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Special Products and Special Safeguard Mechanism

Special Products and Special Safeguard Mechanism. Mehnaz Ajmal. 1. Introduction/Background. Importance of special products Tradable commodities – source of livelihood and food security 1.5 billion people - 1.3 billion

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Special Products and Special Safeguard Mechanism

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  1. Special Products and Special Safeguard Mechanism Mehnaz Ajmal

  2. 1. Introduction/Background • Importance of special products • Tradable commodities – source of livelihood and food security • 1.5 billion people - 1.3 billion • AoA- subsides reduction – high tariff – denied market access – cheaper imports – vulnerable • Negotiations – policies – import surge • Development Box – positive list approach • Special products (under conditions to be negotiated) & Special Safeguard mechanism (contingent on the level of liberalization)

  3. Introduction/Background • WTO recognition and status • Certain instrument • Article 41 of July framework • Criteria itself • Developed vs developing countries • Why the need of South Asian common position • Institutional regionalism – SAPTA/SAFTA • Resource full area – market for cheap export • Structural adjustment programs – unilaterally • Bargaining strength • wide range policy position – value addition to GDP & FS • Other conditions – reinforce – RTA/BTA • Not a trouble free approach – lack of interests or impediments

  4. 2. Bangladesh • Importance of Agriculture • Trade & Agriculture • Tariff on Agricultural Products • Policies & import surges • Position on SPs and SSM The agriculture sector comprising of crop, forest, fisheries and livestock is the single largest contributor to the income and employment generation and a vital element in the country’s challenge to achieve self-sufficiency in food production, reduce rural poverty and foster sustainable development.

  5. 2.1 Importance of Agriculture • Livelihood – 31.6% GDP, 84% population, 63.2% of total national employment • Export (?) Small land holdings • Policy changes to increase grain production (rice & wheat) • Edible oils, coconut oil, oil seed, raw cotton, sugar, spices, milk and milk products, one million tones of wheat in food aid

  6. 2.2 Trade & Agriculture • Import and export • With the trade liberalization there occur significant increase in the import of these commodities and the import of rice reached to $ 186.7 million from $5.6 million in the beginning years of WTO. The import of cotton increased to $197.9 million in the year 1999-2002, while the import of soybean and wheat remain the highest i.e. $274 million and $260 million respectively showing a surge in the import of wheat. (table on next slide) • Import Bill (annex 2)

  7. 2.2 Trade & Agriculture • Import and export • With the trade liberalization there occur significant increase in the import of these commodities and the import of rice reached to $ 186.7 million from $5.6 million in the beginning years of WTO. The import of cotton increased to $197.9 million in the year 1999-2002, while the import of soybean and wheat remain the highest i.e. $274 million and $260 million respectively showing a surge in the import of wheat. (table on next slide) • Import Bill (annex 2) • Tariff on agricultural products • Several phases of trade reforms • 1970s: import substituting industrial policy • 1980s: export oriented industrial policies

  8. In the first phase of trade liberalisation [1982-1986] New Industrial Policy (NIP) were made and in the second phase of trade liberalisation [1987-1991] government has worked on Revised Industrial Policy (RIP) resulting into changing the base of the import control system in January 1985 from the “Positive List” to a shorter “Negative List” and export sector was provided with incentives through export performance benefit (XPB) and Duty Drawback Schemes on imported inputs. But in 1990s the Third phase of trade liberalisation [1992 onwards] the economic reforms gained momentum and trade policy reform has been integral part of the comprehensive economic reform. enhanced integration of local economy with the global economy and steps were taken to; reduce the number of items under quantitative restrictions (QRs) rationalize tariff structure simplify the tariff structure and reduce the level of tariff dispersion all agricultural commodities were free of quantitative restriction except three HS. In the UR, Bangladesh offered ceiling tariff bindings of 200 percent ad valorem on all products covered by the AoA, with the exception of 30 lines for which the bound rate was 50 percent. And all "other duties or charges" were bound at 30 percent on all these products, so that the overall bound rates were 230 percent on most products and 80 percent on the 30 tariff lines. 2.2 Trade & Agriculture

