U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook
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U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook September 2013 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council. Macroeconomic Environment. U.S. Real GDP Growth. U.S. Crude Oil Spot Price. U.S. #2 Diesel, Gulf Coast. Civilian Unemployment Rate. U.S. Federal Budget Surplus (CBO Projection).

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Macroeconomic Environment

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U.S. and World Cotton Economic OutlookSeptember 2013Prepared by:Economic ServicesNational Cotton Council


Macroeconomic

Environment


U.S. Real GDP Growth


U.S. Crude Oil Spot Price


U.S. #2 Diesel, Gulf Coast


Civilian Unemployment Rate


U.S. Federal Budget Surplus

(CBO Projection)


CBO Ag Baseline Spending


Real GDP Growth

in Selected Countries


Euro(Currency per U.S. Dollar)


Real Exchange Rate Index(Other Important Trade Partners)

Federal Reserve


Ag Prices Received Index


U.S. Net Farm Income


U.S. Cotton Supply


December Cotton Futures


December Corn Futures


November Soybean Futures


2013 U.S. Cotton Area

Thousand Acres

* USDA


2013 U.S. Cotton Area

Thousand Hectares

* USDA


U.S. Cotton Production


U.S. Cotton Supply


U.S. Cotton Demand


Net Domestic Fiber Consumption


Cotton’s Share of Fiber Consumption


U.S. Cotton Retail Consumption


Components of Retail Fiber Consumption


U.S. Cotton Textile Imports


U.S. Cotton Content in Textile Imports


U.S. Cotton Product Trade with Mexico


U.S. Cotton Product Trade with CBI


U.S. Cotton Product Imports from China


U.S. Cotton Mill Use

(Calendar Year)


U.S. Cotton Mill Use

(Marketing Year)


U.S. Cotton Production & Use


The World Market

& U.S. Cotton Exports


China Cotton Supply & Use


World Cotton Production


World Fiber Mill Use

*PCI


Fiber Prices


World Cotton Mill Use


Foreign Cotton Production & Use


U.S. Cotton Exports


World Cotton Ending Stocks


Cotton Stocks/Use(World less China)


U.S. Supply and DemandMillion Bales

Beginning Stocks3.353.90

Production17.3212.90

Imports0.010.01

Total Supply20.6816.81

Mill Use3.503.50

Exports13.0310.40

Total Offtake16.5313.90

Ending Stocks3.902.90

Stocks-to-Use Ratio23.6%20.9%

2012/13e

2013/14p


U.S. Supply and DemandMillion Metric Tons

Beginning Stocks0.730.85

Production3.772.81

Imports0.000.00

Total Supply4.513.66

Mill Use0.760.76

Exports2.842.27

Total Offtake3.603.03

Ending Stocks0.850.63

Stocks-to-Use Ratio23.6%20.9%

2012/13e

2013/14p


World Supply and DemandMillion Bales

Beginning Stocks71.7786.04

Production121.04117.42

Imports46.4338.93

Mill Use107.27109.53

Exports46.7438.96

Ending Stocks86.0494.73

Stocks-to-Use Ratio80.2%86.5%

2012/13e

2013/14p


World Supply and DemandMillion Metric Tons

Beginning Stocks15.6418.75

Production26.3725.58

Imports10.128.48

Mill Use23.3723.86

Exports10.188.49

Ending Stocks18.7520.64

Stocks-to-Use Ratio80.2%86.5%

2012/13e

2013/14p


Producers

Cooperatives

Warehouses

Manufacturers

Ginners

Cottonseed

Merchants


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