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Supporting the All-Volunteer Force and Its Families. March 15, 2010. Rich Robbins Director, Requirements and Program & Budget Coordination. Agenda. Introduction: Fiscal Context - “The OUSD (P&R) Perspective” Total Force Background: “Mix” and Cost “Vectors”

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Supporting the all volunteer force and its families l.jpg

Supporting the All-Volunteer Force and Its Families

March 15, 2010

Rich RobbinsDirector, Requirements and Program & Budget Coordination


Agenda l.jpg
Agenda

  • Introduction: Fiscal Context - “The OUSD (P&R) Perspective”

  • Total Force Background: “Mix” and Cost “Vectors”

  • PBR-11 Re-Cap: “How Did We Do?”

  • POM-12 “Road Ahead”

  • Take Aways: “Keys to Success”


Competition for resources ousd p r perspective l.jpg
Competition for Resources: OUSD (P&R) Perspective

  • NOT just about “getting the money”

  • About promoting Department’s larger objectives

    • Sustain the All-Volunteer Force

    • Deliver Total Force readiness and sustainability

    • Reduce fiscal opportunity costs

  • MWR

  • Child Development

  • Youth Programs

  • etc.

“Recapitalization” needs are compelling!


Usd p r fiscal context fy11 l.jpg
USD (P&R) Fiscal Context: FY11

DoD Budget Authority ($B)

P&R Oversight:

~$103B without all manpower

~$200B with manpower

>> about 1/3 of DoD TOA

707.4

696.4

654.7

32.7

159.1

130.0

141.4

548.3

What’s the P&R budget?

It depends…

533.7

513.3

Includes ~$2.1B in MWR, Child Dev, Youth Programs

Source: OMB

Red=Total with oversight

*Includes OCO


The dod topline and personnel costs 2007 constant dollars l.jpg
The DoD Topline and Personnel Costs (2007 Constant Dollars*)

Total Force Strategy:

“Should focus on the right mix but be affordable”

OCO Supplementals

2007$ Billions

Active Duty (Millions)

* Using the GDP Price Index from the Budget of the United States Government: Historical Tables Fiscal Year 2009 (Table 10.1)


Fewer people costing much more the fiscal squeeze l.jpg
Fewer People Costing Much More: Dollars*)“The Fiscal Squeeze”

Takeaways include:

Active Military “per capita” costs increasing – everyone else, too

Service Contract costs now almost equal to Active Military costs

Also, related costs associated with:

3M Dependents

10M Retirees + Dependents/Survivors

FY67

FY87

FY07

Manpower

(millions)

▀Active Duty**

▀ Reserve (FTE)

▀ Civilian

▀ Contractor*

Total 4.2M

Total 5.8M

Total 3.0M

(-48%)

** Includes DHP, Retired Pay, & Family Housing (excludes O&M training & Reserve MilPers)

*Contract Manyear Equivalent (CME) based upon $175K FY07 Dollars additionally deflated proportionately to Civilian Per Capita costs

Manpower

Costs

(2007$ billions)

Total $245B

Total $200B

Total $334B

(+67%)


P r pbr 11 fiscally challenging but we did well l.jpg
P&R PBR-11: Fiscally Challenging Dollars*)…“But We Did Well”

Resource Movements Included (FY-11 / FY11-15, $M):

- *Private Sector Care: $2,339 / $22,520

- *DoDEA Milcon: $246 / $3,700

- EHR: $302 / $1,659

- Family Support: $475.6 / $2,300

- Language and Culture: $35.8 / $115.2

- Aviation Safety Technologies: $46.8 / $678.2

- Small Unit Immersive Training $50 / $285 (CE2T2)

- IPO $8.9 / $48.6

- VPP $5.3 / $28.1

- YRRP $28.3 / $28.3

- ESGR: $6.6 / $34

- FVAP: $4/ $4

  • Large, Wide Budgetary “Playing Field”

  • $ Amount not always indicative of issue significance

Success Due to “Informed Engagement” Throughout OUSD (P&R)…

…What About POM-12?