  9. 2.3 policies and Import surges • No commitment in UR in reducing subsidies - AMS • Landholdings • 19.96 million – • (0.05 -2.49 acres) – 79.87% • (2.50- 7.49 acres) – 17.52% • (7.5 acres and above) – 2.25% • Inadequate subsidies (TK 300 crore – 1200) • Unorganized market system and price control policy • Non compliance with WTO customs valuation provisions

  10. 2.4 Position on Sps and SSM • Exempted from tariff reduction • Pressure on LDCs – commitments on voluntary basis • Cohesive stance in negotiations concerning SPs and SSM by supporting G-33

  11. 3. India • 6% GDP • Agri policy is guided by self sufficiency and domestic supply • Price and distribution control India ha Public Distribution Center • Staple commodities –subsidized rates • Wheat, rice, sugar, edible oil • Indian agriculture is vast and complex to take any policy decision • Largest milk producer, & of fruits, pulses, cashew nuts, coconut and tea • 2nd largest in rice, wheat and 4th in coarse grains • Also of cotton, sugarcane, peanuts, jute, and spices • 70% rural livelihood/employment & &% to urban household • Sub sectors; grain crops, commercial crops, plantation sector, horticulture, forestry and livestock

  12. Fluctuations in the growth rate from target (10th plan) • Growth rate of coarse grains, pulses, oilseeds, cotton, rice, sugarcane increased marginally • Horticulture, floriculture, fishery, poultry and animal husbandry which accounts for 30% of production – 6% • Commercial crops i.e. jute, tea, coffee, oil seeds and sugarcane – increase at lower rate • Overall – 3%

  13. Annual growth rate at constant price (%)

  14. Trade and Agriculture • India in order to protect and support its farmers in the era of trade liberalization, which has caused changes in the world prices, have reformed many policies from import substitution to outward orientation. The farmers have been supported by the price support program, government procurement and input subsidies resulting in the net taxation of the agricultural sector, while the non-agricultural sector received protection. The extent of the total taxation of the sector was estimated to correspond to 29 percent of the value of agricultural production during 1971-85, 18 percent during 1986-91, but only 9 percent during 1992-95 • Trade liberalization in India in 1991 was consisted of tariff reductions, elimination of quotas and economic reforms. Liberalization was extended to agriculture in 1994, when the Government lifted a number of restrictions on imports and exports, simplified trade measures and reduced public interventions in domestic markets. During April 2005 – February 2006 the total Indian exports were about US$88 billions and imports were around US$126 billion.

  15. 5. Pakistan • 65.9% living in rural areas • Employed 44.6% • Contributes 25% to GDP • Importance of agriculture • It provides food for consumers and fiber for domestic industry • Source of scare foreign exchange • Provides raw material for industrial growth

  16. 5.2 Trade and Agriculture • Food Security • Livelihood • Land holding • Rural Development • Import and export • Tariff on agricultural products

  17. Food security • Article 38 of constitution of Pakistan • 3 main components – factors playing significant role in making a confined categories of special products, includes poverty, income generating opportunities, production, consumption etc • Still behind in self sufficiency in food production • Due to reduction in subsidies, tariff on main food item, cheap imports of essential food items – make the sector more fragile to international policies

  18. There are number of ways or potential indicators under which we can elaborate food security, livelihood and Rural Development.

