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Understanding Metropolitan Change: The Urban Turnaround, Boomburbs, and Growth Counties Robert Lang, Ph.D. Professor and

Understanding Metropolitan Change: The Urban Turnaround, Boomburbs, and Growth Counties Robert Lang, Ph.D. Professor and Director Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech Alexandria, Virginia. Census 2000 Conference UC Berkeley November 1, 2002. Key Trends.

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Understanding Metropolitan Change: The Urban Turnaround, Boomburbs, and Growth Counties Robert Lang, Ph.D. Professor and

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  1. Understanding Metropolitan Change: The Urban Turnaround, Boomburbs, and Growth Counties Robert Lang, Ph.D. Professor and Director Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech Alexandria, Virginia Census 2000 Conference UC Berkeley November 1, 2002

  2. Key Trends • 1990s were the best decade for big, traditional cities since the 1940s • A new category of suburban super city, or “boomburb” is emerging • Many metropolitan core counties are growing more diverse, while peripheral counties remain mostly white

  3. Akron, OH Jersey City, NJ Portland, OR Atlanta, GA Kansas City, MO Providence, RI Baltimore, MD Louisville, KY Richmond, VA Birmingham, AL Milwaukee, WI Rochester, NY Boston, MA Minneapolis, MN San Francisco, CA Buffalo, NY New Orleans, LA Seattle, WA Chicago, IL New York, NY St. Louis, MO Cincinnati, OH Newark, NJ St. Paul, MN Cleveland, OH Norfolk, VA Syracuse, NY Dayton, OH Oakland, CA Toledo, OH Denver, CO Philadelphia, PA Washington, DC Detroit, MI Pittsburgh, PA Worcester, MA 36 Large Cities in the “Urban Turnaround” Analysis

  4. Criteria for Cities • 200,000 or more population in 1950, which in 1950 came to 50 cities • At least two decades of decline from 1950 to 2000, which resulted in 36 cities

  5. Numbers of Older Industrial Cities Gaining and Losing Population by Decade, 1950-2000 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s Source: Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech, Alexandria, VA (mi.vt.edu) Tabulations of decennial census data by Patrick A. Simmons and Robert E. Lang

  6. Best and Worst Decades For Population Growth in Older Industrial Cities (Based on Numeric Population Change) 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s Source: Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech, Alexandria, VA (mi.vt.edu) Tabulations of decennial census data by Patrick A. Simmons and Robert E. Lang

  7. Arizona: Chandler, Gilbert, Glendale, Mesa, Peoria, Scottsdale, Tempe California: Anaheim, Corona, Costa Mesa, Fontana, Fullerton, Irvine, Lancaster, Moreno Valley, Ontario, Orange, Oxnard, Rancho Cucamonga, Riverside, San Bernardino, Santa Ana, Santa Clarita, Simi Valley, Thousand Oaks, Chula Vista, Escondido, Oceanside, Daly City, Fremont, Santa Rosa, Sunnyvale Colorado: Aurora, Lakewood, Westminster Florida: Coral Springs, Hialeah, Pembroke Pines, Clearwater Nevada: Henderson, North Las Vegas Texas: Arlington, Carrollton, Garland, Grand Prairie, Irving, Mesquite, Plano Other States: Naperville, IL; Salem, OR; West Valley City, UT; Chesapeake, VA; Bellevue, WA The 53 Boomburbs

  8. Criteria for Boomburbs • Double-digit growth for each decade since 1950 • Population above 100,000 by 2000 Census • Not the largest central city in the region • Located in one of the 50 largest regions in the US, which runs from Richmond, VA to New York

  9. What are Boomburbs? • Urban in fact, but not in feel • Lack a large downtown relative to their size (there is no skyline) • Have “hybrid” problems: urban sprawl and increasing poverty • Come in two major types: immigrant dominated and traditional suburban

  10. Boomburbs that had the largest increase in population in the 1990s: Metro Area Increase Gilbert, AZ Henderson, NV North Las Vegas, NV Peoria, AZ Pembroke Pines, FL Chandler, AZ Phoenix Las Vegas Las Vegas Phoenix Miami Phoenix 276% 170% 142% 114% 110% 95% Source: Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech, Alexandria, VA (mi.vt.edu)

  11. Boomburbs 300,000 or More Metro Area Year started Start pop. 2000 pop. Mesa, AZ Phoenix 1950 16,790 396,375 Santa Ana, CA Los Angeles 1950 45,433 337,977 Arlington, TX Dallas 1950 7,692 332,969 Anaheim, CA Los Angeles 1950 14,556 328,014 Source: Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech, Alexandria, VA (mi.vt.edu)

  12. Growth County Criteria • Double-digit growth for each decade since 1950 • Located in largest 50 metropolitan areas • New Metropolis Counties added since 1971

  13. Growth County Share of U.S. Population: 1950 and 2000

  14. MEGA Counties

  15. Edge Counties

  16. New Metropolis Counties

  17. mi.vt.edu • Urban Turnaround (Census Note 01) • Boomburbs (Census Note 05) • Growth Counties (under Current Research) Coming Soon (Spring 2003): Bruce Katz and Robert Lang. Redefining Cities and Suburbs Robert Lang. Edgeless Cities: Exploring the Elusive Metropolis Both from the Brookings Institution Press

  18. www.mi.vt.edu

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