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Medium-Term Outlook for World Agriculture and Fertilizer Demand 2007/08– 2012/13. Summary Report. Patrick Heffer, IFA. 76 th IFA Annual Conference 19-21 May 2008, Vienna, Austria. Outlook for Biofuels. World Ethanol Output (Bg). World Biodiesel Output (Bg). Source: FAPRI.

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slide1

Medium-Term Outlook for World Agriculture and Fertilizer Demand

2007/08– 2012/13

Summary Report

Patrick Heffer, IFA

76th IFA Annual Conference

19-21 May 2008, Vienna, Austria

outlook for biofuels
Outlook for Biofuels

World Ethanol Output (Bg)

World Biodiesel Output (Bg)

Source: FAPRI

regional cereal production change 2008 vs 2007

+0.1%

+0.7%

438 Mt

478 Mt

932 Mt

+13%

-4.8%

+8.3%

+78%

147 Mt

132 Mt

41 Mt

Regional Cereal ProductionChange 2008 vs. 2007 (%)

Source: FAO

crop prices
Crop Prices

Relative Price Evolution from 1995 to 2008

Index: January 1995 = 100

Price Prospects

Source: ABARE

livestock projections
Livestock Projections

Consumption of Livestock Products

Meat Production

Milk Production

Source: FAO

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+3.1% p.a.

+3.1%

N: +3.2%P2O5: +2.8%K2O: +3.0%

N: +3.6%P2O5: +2.7%K2O: +2.2%

World Fertilizer Demand Forecasts (Mt nutrients)

+4.1%

174.7

169.4

194.3

162.7

evolution of regional fertilizer demand mt nutrients
Evolution of Regional Fertilizer Demand (Mt nutrients)

Two thirds of the total increase is expected to occur in East Asia and South Asia together

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Thank you!

www.fertilizer.org

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