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S. Nickovic (Ex-WMO SDS-WAS, Serbia) E. Cuevas, SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain)

SDS-WAS Research and Development activities 7th meeting of the WWRP JSC (WMO Headquarters, Geneva, 18-20 November 2014). S. Nickovic (Ex-WMO SDS-WAS, Serbia) E. Cuevas, SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain) E. Terradellas SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain) J.M. Baldasano, SDS-WAS NAMEE (BSC-CNS, Spain)

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S. Nickovic (Ex-WMO SDS-WAS, Serbia) E. Cuevas, SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain)

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  1. SDS-WAS Research and Development activities 7th meeting of the WWRP JSC(WMO Headquarters, Geneva, 18-20 November 2014) S. Nickovic (Ex-WMO SDS-WAS, Serbia) E. Cuevas, SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain) E. Terradellas SDS-WAS NAMEE (AEMET, Spain) J.M. Baldasano, SDS-WAS NAMEE (BSC-CNS, Spain) M. Mikami, SDS-WAS A (MRI/JMA, Japan) W. Sprigg, SDS-WAS PAC (University of Arizona, USA) WMO; AREP

  2. SDS-WAS Mission To enhance the ability of countries to deliver timely and quality sand and dust storm forecasts, observations, information and knowledge to users through an international partnership in research and operations

  3. Increasing interest for dust research Publications/year on dust-related subjects (Stout et al, 2008) test footer

  4. SDS-WAS regional structure

  5. SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan • Final draft ready for SSC7 consideration • Membership in the SDS-WAS Steering Committee specified • SDS-WAS Trust Fund requested to support global coordination • Updated research plan

  6. SDS-WAS Science and Implementation Plan (2) • Limitations • Lack of observation data, especially in dust source areas • Lack of computer resources for hi-res modelling • Transition to operational activities • proposed procedure for designation of a Regional Specialized Meteorological Center with specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecasting (RSMC-ASDF) • Spain became the first designated RSMC-ASDF • Asian countries show interest to host the Asian RSMC-ASDF

  7. CAS CBS Research Experimental forecasts Operational forecasts SDS-WAS SDS-WAS Current Research From Research to Operations Future

  8. Research issues • Hi-res modelling • Observation improvements • Data assimilation • Model validation/intercomparison • Direct and indirect effects • Mineralogy • Dust impacts

  9. SDS-WAS research projects/studieshttp://sds-was.aemet.es/projects-research/SDS-WAS-studies test footer

  10. PROJECT: Tehran 2014 haboob case – high resolution modelling contact Goran Pejanovic(goran.pejanovic@hidmet.gov.rs) • In-depth case study of the small-scale extreme dust storm occurred in Tehran on 2 June 2014 lasting less than 2 hours test footer

  11. Dust storm caused several deaths, reduction of visibility to several tenths meters in the city, and adverse disturbance of the public traffic. • All SDS-WAS inter-compared models failed to predict the storm • NAMEE RSG recently proposed a study, exploring if • model downscaling • more detailed source specification could improve forecasts test footer

  12. Groups to participate: • Modelling • EMA, Egypt • BSC, Spain • HMS, Serbia • MetOffice, UK • NCEP, USA • GFDL, USA • U of Leipzig ? • Observations • IRIMO, Iran • Env Agency, Iran • Analysis • AEMET, Spain • U of Belgrade, Serbia • … test footer

  13. SDS-WAS models forecasts (12UTC 2 June 2014) × × × × × × × × × test footer

  14. Preliminary simulation results (Pejanovic et al, 2014) × × × Time of haboob Tehran location Time of haboob 12:30UTC test footer

  15. PROJECT:Dust model evaluation against lidar datacontact Ioannis Binietoglou (ioannis.binietoglou@imaa.cnr.it) • Ability of models to reproduce vertical dust distribution of dust never systematically evaluated • lidars co-located with photometers using the LIRIC algorithm • Period January 2011 – June 2013 • No. cases 69 • No. stations 10 • No. models 4 test footer

  16. Participating models • BSC-DREAM8bV2 (BSC, Barcelona) • NMMB/BSC-Dust (BSC, Barcelona) • DREAMABOL (ISAC-CNR, Bologna) • DREAM8-NMME-MACC (SerbianHM Service) test footer

  17. Participating stations • 10 EARLINET / AERONET test footer

  18. Parameters examined: • Center of mass • Dust load (vertically integrated) • Peak (maximum) value • Article in preparation test footer

  19. Center of mass Average profiles test footer

  20. PROJECT: Forecasting a North African dust outbreak towards Europe Contact: Nicolás Huneeus (nhuneeus@dgf.uchile.cl) • Assessing prediction capabilities of intense Saharan dust outbreak over Western Europe and Scandinavia between 5-11 April 2011 • Comparing models against observations • aerosol optical depth (AERONET and MODIS) • Aerosol vertical profiles (CALIPSO) • dust surface concentration (AQ stations) • 10-m winds and vertical wind profiles (SYNOP, TEMP) test footer

  21. 24, 48 and 72 hour forecasts • Models • BSC-DREAM8b (BSC; regional) • NMMB/BSC-Dust (BSC; regional) • DREAM8-NMME-MACC (SerbianHM Service) • Met-UMTM (UK Met Office; global) • MACC-II (ECMWF; global) test footer

  22. AERONET (orange), surface concentration (red), surface wind (green) and radio-sounding (brown) stations used in the study test footer

  23. Article to be submitted: Forecasting the North African dust outbreak towards Europe in April 2011: A model intercomparison N. Huneeus, S. Basart, S. Fiedler, J.-J. Morcrette, J. Mulcahy, E. Terradellas, C. Pérez, G. Pejanovic, P. Arsenovic, S., M. Schulz, J.M. Baldasano, A. Benedetti, E. Cuevas, J. Pey, S. Nickovic test footer

