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How Young People are Faring 2009

How Young People are Faring 2009. Dr Lucas Walsh TAFE NSW Institute Director’s Senior Staff Forum. Context. 11th edition of How Young People are Faring Key question: What has been the impact of the global economic downturn on young Australians?. Earning and learning among teenagers.

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How Young People are Faring 2009

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  1. How Young People are Faring 2009 Dr Lucas Walsh TAFE NSW Institute Director’s Senior Staff Forum

  2. Context • 11th edition of How Young People are Faring • Key question: What has been the impact of the global economic downturn on young Australians?

  3. Earning and learning among teenagers 15 to 19 year-olds

  4. Earning and learning activities of teenagers • 70% in full-time study • more females (72%) than males (67%) • 14% in full-time work • more males (18%) than females (10%)

  5. 16% of teenagers are not in full-time education or full-time work • Marginalisation greater among females (18%) than males (15%) • more females than males in part-time work, not in the labour force • but higher unemployment among males • If not in full-time education, withdrawal from labour force (hidden unemployment) twice as high for females (20%) as males (9%)

  6. Reversal of previous downward trend: percentage of teenagers not fully engaged rose sharply in 2009 Source: ABS Labour Force Survey (2009)

  7. Percentage of teenagers not fully engaged rose sharply in 2009 • Due to downturn in labour market, with no offsetting increase in educational participation • Full-time work declined (to 13.9%) • Unemployment jumped (to 4.8%) • especially for males (5.4%) • Educational participation flattened • Non-school: unchanged (18.2%) • School: slight fall (51.9% to 51.4%) Source: ABS Labour Force Australia (2008)

  8. Apprenticeships as training pathway for teenagers • Percentage of teenagers in training increased over last decade, but stalled in 2008 • 9% of teenagers in training in 2008 • 12% of males, 6% of females • Shift towards part-time training • Full-time training declined as percentage of total commencements (71% in 2004, 64% in 2008)

  9. Engaging in education, training and work • SCHOOL LEAVERS • (aged 15-24)

  10. Transition to the labour market is becoming more difficult for school leavers • More than one third (36%) not fully engaged in first year out of school • Part-time work 17 % • Unemployed 11% • Not in labour force 8%

  11. Percentage of school leavers not fully engaged jumped in 2009 Source: ABS Labour Force Australia (2009)

  12. Year 12 completion increases the likelihood of further study • After leaving school in 2007 • 66% of Year 12 completers went to full-time or part-time study in 2008 • 40% of Year 11 completers did so Source: ABS Education and Work, Australia (2008)

  13. Engaging in education, training and work YOUNG ADULTS (20 to 24 year-olds)

  14. Earning and learning activities of young adults • 45% in full-time work • more males (52%) than females (39%) • 29% in full-time education • more females (33%) than males (26%)

  15. One quarter of 20 to 24 year-olds are not in full-time work or full-time study • 4% increase since 2008, after decade when percent of young adults not fully engaged had been falling • more males unemployed • more females in part-time work, and not in labour force

  16. Gender gap in risk of marginalisation has narrowed for young adults • Females continue to be at greater risk of marginalisation than males (28% vs 22% in 2009) • Gender gap narrowed to smallest margin for 20 years • due to sharper rises for males in part-time work, unemployed

  17. Two long-term trends among young adults: declining full-time employment, rising full-time education Source: ABS Labour Force Australia (2009)

  18. Between 1989 and 2009, among young adults • Full-time employment declined 65% to 45% • Full-time education rose 11% to 29%

  19. Educational attainment Initial qualificationsFurther qualifications

  20. Initial qualifications • 83% of 20 to 24 year-olds had attained Year 12 or equivalent (2008 ABS survey)

  21. Further qualifications • 6 in 10 attain a post-school qualification by age 24 Source: ABS Census of Population and Housing (2006)

  22. Attainment of further qualifications varies according to where young people live No post-school qualifications at age 24 • 55% in least advantaged areas • 30% in wealthiest areas Type of further qualification also varies according to where young people live • 46% of those living in wealthiest areas had a university degree, compared with 14% in poorest areas Source: ABS Census of Population and Housing, 2006

  23. Qualification gap between school completers and early leavers widens in post- school years • Who gains further qualifications by age 23? • School completers 65% • Early leavers (lack initial qualification) 57% Source: LSAY 1998 cohort

  24. Moving from education to work

  25. Youth labour market Young people not in education have faced more difficult transition to labour market in the last year • Full-time employment declined (by 10% for teenagers, 5% for young adults) • Unemployment increased (by 6% for teenagers, 2% for young adults) • Part-time employment grew (by 3% for each age group)

  26. Employment and unemployment status of young adults not in full-time education, 1989-2009 National figures mask state differences Source: ABS Labour Force Australia (2009)

  27. Post-school pathways • Longitudinal data show that further education and training helps young people in making the transition to full-time work

  28. Labour force activity in 6th post-school year influenced by qualification gained by 5th year Source: LSAY 1998 cohort

  29. Satisfaction with aspects of life, young adults • Young adults in full-time work much more likely to be very happy about • career prospects • standard of living • future • life as a whole compared with part-time workers, unemployed, or not in the labour force

  30. Satisfaction with aspects of life, 24 year-olds Source: LSAY 1998 cohort

  31. Conclusions • 16% of teenagers and 25% of young adults are not engaged in full-time earning or learning in 2009 • Sharp rises since 2008 in percentages not fully engaged due to lower full-time employment and higher unemployment • Early school leavers are at greater and ongoing risk of labour force marginalisation • Global factors • Making the Journey Awesome... The common good • Individual, school and policy level change • Smooth transitions more often involve education and training • Wellbeing of young people is linked to their study and work situation

  32. Full report: www.fya.org.au 2 October 2009

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