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Country Development Partnership on Environment (2008-2010) CDP-E Phase II

Country Development Partnership on Environment (2008-2010) CDP-E Phase II. Manida Unkulvasapaul and Jitendra (Jitu) Shah, World Bank, 12 September 2008. CDP-E Phase II: Outline. Context and Rationale NRE in Thailand Emerging issues  Impacts of CC in Thailand

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Country Development Partnership on Environment (2008-2010) CDP-E Phase II

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  1. Country Development Partnership on Environment (2008-2010)CDP-E Phase II Manida Unkulvasapaul and Jitendra (Jitu) Shah, World Bank, 12 September 2008

  2. CDP-E Phase II: Outline • Context and Rationale • NRE in Thailand • Emerging issues  Impacts of CC in Thailand • Thailand-World Bank Partnership (CDP-E) • CDP-E II Framework • Climate Change initiatives – Global and Local • TGO and ONEP Programs • Support integrated resources management • IWRM in the northeast (DWR) Coastal erosion (DMCR) • Support regional and global issues (ODS, POPs) • Overall coordination and partnership support.

  3. Context and Rationale • Thailand’s rapid growth has brought indisputable progress. But has also induced a continued degradation of the country’s Natural Resources and the Environment (particularly of water and air quality, land and forests, and coastal areas). • Other emerging issues are now increasing the pressure: • Climate Change • Coastal erosion / mangrove degradation • Need for integrated water resources management (IWRM) • Climate Change and air pollution are today two main concerns for Bangkok citizens Bangkok Post, 9 September 2008

  4. CC in Thailand • 1994: baseline of 286 million t CO2-eq/yr • 1999-2004: GHG emissions grew by 30% • 2008: Thailand ranks 24th emitter country • 2030 Projections: 840 million t CO2-eq/yr (50% power, 50% industry and transport)

  5. Impacts of CC in Thailand Impact: Sea level Effect: More inundation Impact: Sea temperature Effect: More acidification Impact: Precipitation Effect: More flooding Impact: Droughts Effect: Bad harvests Impact: Ecosystem changes Effect: Sub-tropical life zones disappear

  6. Truth: No obligation for Thailand Reality: Thailand should be prepared for socio-economic and environmental adaptation Thailand could be a CC leader for SEA Immense opportunities for private sector (new markets, new technologies, and new business models will appear) Why Should Thailand Do Anything?

  7. Costs of Action & Inaction – “Wait and See” is not Sensible • Inaction • Loss from 3% up to 20% of GDP (Stern 2007). • Global losses of $160-330 billion, projected to $850-1,350 billion by 2030 (UNFCCC, 2008). • Action • Stabilization of emissions would cost 0-3% of global GDP by 2050 (IPCC, 2007). • Additional $200-210 billion in 2030 to return global emissions to current levels. • Costs of adaptation in developing countries around $9-41 billion per year (World Bank, 2007).

  8. Responses To Date • Tenth Five Year Plan includes CC; • New Institutions: Climate Coordinating Committee, Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization (TGO); • Energy conservation measures; • Promotion of alternative energy; • Stabilized forest cover; • Research on methane emissions; • CDM projects (10 registered, 22 submitted, 39 approved by TGO)

  9. Thailand – World Bank Partnership • Relationship evolved from a borrower-lender arrangement to one where the Bank’s knowledge and technical assistance (TA) provides value to Thailand’s NRE management. • CDP-E supports the Royal Thai Government in meeting the country’s environmental goals (as established by MoNRE and NESDB). Dialogue is, and will remain, and important element to the success of CDP-E. • MNRE requested a 3 years extension of the CDP-E (2008-2010. Initial discussions confirmed that a new issue like climate change was a priority (especially regarding water and coastal resources), but also building on CDP-E1 results and continue the support to the ongoing projects (POPs, ODS) was very important.

  10. CDP-E Phase II Framework • Support Climate Change initiatives: • TGO Program • ONEP Program • Support integrated water resources management: • IWRM in the northeast (DWR Program) • Coastal erosion (DMCR Program) • Other regional / global issues (ODS, POPs) • Overall coordination and support.

  11. Policies Matter

  12. CC as an Opportunity for Vision and Leadership • Think Big, Take Small Steps: • Optimize existing assets • Look for new low-carbon solutions • Be ahead of energy prices and others in the region • Benefits of curbing CC emissions: • First mover advantage (doing it now will be cheaper and more effective) • Cost reductions (doing it will save you money) • Improved brand positioning and corporate image (doing it will be good for your business)

  13. Thank You For further information contact: Jitendra (Jitu) ShahCountry Sector Coordinator, EASES, SE Asia The World Bank 30th Floor Siam Tower, 989 Rama I Rd, Pathumwan, Bangkok Thailand 10330' DIRECT LINE ++ 66 2 686 8360  ' Cell phone ++ 6689 92142237 ++66 2 686 8301  jshah@worldbank.org www.worldbank.org/eapenvironment

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