  24. Dust Mineralogy –new databases Nickovic et al, 2012 Journet al, 2014 Importance of dust mineral composition for • radiation, • dust-cloud interactions, • health test footer

  25. Book: Mineral Dust - A key player in the Earth system, edited by Peter Knippertz and Jan-Berend W. Stuut, 2014,Springer. test footer

  26. SDS-WAS Nodes test footer

  27. Regional Steering Groups (RSG) Asian Node • Chair: Masao MIKAMI (MRI/JMA, Japan), Co Chairs: Xiao-Ye ZHANG (CMA, China), Eunha LIM (NIMR/KMA, Korea) NAMEE Node • Chair: Slobodan Nickovic (HM Service, Serbia) Pan American Node • Chair: William Sprigg (U of Arizona, US)

  28. Nodes Status • Asymmetric developments • NAMEE most active and developed • PA with good potential but not yet well established • Asian Node – most of the research (modelling and observation) facilities available – still more coordination needed

  29. Management issues • Implementation Plan finalized – to be approved in this meeting • Regional Node activities – self-funded • SDS-WAS Trust Fund to be established (Secretariat assistance n needed) • Steering Committee (SC) to be established for SDS-WAS global coordination

  30. Contributions from the SDS-WAS Nodes test footer

  31. SDS-WAS NAMEE Node test footer

  32. Web portal Archive OBSERVATION Monthly plots of PM10/PM2.5 Daily back-trajectories EUMETSAT RGB-DUST images UKMO MSG retrievals FORECAST EVALUATION NRT evaluation with AERONET. Monthly plots Evaluation with AERONET (monthly, seasonal, annual scores) Evaluation with MODIS Evaluation with MODIS deepblue PREDICTION Numerical model forecasts Joint visualization of forecast Surf. Concentration Joint visualization of forecast DOD 550 Monthly-averaged maps Multi-model products Guidance for forecasters

  33. Models intercomparison Download statistics • April 2014

  34. Observation SDS-Africa: new AERONET stations Available since Feb 2012 Available since Jun 2013

  35. Capacity building 2013 8-12 Dec 2013: 3rd Training Course on WMO SDS-WAS products. Muscat, Oman 15-16 Dec 2013: McIDAS-V Tutorial with focus on atmospheric dust cases. Muscat, Oman 28-31 Oct 2013: Workshop on Meteorology, Sand and Dust Storm, Combating Desertification and Erosion. Istanbul, Turkey 10-14 Jun 2013: Training Course on the use of satellite products for agro-meteorological applications, Accra, Ghana

  36. Capacity building 2014 5-9-May 2014: Cours sur l’utilisation des produits satellitaires aux applications agrometeorologiques, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso

  37. Operational forecasts Jakarta, Sep 2012: The CBS recommends designation of the consortium AEMET/BSC-CNS to host the first RSMC with specialization on sand and dust forecast Geneva, Jun 2013: The WMO EC meets the recommendation and designates the consortium to host the RSMC-ASDF for NA-ME-E Barcelona, Mar 2014: The Barcelona Dust Forecast Center starts operations dust.aemet.es

  38. SDS-WAS Asian Node test footer

  39. Current status of the SDS-WAS Asian node • In July 2014, several RSG members were replaced with new members • Basic communication within RSG is secured. • Establishing RSMC-ADSF will be discussed in the next 2015 RSG meeting • In 2012 (Tsukuba) is agreed to keep working groups activities – to be reinforced

  40. RSG Working groups • Data Share (responsible to KMA) • Common Portal Site (responsible to CMA) • Model Inter-comparison (responsible to JMA)

  41. Issue to be discussed in the next Asian RSG meeting • Designation of a Regional Specialized Meteorological Center with specialization on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Forecasting (RSMC-ASDF) • At least two countries show the interest • Transition from research (SDS-WAS) to operational activities (RSMC-ASDF) is now proposed in the Science and IP with conditions and procedures needed to be followed • Common action of CAS and CBS bodies needed

  42. SDS-WAS Pan American Node test footer

  43. Pan-American Centre • Moving the Node Center hosting from the Chapman University to University of Arizona • Petitioning the University and Board of Regents for official approval to host the Pan-American Center (PAC) • Team • Atmospheric Sciences, • Hydrology, • Engineering • School of Public Health, • Office of Arid Lands, • College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, test footer

  44. Other institutions wishing to contribute hosting • Desert Research Institute • California Department of Public Health • California Public Health Institute • Possible solution: a coalition of hosts, capitalizing on the complementarity test footer

  45. Serving Society Valley Fever Client Base Practitioner & Policy Maker Health, Air/Water Quality, Transportation, Agriculture National/State Health & AQ Offices Pan American Health Organization Valley Fever Center of Excellence Simulations & Experimental Forecasts NOAA/NWS/NCEP USN/NRL NASA Earth Science University Research Information Portal Public & Partner NOAA/NCDC Atmospheric Observations & Modeling NOAA/GFDL/NCEP NASA JPL & MSFC, Navy WMO Sand/Dust Warning System GEONETCast Public Access Surface Source Composition & Characteristics Mapping & Monitoring NASA, USGS Critical Sources EPA, USGS, USDA Climate Change Air Quality Assessments W.A.Sprigg - July 2014

  46. Pan-America Centre Start-Up Forecasts & Simulations with models & satellite observations Computing Center • Director • Web Page • Science Steering Group • Leadership Council • Maintain Compass Heading: Serving Science & the Public • Promote Objectives & Goals • Guide Policy t Communicate Science to the Public, assess priorities & Services for today & tomorrow • Coordinate North, Central and South American Participation in SDS-WAS W.A.Sprigg - July 2014

  47. Thank you

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