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Outline GODAE overview and status Links with Argo Use of Argo data in GODAE Conclusions - perspectives. Argo and GODAE. P.Y. Le Traon with contributions from the GODAE IGST Argo Symposium, November 12-14 2003. The Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment.

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Argo and godae

Outline

GODAE overview and status

Links with Argo

Use of Argo data in GODAE

Conclusions - perspectives

Argo and GODAE

P.Y. Le Traon with contributions from the GODAE IGST

Argo Symposium, November 12-14 2003


Argo and godae

The Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment

Objective:To provide a practical demonstration of real-time operationalglobal oceanography

  • Regular comprehensive description of the ocean circulation at high temporal and spatial resolution

  • Consistent with a suite of remote and in-situ measurements and appropriate dynamical and physical constraints

Includes the main operational and research institutions from Australia, Japan, the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Norway, Europe

Main demonstration phase : 2003 to 2005 - Consolidation phase 2006 - 2007

Climate and seasonal forecasting, marine safety, fisheries, the offshore industry, Navy applications and management of shelf/coastal areas are among the expected beneficiaries of GODAE

The integrated description of the ocean that GODAE will provide will also be highly beneficial to the research community


Argo and godae

GODAE Development

Organisation : Patrons group : representatives of agencies, International GODAE Steering Team (IGST) (8 meetings), Project office, Melbourne

Strategic Plan (2001) and Implementation Plan (2002, under revision)

Rationale, required inputs and outputs, evaluation

Implementation: GODAE components, work plan

Main activities (2002/2003)

Pilot projects (Argo, GHRSST)

=> develop a specific component (with a broad perspective) (global in-situ observing system for Argo, global high resolution SST fields for GHRSST)

Prototype systems (N Atlantic, N Pacific, equatorial Pacific, Global)

  • Test the whole chain from observing system to applications and users

Continue development of ocean state estimation methodologies

Development of data/product serving capability and product assessment and intercomparison


Mercator prototype systems status

MERCATOR Prototype Systems, Status

From prototype systems to GODAE Target

1st prototype (1/3°): operational since January 2001. One bulletin per week since the beginning. Successful demonstration. Multivariate in Fall 2003.

2nd prototype : North Atlantic/Med Sea 1/15° prototype routinely operated since January 2003. A 2° global ocean component added in Spring.

3rd prototype = GODAE target. ¼° global ocean configuration. Summer 2004.

#1

#2

#3

1/4°

1/15°

1/15°

1/3°

1/4°

1/3°


Applications

Applications

  • Increasing use of MERCATOR products by ocean service providers

  • Public Service : strong involvement in oil spill forecasting after the Prestige tanker disaster

    • Ocean bulletins by Mercator forecasters

    • System outputs available for coupling with oil spill dissemination models (Météo-France and Met.No)

  • Nautical Events : Ocean races such as Route du Rhum or (now) Transat race Jacques Vabre ; etc

  • Research (cruise planning)

  • Commercial : fisheries (Catsat service)


1 12 atlantic hycom ssh in gulf stream region

1/12° Atlantic HYCOMSSH in Gulf Stream region

White/black line is the frontal analysis of MCSST observations performed at

NAVOCEANO. Black line represents data more than four days old.


Argo and godae

DIADEM/TOPAZ and regional high resolution modelling for offshore applications

Global => Regional => Coastal

(physics and ecosystems)

A new COOP/GODAE pilot project ?

Courtesy of G. Evenssen


Argo and godae

An Example of Forecast Skill (1)

60-day Prediction of a Kuroshio Meander

Temperature (°C) at 115m

Assim/initial state

Assim/verification

Forecast

Free-run simulation

Free-run simulation

30 April 1998

29 June 1998

Japan Meteorological Agency COMPASS-K Ocean Prediction System (Kuragano & Kamachi, 2002)


Argo and godae

Comparison of NCOM, NLOM and SeaWIFS near the Arabian Peninsula

Global NLOM : Oct 3 2002

Global NCOM: Oct 3 2002

SeaWIFS composite

Sep 30-Oct 7 2002


Argo and godae

Mixed-layer heat budget: contrasting various climate events

ECCO Lee et al. 2002

PDO

ENSO

IOD

Courtesy T. Lee


Argo and godae

Data and Product Servers

Specialized servers : SSALTO/DUACS (altimetry), Coriolis (in-situ), etc

GODAE Monterey server established to provide real-time in situ observations, atmospheric forcing, assimilation products

ECMWF analyses/forecasts available through ESSC (Reading University)

Product servers for the different GODAE centers

=> use of OpenDaP (DODS) and Live Access Server (LAS)


