Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013
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Weather Briefing Saturday, 17 August 2013 PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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Weather Briefing Saturday, 17 August 2013. Henry Fuelberg Nick Heath Sean Freeman & SEAC4RS MET Team. Cooler, drier air being advected into our region behind last night’s shortwave. Ending at 6:45 AM CDT. Surface Analysis: 1 PM CDT Today.

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Weather Briefing Saturday, 17 August 2013

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Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Weather BriefingSaturday, 17 August 2013

Henry Fuelberg

Nick Heath

Sean Freeman &

SEAC4RS MET Team


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Cooler, drier air being advected into our region behind last night’s shortwave

Ending at 6:45 AM CDT


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Surface Analysis: 1 PM CDT Today


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Update on tropical development – precipitable water


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Disturbance in the Gulf

L


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Models are in better agreement on landfall over N. Mexico and S. Texas. Locally, this will impact our rain chances Monday and Tuesday


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Convectively influenced air being pumped by tropical disturbance


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

500 mb Flow: Sunday - Wednesday


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

GFS Tropopause pressure at 1PM CDT Monday


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Southeast Chemistry


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

2 m Temperature anomalies valid 7 PM CDT last night – cold an anomalous pattern over eastern CONUS


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Monday maximum temperatures


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Scattered convection over SE on Monday as tropical moisture lingers around


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Forecasted Max Temperatures

Wednesday

Friday


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

  • Southeast Chemistry

  • Troughing, scattered convection, and cloud cover will keep temps cooler on Monday

  • East Coast trough weakens by Wednesday, leading to higher surface temperatures.

  • Cannot forecast convection that far an advance…however, synoptic conditions indicate a little more active than climo based on high precipitable water values


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

NAM and Fires


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Precip: Sunday - Wednesday


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

200 mb Streamlines: 1 PM CDT Monday

NCAR GFS


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Dreamland  Friday 500 mb


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Dreamland  Friday max temp


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

Dreamland  Friday precip


Weather briefing saturday 17 august 2013

  • TO and Landing for Monday

  • NE winds ~15 kt in the morning, veering SE in the afternoon

  • Good chance (30-40%) of precip in the morning, increasing more in the afternoon

  • Depends on the track/timing of the tropical wave


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