  19. Food security • Caloric intake – 1/3rd or 24% living below poverty line – nutritional requirement • Poverty decreased to 28% in rural areas and around 15% in urban, showing food insecurity at household level (average calorie per capita – 2328) • Food availability: • food availability per capita – equitable distribution among household • Official poverty line Rs 878.64 • 2328 calories per day per capita • per adult monthly consumption expenditure share of food Rs. 332 • An average household of 4-5 persons • Livestock sector to be SPs – consumption • Pulses and cereals – reduction in subsidies, price trigger and buying capacity of consumers

  20. Livelihood • Agriculture & livestock sector – 8% growth of LS • Wheat, rice, cotton, sugarcane – livelihood opportunities to the rural farmers and labor in industry • Livelihood of 30-35 million people depends upon LS • Minor crops – edible oils – USC – Wheat support prices

  21. Land holdings • Landholding is also one of the factors that can affect the livelihood and rural development of the marginalized. • mostly the people have landholding size between 5 -10 hac. • In nineties as shown in the table shows the distribution of the farms and farm area by tenure, that almost the ratio of ownership of the small landholders and large landholders is more less equal i.e. 88 and 81 respectively. Rather we can say the number of ownership of landholding size less than 5 hac is highest among all, showing the size of people depended upon land for subsistence agriculture. The land utlization index is given as annex 12. While in year 2000 the number and area of private farms by tenure remain highest i.e. 78% as owner cultivator. • In Agricultural Census' of Pakistan, nearly 86 per cent of the total private farms in Pakistan have less than five hectares and make up only 44 per cent of the total farm area. The remaining 14 per cent are large farms, which make up 56 per cent of our total farm area. Mounting population pressure, rapid urbanization and expansion of industry on farmlands is resulting in fragmentation of land. As a result, small farms are getting even smaller

  22. Distribution of farms and farms area bytenure

  23. Rural Development • To reduce poverty and to empower the rural poor, during the years 2004, 05 and 06, state has made investment in the areas of irrigation, and land reclamation. Rural development, rural electrification, food subsidies (although reduced) and food support programs have been introduced. This in turn has contributed towards the income generation and increase in consumption level of the poor people, leading towards positive impact on growth and reducing food insecurity to some extent. (Annex 13). • Pakistan's cultivated area has remained almost constant for the last 25 years (about 25 per cent of the country's land area is under cultivation) and it seems to have exhausted its capacity to meet the food requirements of an increasing population. In order to gain maximum production from almost a fixed cropped area, there is a major thrust on the use of external inputs mainly fertilizers and pesticides. The result is manifold increase in the usage of these inputs and decrease in natural immunity among crops against major insects/pests/herbs. The increased use of fertilizer and pesticides by farmers is accompanied by a reduction in the percentage share of public investment in agricultural sector over the years

  24. 5.2.1 Import and export • Following a comparatively open trade regime, Pakistan’s total trade volume (import as well export) has increased significantly from US$ 18.8 billion in 2000-01 to US$ 33 billion in 2005-06. Resultantly its trade-to-GDP ratio has increased from nearly 26 percent to estimate 34 percent during this period. • Major imports include petroleum and petroleum products, edible oil, wheat, chemicals, fertilizer, capital goods, industrial raw materials, and consumer products. External imbalance has left Pakistan with a growing foreign debt burden. It is estimated that Pakistan’s trade imbalance would touch to a record US$12 billion, mainly due to increase in prices of petroleum and petroleum products but also due to the import surge in consumer goods and food items • Among the major agricultural imports of Pakistan are milk, cream and milk food for infants, wheat unmilled, dry fruits, tea, spices, soybean oil, palm oil, sugar and pulses. if we compare the monthly imports in year 2005 with that of year 2004 or the import as a whole there was constant increase in the imports of sugar, edible oils, milk and milk products, pulses, tea and dry fruits

  25. 5.2.2 Tariff on Agricultural products • Tariff barriers in Pakistan are gradually being removed. Since 1994, Pakistan has progressively and substantially reduced tariffs. • Pakistan uses the Harmonized System to classify and describe goods. Customs duties are levied on ad-valorem basis. • Maximum tariff rates were reduced with the establishment of four maximum import tariff bands of 25 percent, 20 percent, 10 percent, and 5 percent. • Generally, Pakistan’s applied tariffs are below WTO-bound commitments, and the weighted average applied tariff is currently 16.0 percent, down from 56 percent in 1994. • The tariff on most consumer goods was reduced to 25 percent, for most intermediate goods to 10 percent, and for most raw materials to 5 percent, 2006). • Pakistan has an aggressive interest in market access and demands for a substantial overall reduction in tariffs with deeper cuts on higher tariffs through tiered formula. • It also supports that the issue tariff escalation should be addressed. As a special and differential treatment, it supports the concept of special products and special safeguard Mechanism for developing countries. It also calls for tariff capping at 100% for developed countries & 150% for developing countries.

