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World Trends Analysis Using Graphs and Charts

World Trends Analysis Using Graphs and Charts. Number your paper from 1-20 For each Graph / Chart write down 2 conclusions, trends or patterns that you observe. Adult Literacy, by Region. Literacy Rates, by Sex, 2000 Percent. Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics (www.uis.unesco.org).

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World Trends Analysis Using Graphs and Charts

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  1. World Trends Analysis Using Graphs and Charts • Number your paper from 1-20 • For each Graph / Chart write down 2 conclusions, trends or patterns that you observe.

  2. Adult Literacy, by Region Literacy Rates, by Sex, 2000 Percent Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics (www.uis.unesco.org).

  3. Notes on Adult Literacy, by Region Nearly all men and women in more developed regions can read and write. However, literacy rates are lower in the less developed regions. Women’s literacy rates in particular vary significantly by region: from 51 percent in Africa, to 68 percent in Asia, to 88 percent in Latin America and the Caribbean. Overall, more men than women are literate. This is especially striking in the Arab states and North Africa, where nearly three-fourths of men but less than half of all women are literate.

  4. Age Distribution of the World’s Population Population Structures by Age and Sex, 2005 Millions Less Developed Regions More Developed Regions Age 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 17-19 10-16 5-9 0-4 Male Female Male Female Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  5. Notes on Age Distribution of the World’s Population Sex and age distributions show that less developed countries have significantly younger populations than more developed countries. Roughly one-third of the population in less developed countries is under age 15. In many sub-Saharan African countries, this proportion rises to nearly one-half of the population. In contrast, less than one-fifth of the population in more developed countries is under 15. Today there are more than 2 billion young people below age 20 in less developed regions—the age cohort that will soon become the world’s newest group of parents. Young age structures in the less developed countries are due mainly to higher levels of childbearing in recent decades.

  6. Annual Increase in World Population Millions Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision, 2003.

  7. Birth and Death Rates, Worldwide Rates of birth, death, and natural increase per 1,000 population Natural Increase Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  8. Notes on Birth and Death Rates, Worldwide Birth rates and death rates are declining around the world. Overall economic development, public health programs, and improvements in food production and distribution, water, and sanitation have led to dramatic declines in death rates. And women now have fewer children than they did in the 1950s. Nevertheless, if death rates are lower than birth rates, populations will still grow. Also, it is possible for absolute numbers of births to increase even when birth rates decline.

  9. The Classic Stages of Demographic Transition Note: Natural increase is produced from the excess of births over deaths.

  10. Desire for Smaller Families Women With Two Children Who Say They Want No More Children Percent Source: ORC Macro, Demographic and Health Surveys, 1988-2000.

  11. Diverging Trends in Fertility Reduction Average number of children per woman Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  12. Growth in More, Less Developed Countries Billions Less Developed Countries More Developed Countries Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  13. Largest Cities, Worldwide Millions 1960 2000 2015 Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2001 Revision (medium scenario), 2002.

  14. Notes on Largest Cities, Worldwide The largest cities in the world are growing rapidly in size and they are shifting from the more developed regions to the less developed regions. In 1960 the three largest cities were in more developed countries; by 2000, only Tokyo remained in the top three. In 1960, New York was the largest city in the world, with a population of about 14 million. By 2015, the largest city worldwide is projected to be Tokyo, with nearly double this population size: 27 million.

  15. Population in Countries With Low Fertility Decline or Growth, 2002-2025 Percent Country (average number of children per woman) China (1.8) South Korea (1.4) Trinidad & Tobago (1.6) Italy (1.2) Russia (1.1) Bulgaria (1.1) Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  16. Notes on Population in Countries With Low Fertility All countries shown here have below “replacement level” childbearing —the level required for population to ultimately stop growing or declining. Yet, half will continue to grow and half are projected to decline by 2025. Although women in both Russia and Bulgaria have on average 1.1 children each (among the lowest rates in the world), Russia, with a slightly younger population, will lose a smaller proportion of its population (14 percent, compared with 17 percent for Bulgaria) between 2002 and 2025. Still, Russia, having a much bigger population, is projected to lose nearly 20 million people, whereas Bulgaria will probably shrink by just 1.5 million.

  17. Ratio of Workers to Dependents, by Region Note: People 15 to 64 are considered to be workers; people 14 and younger and those over 65 are considered to be dependents. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  18. Reaching Replacement Fertility Average number of children per woman Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  19. 10 Places With the Lowest Birth Rates Worldwide Average number of children per woman, 2000-2005 Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  20. Trends in Aging, by World Region Population Ages 65 and Older Percent Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  21. Notes on Trends in Aging, by World Region • By 2025, over 20 percent of the population in more developed regions will be ages 65 and older. • By 2025, one-tenth of the world’s population will be over age 65. • Asia will see the proportion of its elderly population almost double, from about 6 percent in 2000 to 10 percent in 2025. In absolute terms, this represents a stark increase in just 25 years: from about 216 million to nearly 475 million older people.

