Census analysis policy making in london
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Census Analysis & Policy-making in London. London Census Information Scheme. 17 July ONS User Engagement Workshop. Analytical Output. Commissioned Work. Data Accessibility. London Datastore. London Datastore. Census Analysis to underpin Policy-making in London.

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Census analysis policy making in london

Census Analysis &Policy-making in London

London Census Information Scheme

17 July

ONS User Engagement Workshop


Analytical output

Analytical Output


Commissioned work

Commissioned Work


Data accessibility

Data Accessibility


London datastore

London Datastore


London datastore1

London Datastore


Census analysis to underpin policy making in london

Census Analysis to underpin Policy-making in London

  • Mixed and Balanced Communities

  • Claimant Count Model

  • Child Yield Estimation

  • London Infographics


Mixed balanced communities

Mixed & Balanced Communities

Applying Census Data


The brief

The brief

  • London Assembly asked us to identify areas of London that show the most diversity

  • Aim to track the impact of interventions on the mix and balance of communities across London

  • As a benchmark, look at the most diverse areas in 2001 and 2011

  • Diversity measured across a range of indicators - housing, economic and social characteristics


Domains

Domains

  • Tenure

  • Accommodation type

  • Household composition

  • Age

  • Socio-Economic Group

  • Ethnic group


Methodology

Methodology

  • For each of the six domains:

  • Calculate Diversity Indices for 2001 and 2011 for local areas in London – Lower Super Output Areas were chosen as small enough to comprise local communities

  • Index change measures increasing or decreasing diversity between 2001 and 2011


Housing tenure

Housing Tenure

2011

2001


Household composition

Household Composition

2001

2011


Socio economic group

Socio-Economic Group

2001

2011


Ethnicity

Ethnicity

2001

2011


Measuring overall diversity

Measuring overall diversity

  • Accommodation type, Household Composition and age structure generally higher diversity in outer London

  • Only Tenure higher in inner London

  • Ethnicity and SEG highest in “clusters”

  • Counted those LSOAs in top quartile across multiple domains


High diversity in multiple domains

High Diversity in Multiple Domains

2011

2001


Gla claimant count model

GLA Claimant Count Model

Incorporating Census Data


Using the census in gla claimant count models

Using the Census in GLA Claimant Count models

  • GLA runs two Claimant Count models to produce claimant count rates as a proportion of the labour force

    • Age, Sex and Duration (ward level)

    • Ethnic group, Age and Sex (LA level)

  • The models rely on bringing together data from a range of sources to produce something meaningful and useful


Census analysis policy making in london

How does the model work?

UC

DWP ONS

JSA

DWP ONS

Monthly Claimant Count

Labour force estimate

Ward population

age x sex

Migration

age x sex

Economic Activity Rates

age x sex

Dwellings

Economic Activity Rates

GLA Population projections

Change in Economic

Activity Rates

APS

International

Migration

(IPS ++)

Forecast Dwelling Changes

Borough Planning Departments

Births + Deaths

ONS registrations

HRP rates

age, sex &

marital status

Migration

(NHSCR + HESA) ONS

= census data


Why do we do it

Why do we do it?

  • Wide differences in economic activity rates by age, sex and ethnic group, so labour force estimates give a better indication of the population “at risk” than purely age-based denominators

  • Used by Boroughs to track and monitor changes in rates for particular sub groups of the population and therefore target efforts and programmes.

    • Not the full picture of unemployment, but

      • more up-to-date than ILO measures

      • can be done for more detailed geographic areas


Population yield estimation

Population Yield Estimation

Adding value to Census Data


Gla population yield model

GLA Population Yield Model

  • Current Approach:

    • Sample data from Wandsworth and Oxford

  • New Approach

    • 2011 Census data

    • London development data


Development sites new oa s

Development Sites & New OA’s


Yield rates

Yield Rates

  • Geographically specific

  • For Market & Social units

  • By Number of bedrooms


Yield rates1

Yield Rates

  • Geographically specific

  • For Market & Social units

  • By Number of bedrooms

  • 2 bedroom

  • Market housing

  • East London

0.276 children


Yield rates2

Yield Rates

  • Geographically specific

  • For Market & Social units

  • By Number of bedrooms

  • 3 bedroom

  • Social housing

  • South London

1.847 children


Yield calculator

Yield Calculator


Yield outputs

Yield Outputs


West london

West London

4,061


North london

North London

4,917


East london

East London

3,855


South london

South London

3,347


Central london

Central London

3,180


Next steps

Next Steps

  • Produce a total yield in 10-year age bands

  • Create a tool that allows bespoke geographic aggregations


Cis infographics

CIS Infographics

Visualising Census Data


Information graphics or infographics

Information graphics (or infographics)

Infographics are visual representations of data.

They present information quickly and clearly.


Cis infographics1

CIS infographics

  • Country of Birth

  • Demography

  • Economic Activity

  • Housing

  • Qualifications

  • Where students live


Demography

Demography


Demography1

Demography


Demography2

Demography


Demography3

Demography


Demography4

Demography


Demography5

Demography


Demography6

Demography


Housing

Housing


The labour market

The Labour Market


Data london gov uk census

Data.london.gov.uk/census


Bringing infographics to life

Bringing infographics to life


Census information scheme

Census Information Scheme

http://data.london.gov.uk/census

[email protected]

Richard Walker

Richard Cameron

William Tonkiss

Jack Ryan


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