Tim Drum Senior Meteorologist WeatherBug Professional Services [email protected] 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast. April 2, 2009. Hurricane Ike, NOAA. Review of 2008 Season Forecast. 2008 Season Forecast. Forecast Numbers: 10-12 named Storms
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Slightly cooler than average
Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation
La Nina Example - 1988
El Nino Example - 1997
Establishing Data Set Method
Played a significant role in mitigating tropical cyclone development in 2006 & 2007 and part of 2008.
Near average rainfall forecast over the northern Sahel region may lead to dust “outbreaks” again, this season.
La Nina conditions in EPAC to weaken, especially for the second half of the season.