Trade opportunities for woody biomass end products from british columbia
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‘Trade opportunities for woody biomass end-products from British Columbia ’. B. Verkerk, M. Junginger and A. Faaij (Universiteit Utrecht) E. Ackom and P. McFarlane (UBC). Outline . Objective and Scope Methodology Theoretical approach Results Conclusions. Objective and Scope. Aim:

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Trade opportunities for woody biomass end products from british columbia

‘Trade opportunities for woody biomass end-products from British Columbia’

B. Verkerk, M. Junginger and A. Faaij (Universiteit Utrecht)

E. Ackom and P. McFarlane (UBC)


Outline
Outline British Columbia

  • Objective and Scope

  • Methodology

  • Theoretical approach

  • Results

  • Conclusions


Objective and scope
Objective and Scope British Columbia

Aim:

To assess the biomass market potential for BC under varying scenarios from the present until 2020.

Scope:

  • Biomass products:

    • Pellets & Ethanol

  • Different feedstock:

    • Sawmill residues, Roadside residues & MPB infested trees

  • Markets:

    • BC, US & EU


Methodology
Methodology British Columbia

  • Region definition

  • Feedstock inventory

  • Selection of supply chains

  • Specification of cost-supply curves

  • Specification of demand

  • Determination of potential


Theoretical approach supply chains for woody biomass
Theoretical approach British ColumbiaSupply chains for woody biomass

Forest

Stages

Feedstock

Felling of tree

Gathering feedstock

MPB killed trees

Skidding to roadside

Comminuting at roadside

Roadside residues

Transportation

Sawmill residues

Hauling by truck

Storage

Storage

Pellet production

Ethanol production

Production end-product

Hauling by truck

Hauling by train

Transportation

= decision step

Terminal


Theoretical approach scenarios
Theoretical approach British ColumbiaScenarios

Name

Description

Feedstock scenarios

(to plant gate)

Sc. 1: Availability-Max

Sc. 2: Pro-active

Sc. 3: Reduced cheap feedstock

Sc. 4: Limited sources

Feedstock fully available

Governmental support

Strong competition for feedstock

Feedstock sources constrained by government

End-product scenarios

(to international terminal)

Sc. 1: Pellet-Max

Sc. 2: Pellet-Min

Sc. 3: Ethanol-Max

Sc. 4: Ethanol-Min

Max:

Favorable conditions in production and demanding markets

Min:

No significant improvements


Theoretical approach scenarios1
Theoretical approach British ColumbiaScenarios


Theoretical approach scenarios2
Theoretical approach British ColumbiaScenarios

n.b. accounted for inflation rate


Results
Results British Columbia

Odt = oven dry tonne = 1000kg @ 0% MC


Results1
Results British Columbia


Results2
Results British Columbia

Currently 13.5 PJ produced in 2007


Results3
Results British Columbia


Results4
Results British Columbia

400 MW


Results5
Results British Columbia

400 MW


Results6
Results British Columbia


Conclusions
Conclusions British Columbia

  • There is significant market potential for biomass end-products trade from BC.

  • Market potential:

13.5 PJ produced in 2007


Questions
Questions? British Columbia


Results7
Results British Columbia

Pellet costs Vancouver FOB:

Ethanol costs Vancouver FOB :


Results8
Results British Columbia

Feedstock availability:

Feedstock costs:


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