  26. 5.3 Policies and Import surges • In the year 2005-06, the imports targeted to grow up by 43.2 percent, and in this target the food imports grew by 35.9 percent and from $990.7 to $ 1346.7 million. The increase in import of food items is due to import surge in wheat, sugar and pulses. This -together have contributed 93 percent to the rise in imported food. Besides other sectors/services, food sector is also one of the recipients of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) of about $52.7 million. • An unprecedented rise in oil price is a major factor contributing towards high import bill. However, non-oil imports, partly the consumer goods (owing to a boom in consumer financing) and food items do have an important share in increased import bill (Fig 1).As we have observed that role of agriculture is shrinking in GDP, this coupled with governance issues, has led to a situation where the supply of essential food commodities such as sugar, wheat, and pulses could not be met in domestic market and resultantly government has to rely on duty free import of those commodities.

  27. Percent contribution to additional import bill (july –Mar 2005-6)

  28. 5.3 Position on SPs and SSM • Pakistan, as part of G-20 has proposed an aggressive formula for reduction in overall domestic support of developed countries to substantially reduce their domestic and export subsidies. At the same time G-20 proposes the retention of 10% de-minimus support provision available to developing countries for supporting their development goals, poverty reduction strategies, food security and livelihood concerns. During the Hong Kong Ministerial (2005), Pakistan also joined the club of agricultural exporting countries, known as Cairns group in the WTO. • Pakistan is also a member of G-33 and supports G-33’s defensive stance for “Special Products”, in order to use Special Safe Guard Mechanism against dumping and import surges. Pakistan’s specific stances against each pillar of agreement on agriculture during and after the Hong Kong Ministerial Meeting are provided in following sub section. • Pakistan has an aggressive interest in market access and demands for a substantial overall reduction in tariffs with deeper cuts on higher tariffs through tiered formula. It also supports that the issue of tariff escalation should be addressed. As a special and differential treatment, it supports the concept of special products and special safeguard Mechanism for developing countries. It also calls for tariff capping at 100% for developed countries & 150% for developing countries.

  29. Ranking of special products on combined food security, livelihood and rural development • Five minor crops; gram, tobacco, chilies, dates and banana ( Geographical regions )

  30. constraints • There should be a specific data collection, keeping into consideration the livelihood and food security dependence of the poor farming communities on such products, with the link to crops important at regional level. • Agriculture is very vast and diverse field. There are many companion plants, fodder crops, cash crops, grain crops, fruit and vegetable, herbs and shrubs, which all are interconnected, and for the decision about certain products to be SPs cannot be successful, until an in-depth scientific research and analysis is done which is a perquisite. • There is another criterion for the selection of SPs on the basis on HS code, pertaining to above mentioned concerns. The choice of level of HS code should be according to the agricultural diversity of the countries. Selection at 4-digit level can be beneficial for developing countries having diverse agricultural base, as it can provide legroom to protect more subheadings by selecting one product. “Four SPs would be required to cover rice at 6 digits level. Wide criticism paved the way for the option of a 4-digit proposal in the revised draft. The 4 digit HS level, though broader than 6 digits, still has sub-sub division of products that do not suit the genuine requirements of developing countries

  31. 6. SriLanka 6.1 Importance of Agriculture • 20.1% to GDP – 37% employment • Two dimension: • plantation sector – exportable –tea, rubber, coconut • Non plantation – linked with livelihood & food security- paddy, fisheries, spices, areca nut etc • Livestock – 42% of national milk requirement