Argo and godae

In early 2001 several assimilation centres made their assimilation products available on the web in “real-time”:

Mercator, NRL, DIADEM/TOPAZ, FOAM


Argo and godae

Intercomparison - Metrics

  • Definition of common metrics (e.g. transports,…) (model and assimilation)

  • Agree on common formats/grids and fields to be compared (e.g. SST, T, S)

  • Use of LAS/OpenDap to facilitate the intercomparison/exchange of products

  • Projects starting to intercompare products (MERSEA in Europe) with prototype systems (North Atlantic, North Pacific, equatorial Pacific)


Argo and godae

Distributed via OPENDAP & LAS

Distributed via OPENDAP

Distributed on FTP

Distributed on FTP

Intercomparison/Internal MetricsProduct organised in 4 classes

  • Class 1: Standard products (primary products, daily fields)

    T, S, U, V, SSH, MLD, BSF, TX, TY, Qtot ,E-P-R

    (2D and 3D interpolated fields on regular common horizontal grids and standard reduced depth levels, NetCdf CF format)

  • Class 2: Other 2-D model outputs (high resolution sections and moorings, daily fields)

    T,S,U,V

  • Class 3: Integrated transports (mass and heat) through sections (daily fields),meridional overturning,computed at original model grid

  • Class 4: Assimilation metrics (weekly products)to assess the quality of the forecasts (forecast-analysis)


Argo and godae

July mean salinity at 200m depth (ci=0.2psu)

MERCATOR

HYCOM-US

TOPAZ

LEVITUS01

North Atlantic

Ready for the intercomparison

(MERSEA Strand 1 project)

FOAM


Argo and godae

  • GODAE - Links with ARGO

  • GODAE = Best use of data is when data are integrated using effective assimilation techniques. One of the objectives of GODAE is to maximize the benefits from the data (in particular altimetry and ARGO)

  • ARGO => GODAE

  • provide data complementary to remote sensing data to constrain ocean models

  • expertise for the use of Argo data in models

  • feedback on GODAE analyzed fields

  • GODAE => ARGO

  • provide analyzed fields to improve QC

  • help the data interpretation

  • feedback on ARGO contribution (impact in models, consistency/complementarity with other data sets, testing the utility of ARGO data in an integrated framework)


Argo and godae

Use of Argo data by GODAE

All GODAE modelling/assimilation centers use Argo data !

Start using T profiles with exisiting assimilation techniques (e.g. XBT) and/or use of Argo data for model validation.

Development of multivariate data assimilation techniques (2002 – on going) :

=> modelling of the background model error (multivariate) covariance

=> crucial for an effective use of Argo data in models

=> and for improving S fields when assimilating T fields

Salinity profile assimilation (2002 – on going)

Impact studies (starting) : results with and without Argo data assimilation

Use of deep velocity data for model validation. Research on velocity/trajectory assimilation.

How to best combine high resolution altimeter/SST data with sparse Argo data is still a research issue. GODAE groups are working on it.


Argo and godae

a

a

b

b

OLD

NEW

Systematic validation with available T and S profiles

(here two different runs of the first MERCATOR prototype system)

Model-XBT/Argo temperature differences averaged from 100-500m (first six months of 2001)

Red: model is warmer. Blue: Model is cooler than XBT observations.


Argo and godae

PSY1v2 : altimetry + Argo (Coriolis) with a fully multivariate scheme versus PSY1v1 (altimetry only)

(see MERCATOR poster – Bahurel et al)

Salinity at 1000 m

29-10-2003

PSY1v2

All data

Reynauld

PSY1v1

Only SLA


Argo and godae

Reynaud

PSY1v2

All data

PSY1v1

Only SLA

Salinity section, 29-10-2003

Florida-Gibraltar


Argo and godae

81m

227m

6m

215

179

181

30m

112m

356m

187

179

176

Depth

55m

155m

572m

182

175

151

Number Data

PSY1V2 : comparison with in-situ data not yet assimilated 22-10-2003


Salinity increments from argo assimilation at ecmwf k haines

Salinity increments from ARGO assimilation at ECMWF (K. Haines)

  • New S(T) assimilation leads to 2 increments

  • Balancing increment S1associated with

  • T assimilation preserves S(T) in model

  • (already operational at ECMWF for past

  • 2 years, Troccoli et al 2002)

  • Salinity assimilation increment S2

  • associated with observed S(T) changes

  • (under test, 1 year assimilation complete)

First assimilation increments Aug02

(averaged over upper 300m)

S1

S1 + S2

S2

Mean

N Atl.

