Report from the scientific project manager
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Report from the Scientific Project Manager. 7th COSMO GENERAL MEETING 18 – 21 September 2006 Bucharest Tiziana Paccagnella ARPA-SIM. Report from the Scientific Project Manager. Scientific activities will be presented by WP coordinators and by our colleagues.

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Report from the scientific project manager

Report from the Scientific Project Manager

7th COSMO GENERAL MEETING

18 – 21 September 2006

Bucharest

Tiziana Paccagnella

ARPA-SIM

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Report from the scientific project manager1

Report from the Scientific Project Manager

Scientific activities will be presented by WP coordinators and by our colleagues.

I will report only general comments about our activities during the past year

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Boundary conditions for activities planning in cosmo

Boundary Conditions for activities planning in COSMO

Perspectives in European Numerical Forecasting

  • GCM10 km horiz. resolution

  • LAM~1 km horiz. Resolution

    • Assimilation of frequent/high density data

    • New developments are required in the new generation of models

    • Direct model output attractive for users (hydrology, air quality)!!!

      • New evaluation/verification procedures

      • Model adaptation/probabilistic interpretation

  • Increasing development of Ensemble Prediction Systems both as a complement of deterministic forecasting and for assimilation systems

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Cosmo longer term perspectives 3 5 years

COSMO Longer-term perspectives (3-5 years)

  • Develop and improve ensemble prediction systems based on LM (including cloud resolving scale)

  • Assimilation of ‘all’ available observationssfc / profiles / radar / satellites…high resolutionalso slowly-changing information (soil moisture, vegetation state, etc)

  • LM performance known, critically discussed and improved

    Need for more collaboration

    with other Consortia

Mathias Rotach Talk

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Priority projects

Priority Projects

  • To better concentrate joint COSMO efforts

  • To optimize the use of COSMO human resources

  • To facilitate management related to goals which are Considered to be prioritary

Problems related to many activities and lack of resources

Priority Projects introduced in 2005

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


The present scientific organization of cosmo

Scientific Working Groups

WG1

WG2

WG3

WG4

WG5

WG6

The present scientific organizationof COSMO

SUPPORT ACTIVITIES – WG6

SIR

1DVAR FOR SATELLITE DATA

LM_Z

COSMO Priority Projects

RK

UTCS

SREPS

INTERPRETATION

TACKLE DEFICIENCES IN QPF

COMMON VERIFICATION – CONDITIONAL VERIFICATION

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Report from the scientific project manager

  • 16th Meeting of the COSMO STC

    Zürich, December 1 and 2, 2005

  • 12th Meeting of the COSMO SAC

    DWD - Offenbach, 3-4 May 2006

  • 13th Meeting of the COSMO SAC

    ARPA-SIM - Bologna, 7-8 Sept. 2006

  • 17th Meeting of the COSMO STC

    Bucharest, General Meeting 2006

    &

    WGs and Projects meetings

    &

    Reporting

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Report from the scientific project manager

12th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee DWD, Offenbach, 3-4 May 2006 13th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee ARPA-SIM, Bologna, 7-8 September 2006

  • Some of the Projects are still suffering for lack of human resources. For some projects we had tasks without FTE committed and other tasks too crowded.

  • We still have quite relevant problems about communications. Reports are not delivered on time and, in several cases, not delivered at all. : our COSMO spirit should increase!!!

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Necessity to speed up the procedure to define activities and projects

Necessity to speed-up the procedure to define activities and projects

  • May 2006

    • The Projects years will be redefined from October to September to be synchronized with the COSMO year.

    • Projects should be drafted (almost ready) for the SAC meeting of September.

    • Project drafts will be available on the WEB after the SAC meeting of September.

    • Projects will be finalized after the contributions coming from the GM discussions

    • Projects approval by STC will be done at the end of the general meeting.

    • Feedback by STC to project leaders before October the 15th

    • The project leaders will interact directly with STC members as regards the allocation of FTEs on the different project

    • Commitments to PL‘s: Nov 15

  • Mid November 2006

  • May 2005

    • SAC (WP Coordinators + SPM) defines a preliminary list of projects fitting COSMO strategy

    • General Meeting parallel sessions: collection of proposals and fine- tuning of projects

    • SAC defines a priority list to be submitted to the decisions of STC

    • STC selects a limited (one-digit) numbers of “top priority projects”

    • WP coordinators identify Project Leaders

    • Project Leaders prepare a detailed Project description and a clear project plan (project activities, human resources, milestones)

    • STC gives the final approval of the projects

    • STC members assigns human resources to the projects

    • Final allocation of FTEs after several iterations

  • Mid of January 2006

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Report from the scientific project manager

12th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee DWD, Offenbach, 3-4 May 2006 13th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee ARPA-SIM, Bologna, 7-8 September 2006

  • The paucity of scientific publications is one of the criticality within COSMO. Scientific papers can be included in the list of deliverables of COSMO projects.

  • It is important to have on the WEB an updated list of publications related to COSMO and also of presentations at meetings.

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Report from the scientific project manager

12th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee DWD, Offenbach, 3-4 May 2006 13th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee ARPA-SIM, Bologna, 7-8 September 2006

  • The COSMO WEB: the management of the web is now working but the content must be revised and updated regularly.

  • It is necessary to have a common name for our model. Different names associated to the different national applications induce confusion in the people outside COSMO.

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Report from the scientific project manager

12th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee DWD, Offenbach, 3-4 May 2006 13th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee ARPA-SIM, Bologna, 7-8 September 2006

  • Evaluation of the FTE actually devoted to the Projects by the COSMO Partners: the computation has been performed and discussed.

  • Results will be presented at the STC during the general meeting.

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Report from the scientific project manager

12th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee DWD, Offenbach, 3-4 May 2006 13th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee ARPA-SIM, Bologna, 7-8 September 2006

SRNWP/EWGLAM meeting 2006: COSMO delegation

As decided during the 2005 EWGLAM/SRNWP meeting held in Slovenia, each Consortium will have 15 minutes for the presentation by the SPM and 2 hours to give scientific presentations in the following thematic areas:

  • Assimilation

  • Numerics and coupling numerics/physics

  • Physics

  • Predictability and EPS

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Report from the scientific project manager

12th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee DWD, Offenbach, 3-4 May 2006 13th Meeting of the Scientific Advisory Committee ARPA-SIM, Bologna, 7-8 September 2006

SRNWP/EWGLAM meeting 2006: COSMO delegation

  • Assimilation

    C.Schraff : Overview and strategy on data assimilation. The 1DVAR projects to assimilate satellite data.

    D.Leun: The LHN scheme of COSMO

  • Numerics and coupling numerics/physics

    J.Steppeler: Overview and strategy on Numerics. The LMZ including coupling Num. &Phys.,

    D.Cesari: The Semi-Implicit Semi-Lagrangian version of LM_Z

  • Physics

    M.Arpagaus: Overview and strategy on LM Physics.

    D.Mironov: The UTCS project

  • Predictability and EPS

    P.Eckert: COSMO ensemble systems

    C. Marsigli:the COSMO SREPS project

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Cosmo longer term perspectives 3 5 years1

COSMO Longer-term perspectives (3-5 years)

  • Develop and improve ensemble prediction systems based on LM (including cloud resolving scale)

  • Assimilation of ‘all’ available observationssfc / profiles / radar / satellites…high resolutionalso slowly-changing information (soil moisture, vegetation state, etc)

  • LM performance known, critically discussed and improved

    Need for more collaboration

    with other Consortia

Mathias Rotach Talk

COSMO General Meeting 2006 - Bucharest


Supporting slides

Supporting slides


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