  32. 6.2 Agriculture & Trade • Tea – 70% export –bulk, packed, blended, green and instant • Import – 2.2% in US $ in 2002 • Custom duty – 2 band tariff structure to protect local industries on uniform basis • Zero duty on crude oil & wheat • 5-10% on milk and infant milk products • 25% on vegetables

  33. 6.4 Position on SPs and SSM • Initially all crops that are cultivated in all the nine provinces were considered. The initial section also included the livestock sector. Poultry, diary milk, egg production, pork and mutton and beef production were included under this. The selection process of the special products is as follows. • The second layer of the chart demonstrates the selected crops and livestock products that will be designated as SP. A set of criteria was used for this selection. Once the crops and livestock products are selected as SP commodities at the second level, the tariff line products at 6-digits HS codes under each of the crops/livestock products are designated as SP. (slide on word)

  34. SP indicator • The SP indicators should reveal the relative contribution of any specific product to the following three issues; • Rural development through agricultural production and contributing GDP • Livelihoods of rural population through income and employment generation • Food security through supplying as much calorie, protein and fat requirements as possible • A set of indicators was used to assess the product contribution to these three issues. The indicators are grouped into four broad categories, which reflect the three main issues. Forward linkages of products were also assessed in qualitative terms. There are 11 quantitative indicators and 2 qualitatively assessed indicators in the four categories • Economic development and livelihood security • Value of production in product n in a province as a % of the provincial agricultural GDP. • Total labor used in product n in a given district as a % of agricultural production in that district to assess employment generation. • Value of backward linkages attributed to product n in a given district as a % of the provincial agricultural GDP

  35. SP indicators • 2. National and regional level food security • Quantum of production of product n in a district as a % of the total national requirement of that product as reported in the food balance sheet • Contribution of calories from product n to total calorie requirement in a given district • Contribution of protein from product n to total protein requirement in a given district • Contribution of fat from product n to total fat requirement in a given district • Contribution of calories from product n to total national calorie requirement • Contribution of protein from product n to total national protein requirement • Contribution of fat from product n to total national fat requirement • b. Sustainability of production system • Indicators% of product n that is imported to meet the total local demand • Qualitative assessment of product n in terms of maintaining an environmentally sustainable production system • c. Forward linkages – rural development • Protein of the products in value added industries

  36. Then a critical point or a cut off score is selected to identify the products having score more than the cutoff score, for the products to be selected as SPs. The purpose of computing the provincial level scores is to include the sub-national level concerns of rural development, livelihood security and food security into the SP selection criteria. Therefore the cutoff point is based on the provincial level score rather than the national level total score. The minimum score of 8% is considered as the cutoff point. This minimum 8% means, if a crop has an average score of 8% in any one of the nine provinces, that particular crop is important enough to be considered as a SP . • paddy, coconut, poultry, milk, vegetables, cowpea, ground nuts, maize, red onions, chilies, tomato, capsicum, green gram, potatoes, sorghum, black gram, gingerly, Soya, big onions

  37. Designating SPs at HS code level(6 HS code) . Product categoryDesignated HS coded product as SP Rice 5 Coconut 8 Vegetable oil 6 Poultry 6 Milk 8 Vegetable (for SSM) Cowpea 1 Red onion 1 Nuts including ground nut 3 Cereal 4 Maize 2 Chilies 2 Tomato 1 Cucumbers 2 Green gram 1 Legumes 2 Potatoes 4 Black gram 1 Soya 1 B-onion 3 At HS code 6 digit level, 61 products have been designated as SP. This is about 10% of the total agricultural tariff lines. The three year average import value of total SPs for the period 2001-2003 is 17% out of the total agricultural import value.