  22. Trends in Life Expectancy, by Region Life Expectancy at Birth, in Years Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  23. Notes on Trends in Life Expectancy, by Region Currently, infants born around the world can expect to live an average of 65 years — up nine years since the late 1960s. Asia has experienced the largest increase in life expectancy since the late 1960s: from 54 years to 67 years. Life expectancy varies widely by region. In more developed countries, life expectancy averages 76 years, compared with only 49 years in Africa.

  24. Trends in Population Growth Worldwide Population Increase and Growth Rate, Five-Year Periods Percent increase per year Millions Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  25. Notes on Trends in Population Growth Worldwide • This figure illustrates the lag between changes in the rate of growth and the net increase in population per year. • Over the period 1985-1995, the population growth rate declined (a reflection of declining fertility), yet millions of people were added to the world’s population (which peaked around 1985, when 87 million people were added each year). • From 2000 on, the growth rate will continue to decline. Between 2015 and 2020, we will still be adding 69 million people each year. Why? Because the generation of women now having their children is very large as the result of high fertility in their mothers’ and grandmothers’ generations.

  26. Trends in Urbanization, by Region Urban Population Percent Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2001 Revision (medium scenario), 2002.

  27. Notes on Trends in Urbanization, by Region The world is becoming increasingly urban. By 2010, half of the world’s population is expected to live in urban areas. Typically, the population living in towns of 2,000 or more, or in national and provincial capitals, is classified as urban. Currently, world regions differ greatly in their levels of urbanization. In more developed regions and in Latin America and the Caribbean, over 70 percent of the population is urban, whereas in Africa and Asia, under 40 percent of the population is urban. By 2030, however, the urban proportion of these two regions will exceed 50 percent. By 2030, roughly 60 percent of the world’s population will be living in urban areas.

  28. Urbanization in Central America Population Living in Urban Areas Percent Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2001 Revision (medium scenario), 2002.

  29. Notes on Urbanization in Central America • Urbanization in Latin America is a tale of two regions. Central American countries are urbanizing rapidly, at a pace similar to that of their South American neighbors 20 years ago.

  30. Women and Aging World Population, by Sex, at Specified Age Groups, 2025 Percent Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects:The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  31. Notes on Women and Aging • The figure above depicts what demographers refer to as the feminization of aging. Although women make up half of world population, by the end of the next quarter century, they will account for more than half (54 percent) of people ages 60 and older, and 63 percent of very old people (80 and older).

  32. Women of Childbearing Age Number of Women 15 to 49 Billions Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  33. Notes on Women of Childbearing Age The number of women of childbearing ages 15 to 49 more than doubled between 1950 and 1990: from 620 million to over 1.3 billion. Their numbers are expected to reach over 2 billion by the middle of this century, according to the UN’s medium projections. The growing population of women in their childbearing years and their male partners will contribute to future world population growth, even if levels of childbearing continue to decline.

  34. Women of Childbearing Age and Fertility Worldwide Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision (medium scenario), 2003.

  35. Notes on Women of Childbearing Age and Fertility The number of women in their childbearing years has increased since the 1950s and is projected to continue to increase through 2050. The number of children per woman has declined since the 1950s and is projected to continue to decline. Even though women have on average fewer children than their mothers, the absolute number of babies being born continues to increase because of the increases in the total number of women of childbearing age.

  36. World Population Clock 2003 Source: Population Reference Bureau, 2003 World Population Data Sheet.

  37. World Population Growth, in Billions Number of years to add each billion (year) All of Human History (1800) 123 (1930) 33 (1960) 14 (1974) 13 (1987) 12 (1999) 14 (2013) 15 (2028) 26 (2054) Sources: First and second billion: Population Reference Bureau. Third through ninth billion: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 1998 Revision (medium scenario).

  38. World Population Growth Through History Billions 12 11 2100 10 9 Modern Age Old 8 Iron Middle Bronze Stone Age New Stone Age Ages Age Age 7 Future 6 2000 5 4 1975 3 1950 2 1900 1 1800 Black Death — The Plague 2000 1+ million 7000 6000 5000 3000 1000 A.D. 4000 A.D. A.D. A.D. A.D. A.D. years B.C. B.C. B.C. B.C. B.C. B.C. B.C. 1 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Source: Population Reference Bureau; and United Nations, World Population Projections to 2100 (1998).

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