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Jordan afaq economic forum. “An Overview of World Economy & Demographic Change”. Jawad Anani May 7, 2013. World Population 2012. It is estimated at the end of 2012 to be 7.082 billion. It was 1.700 (1912) It was 0.860 (1812). In sheer volume, are we approaching a Malthusian World?.
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Jordan afaq economic forum “An Overview of World Economy & Demographic Change” JawadAnani May 7, 2013
World Population 2012 • It is estimated at the end of 2012 to be 7.082 billion. • It was 1.700 (1912) • It was 0.860 (1812)
The Brazilian architect’s view of the world’s conflict scene 23 Erupting conflicts 39 Others dormant __________ 62
Asian drama or dream? • Gunnar Myrdal's “Asian Drama” of 1968, How much of it is still valid?
First scenario to view population is: • China 1.35 billion • India 1.21 billion ____________ TOTAL 2.56 billion or 36.2% of the world population
India and China • They have turned from cheap commodity and services produces into large consumption societies.
India and China • Were accused of raising world’s demand for food and housing and thus caused their prices to rise (2004- 2009) • And of course, ENERGY
Muslims and Christians • Christians 2.3 billion • Muslims 1.7 billion ____________ 4.0 billion = 56.5% of world population
Muslims who are common to almost all conflicts have: • The highest rates of poverty (40%) • The highest rates of uprooted 23 out of 26 million world-wide • The highest rates of illiteracy and unemployment
Islamophobia: Where is it taking the world? • Does world future depend on India and China or Muslims and Christians? • We need new profiles
BRICS • This is a third way to look at the world China 1.35 billion India 1.21 billion Brazil 0.19 billion Russia 0.15 billion South Africa 0.05 billion ______________ 2.95 billion Or 41.5% of the world population
The world demographic profile has changed dramatically from • 1944 Bretton Woods IMF and WB • 1945 UN Charter
Superpowers must come to grips with the fact that there is no more: • affordable unipolarity • unidirectional trade • and investment monopoly over technology. We probably need a new world charter