Salinity

Top 300m

S1 only

Keith Haines

Arthur Vidard

Aug02 Aug03


Argo and godae

Use of Argo float velocity to validate intermediate circulation of the Japan COMPASS-K assimilation systemsee posters by Iwao et al., and Kamachi et al.


Impact of salinity data on foam

  • FOAM 1° global model driven by 6 hourly fluxes from Jan-May 2003

  • Only profile data assimilated in these integrations (no SSH or SST)

Impact of salinity data on FOAM

Differences between model and observations yet to be assimilated

T assim

T & S assim

Climatology

No assim

S assim


Argo and godae

Improvement of upper ocean T by assimilating T profiles data

ECCO – T. Lee

Improvement of T relative to unconstrained model at

156 m

240 m

390 m


Argo and godae

Rms Misfit (Temperature)

Rms Misfit (Salinity)

All Data

No Is Situ

°C

Psu

Impact of Argo data on MERCATOR

T and S forecasts vs Argo data not yet assimilated

(2 month period – September/October 2003)


Argo and godae

(b)

(a)

(c)

(d)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 °C

Merging of altimeter, SST and Argo data using statistical techniques

(see poster Guinehut et al.) – MERCATOR/ARMOR

Instantaneous T field at 200 m (02/10/02) from, (a) individual in-situ T data, (b) synthetic T (i.e. from downward extrapolation of altimetry/SST), (c) the merging of synthetic and in-situ T data and (d) the mapping of in-situ T data.


Argo and godae

Observations used to validate the regression method – year 2002

Use of altimetry (and SST) to infer 3D Temperature fields

Rms of the in-situ T fields (red) relative to the Levitus climatology.

Rms of the differences between the in-situ T fields and the synthetic profiles deduced from total SLA (green) and steric SLA (blue), and from a simple (SLA) or a multiple (SLA + SST) regression method.

With simple statistical techniques, about half of variance of T fields can be deduced from altimetry (mesoscale). Results will be improved with advanced data assimilation techniques.


Argo and godae

Merging altimetry and Argo : validation with external data sets

Separate Argo data into two sets (1 and 2)

Compare T profiles deduced from altimetry, Argo (set 1) and altimetry+Argo (set 1) with set 2 Argo data

North Atlantic – year 2002

Red: Rms of T field (anomalies/Levitus)

Rms error in predicting subsurface T anomalies using only in-situ profiles from set 1 (Turquoise), using synthetic profiles (Green) and using in-situ combined to synthetic profiles (Blue).


Argo and godae

Conclusions/Perspectives

  • Very good progress in developing the use of Argo data in GODAE

    • All GODAE centers use Argo data (validation, assimilation).

    • Assimilation techniques have been adapted/improved to use Argo data.

    • Argo data provide already a unique data set for model validation.

    • Impact studies are starting. They show a significant impact.

Assimilation techniques should be developed further to better merge the high resolution altimeter/SST data with Argo data (joint GODAE/Argo task)

As GODAE develops, feedback on Argo initial design is expected. Meanwhile it is important to keep the global coverage objective of Argo (GODAE global models are progressively replacing regional models).

Reanalysis activities : require high quality delayed mode data sets

Salinity data required (with/without drift correction)

Deep velocity data and fields from Argo are needed for validation but also for improving the use of altimetry (mean dynamic topography estimation).


Argo and godae

cm

Left, altimeter/in-situ SLA scatter plot. Right, altimeter/in-situ SLA differences. Observations correspond to one month of data (26/08/03  25/09/03) and dynamic height are calculated relatively to 700 m. (Unit: cm)

Provides a characterisation of errors and non-steric sea level signals

(should be carried out over long time series)


Argo and godae

Impact of salinity errors on Altimetry/Argo comparison (North Atlantic) (Larnicol et al., 2003)

(T,Scal)

(T,S)

(T,Sint)

1

2

3

std

rms

mean

5.38

5.49

1.11

5.11

5.24

1.16

5.43

5.43

-0.20


Multivariate assimilation how it works

Delta temperature (800m)

Delta salinity (800m)

Delta HBAR

Delta SLA

+7cm

-7cm

Delta HBAR

Delta HBAR

Delta S

Delta S

Delta T

Delta T

Multivariate assimilation: How it works


Argo and godae

Reynolds

Safo

PSY1v2

PSY1v1

Surface Sea Temperature 22/10/2002


Argo and godae

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)

5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 °C

T field from (a) the XBT section, (b) Levitus, (c) the vertical projection of SLA/SST (d) the combination of synthetic and Argo data. Rms error = 0.5°C to be compared with 1°C if Levitus is used.


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