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Working Group on Telecom Sector 12 th Five Year Plan July 18, 2011

Working Group on Telecom Sector 12 th Five Year Plan July 18, 2011. Contents. Indian telecom scenario Growth potential Investment estimates. Indian Telecom Scenario. Fastest growing Sector with average monthly addition of 16-18 million subscribers

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Working Group on Telecom Sector 12 th Five Year Plan July 18, 2011

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  1. Working Group on Telecom Sector12th Five Year PlanJuly 18, 2011

  2. Contents • Indian telecom scenario • Growth potential • Investment estimates

  3. Indian Telecom Scenario • Fastest growing Sector with average monthly addition of 16-18 million subscribers • Current subscriber base of over 875 million and active subscribers of about 588 million • Second largest mobile network with over 840 million wireless subscribers • Addition of over 225 million connections last year • Roll out of services in more than 8000 towns and cities and over 500,000 villages • 12-14 mobile operators in most of the circles

  4. Growth Source: DoT, TRAI

  5. Wireless led Growth March 2007 March 2011 Total telephones 846.32 million Total telephones 205.87 million Source: DoT, TRAI

  6. Teledensity Growth

  7. Share of private network (%) Source: DoT, TRAI

  8. Broadband growth Source: DoT, TRAI

  9. Growth Potential Network Expansion • 1.1 billion subscribers by 2015 Broadband • TRAI -National Broadband Plan 160 Million by 2014 • Investment of Rs. 60,000 crore • 2,50,000 villages Panchayats within 3 years • Broadband coverage for all secondary and higher secondary schools, Village Panchayats and all public health care centers. • Leveraging USO funds for faster expansion of broadband • Universal Access through support for shared infrastructure for rural cellular mobile • Optical fibre connectivity for broadband upto Village Panchayats

  10. Investment estimates

  11. Investment in Telecom Sector 11th Five Year Plan (Rs crore) *Projected

  12. Areas of Investment in 12th Plan • Investment required in • Network expansion- Triple Play • Especially in rural and remote areas • Network upgrades • Rapid Advancements in Technology/ customer demand cycles • 3G expected to account for 20% of subscriber base by 2015 • NGN & IPV6 • Broadband expansion (BWA) • National Optical Fibre Network (NOFN) • Convergence of Technology • Value Added Services • Manufacturing and R&D

  13. Investment Assumptions Existing • Telephone subscribers more than 875 million • Active subscribers about 588 million • Broadband subscribers more than 12 million Expected by March 2017 (end of 12th V Year Plan) • Telephone subscribers- 1200 million • 3G/4G subscribers about 25% i.e. 300 million • Broadband subscribers- 175 million • e-Governance initiative to boost demand • Telecom tower, VAS • Low ARPU/Tariff

  14. Estimated Sectoral Investment in 12th FYP • Core telecom equipment - Rs. 1,35,000 crore + 1,50,000 Crore • Investment in 2G network 2G -Capacity addition - 500 million 500 million @Rs. 2700/- per line (average) =Rs. 1,35,000 crore • Investment in 3G/4G, Wimax, LTE etc capacity- 500 million 500 million @Rs. 3000/- per line= Rs. 1,50,000 crore Total Investment in Core telecom equipments = Rs. 2,85,000 crore

  15. Estimated Sectoral Investment in 12th FYP • Transmission Network (SDH, Microwave Radio, Routers) Rs. 40,000 crore (Approx. 14%) • Access Network (Investment in tower, battery, power plant, Green Telecom) Rs. 1,00,000 crore Total Investment in Access and Transmission Network = Rs. 1,40,000 crore

  16. Estimated Sectoral Investment in 12th FYP • Broadband Roll-out- Rs. 75,000 crore • Customer premises equipment (USB Dongles, modem etc) Rs 50,000 crore • Spectrum charges (on renewal/ through auction) Rs 1,00,000 crore Total Investment =2,25,000 crore Total Investment in Telecom Infrastructure Rs. 2,85,000+1,40,000+2,25,000= Rs. 6,50,000

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