation and the realization of the proposed interventions. • Funding implications may give rise to sub-optimal options for MS1 or imply a longer timeframe to arrest the decline. RESTRICTED

  23. DISCUSSION

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