Cy 2010 evolving calendar l.jpg
CY 2010 Evolving Calendar Dollars*)

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

JUN

OSD

Services

Decision Meetings

Capability Gap Assessment

JS/COCOMS

PB-10 Execution

FY-11

Budget Hearings

HAC / HASC Mark-Up

SAC / SASC Mark-Up

PB-11

Jun

Appeals

PB-11 Signed

Floor Consideration of NDAA and Appropriation Conference Bills

2011 PB Submit

3 – 17 Sep

Review by

ODS Sponsor

13 May

WG

Mtg

22 Feb - 5 Mar

Review by

ODS Sponsor

25 Oct - 8 Nov

Pre-vote

18 Nov WG

Mtg

16 - 29 Apr

Pre-vote

8 Mar

Initiatives Available for Review

10-30 Dec

Final Vote

2012B P&R ULB

2013A P&R ULB

14 Apr

WG

Meeting

20 Sep

Initiatives Available for Review

12 Nov

Finalize Summit

Agenda

6 May

Finalize Summit Agenda

2 Sep

Submit 2013A Proposals

7 Oct

WG Mtg

19 May

ULB Summit

19 Feb

Submit 2012B Proposals

9 Dec

ULB Submit

Front-End Program Assessments

PBR / Issue Teams

Component POM Development

RMDs

GDF/GEF

Fiscal Guidance

PBR Guidance

P&R Issues to USD for approval

Issue Papers due to CAPE

P&R Issues

to RQ

POM-12

Wild Card:

IDA

DoD Management Processes

Recommendations

P&R Issue Brfs

to USD(P&R)

PBR

Complete

Early P&R Issue ID

P&R Issue Refinement

Svc POMs/

BES

due

Comp

POM Brfs

JPG

P&R POM Brfs

w/th Services

DSLC

DSLC

DSLC

CPR

JROC

Hub Trip

CPA

JROC

Hub Trip

JS / JCIDS

Capability Assessment

COCOM J8

Conference

COCOM IPL

Submissions

COCOM Issue Nom

Submission to J-8

PR-13 Planning

Input Memos due

A Busy & Complicated Slide – A Busy & Complicated Process


Pom 12 road ahead l.jpg
POM-12 Road Ahead Dollars*)

**Potential POM-12 Issues / Focus Areas may include:

  • P&R Issues:

    • VLER

    • EHR

    • FVAP

    • Yellow Ribbon

    • EO

    • Fitness Centers

    • Online Libraries

  • Oversight Issues with P&R Equities

    • Service End Strength

    • Security Force Assistance

    • COCOM Manning

    • Safety

    • Reserve Equipping

    • Individual Augmentees

  • It’s Started

    • POM-12 PBC “Kick-off” Meeting was 14 Jan 2010

    • Service POMs probably 80% built

  • P&R will have to adapt

    • Top down fiscal squeeze from OMB

    • Increasingly “narrowly defined” OCO

    • Potential for significant PPBES changes

    • New OUSD(P&R) organization

    • Etc..

  • We can always do better, including:

    • “Divestiture” ID (Solve our own problems)

    • Service oversight / coordination

    • PSA and JS coordination

**The many positive P&R outcomes from PBR-11 will obviate many POM-12 issues


Take aways keys to successful competition for resources include l.jpg
TAKE AWAYS Dollars*)Keys to Successful “Competition for Resources” Include:

  • Build Alliances

    • Inside OSD

    • With the Services

      • Once the POMs are built, opposition intensifies!

    • Know exactly who “sits at the table” and your “target”

  • Build a Solid Business Case that…

    • Supports the first two objectives

    • Promotes the third

  • Identify Divestiture – Reduction Opportunities

    • Analyze Return on Investment

    • Measure Risk

    • Eliminate Redundancies

    • Look at both P&R Funded Programs

      and P&R Oversight Areas

Overarching objectives:

  • Sustain the All-Volunteer Force

  • Deliver readiness and sustainability

  • Reduce fiscal opportunity costs

The best proposal without an offset

is on a very, very long list.


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