  38. SSM • SSM are proposed only for importable commodities in Sri Lanka. The three criteria adopted in selecting SPs are the basis used in nominating products for SSM too. In addition import surges and low CIF prices are also considered in selecting products for SSM. • The application of SSM treatment will commence if either the volume trigger or price trigger indicates that the imports of a particular product is coming into the country at more than a threshold level. It is necessary to identify which trigger is more appropriate for a particular product. • Given due considerations to the above factors, the following rules are adopted in proposing a particular trigger mechanism to be applied to a specific group of commodities

  39. SSM • Volume trigger – • Local prices lower than international prices so that such products are locally competitive, but imports of high volume even at a higher price may harm the industry. • Seasonal nature of harvest so that the product is adequately available at the harvesting seasons and any further imports will lead to depressed prices for the producers. • High food security concerns where even with lower price imports are allowed to some extent so that food security concerns are not hampered. If the volume is above a certain threshold level, which could harm the industry, then volume trigger is used to invoke any appropriate SSM, most probably a quantitative restriction. • Price trigger – • International prices lower than or close to the local prices so that local industry cannot compete and at the same time local industry will be severely hurt if cheap imports are flowing. • High fluctuating prices so that even a small quantity can come into the country at a very low price • Out of 261 products that are proposed for SSM, about 90 will have volume trigger as the trigger mechanism and the balance 170 will have the price trigger

  40. Export & Import • In order to face the challenge of food security, India has made many changes and reforms in its policies related to imports of different agricultural commodities. From the table - it is observed that import of pulses, cereals, sugar, spices, vegetable oil and tea were made. • Table - shows trends in imports (value, volume and price) for selected major food products. The most striking experience has been with vegetable oils, imports of which in 1995-98 were nine times higher in value than in 1990-94. Imports of fruit and vegetables have also increased significantly in the post-94 period; for pulses the increase has been more modest.

  41. 4. Nepal 4.1 Importance of Agriculture • Source of livelihood – 40% GDP • 76% people are employed (91% women, 75% men) • Rice staple food - 50% of total local production is consumed locally • Import rice – import surge (195000 tones in 2000) 4.2 Trade and Agriculture • License requirement, QRs, price administration and high tariff on imports • Reform program in 80ies followed by SAP • Average rate of protection decline from 111% in 1989 to 14% in 2002. • Tariff rates fall at 5- 25%

  42. Trade and Agriculture • External trade rose to Rs. 190.2 billion in 2004 • Import – 136.3 billion • Export – 53.9 billions • Trade deficit – 79% • Oil seeds, tobacco, rice and wheat • Share of agriculture in total house hold is 48% • Land holding are small (average 0.8 hec) • Bound its tariff at an average of 42% • ( 5 – 200, 70% tariff lines at below 40%) • No TRQs neither AMS

  43. 4.3 Policies and Import Surges • Exempted from Tariff reduction • Agriculture sector is effected through cheap imports (especially rice) • Duty free market access to India • De-stocking of food grains i.e. rice by Food Corporation of India • The Indian rice has captured the Nepalese market due to low cost of production of rice due to support price given to the Indian farmers and the price of rice decreased from US$0.30 in 1999 to US$0.20 in 2000. Besides this the protection provided by the total fee of 9.5% (8 percent agriculture development fee and 1.5 percent local development fee) was very low (table) • This market access provided to the foreign low priced rice has affected the domestic prices and significant variations can be observed between the retail price of coarse and medium varieties of Indian rice and the average retail price at the national level in Nepal and also have severely affected the prices in the Nepalese districts bordering India.

  44. Factors for import surge • Broaden to find injury level; • Due to import there occur reduction in prices • Decline in the area of production i.e. 2.76% negative growth in 2001-02 • Competition in the domestic market • Decline in the farmers income not only due to import and competition but also due to increase in input cost

  45. 4.4 Position on SPs and SMM • During 1995 – 2003, Nepal has faced the incidence of import surges in rice, wheat and maize. • The duration of the surge remained: • for one year in rice, • 4 years in Wheat and • around 2 years in Maize. Therefore Nepal can have an offensive stance in special safeguard measures due to low bound tariff. Since Nepal as an LDC not required to made any reduction commitment, in turn not bound to designate special products. But can adopt the option of duty and QRs as remedy against the automatically activated world prices of agriculture products through value and price based trigger mechanism

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