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NORONHA ADVOGADOS INTERNACIONAL LAWYERS. São Paulo | Rio de Janeiro | Brasília | Curitiba | Porto Alegre | Recife | Belo Horizonte. London | Lisbon | Shanghai | Miami | Buenos Aires. A Comparative Study of the Brazilian and Chinese External Trade. Durval de Noronha Goyos Jr. Open University

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slide1

NORONHA ADVOGADOS

INTERNACIONAL LAWYERS

São Paulo | Rio de Janeiro | Brasília | Curitiba | Porto Alegre | Recife | Belo Horizonte

London | Lisbon | Shanghai | Miami | Buenos Aires

A Comparative Study of the Brazilian and Chinese External Trade

Durval de Noronha Goyos Jr.

Open University

United Kingdom, September 17, 2008.

index
Index
  • Economic Fundamentals;
  • Foreign Trade;

3. Brazil and China: Market Aspects and Features;

4. Sino-Brazilian Bilateral Cooperation.

economic growth of china
Economic Growth of China (%)

Economic Fundamentals

Source: IMF *Estimate

economic growth of brazil
Economic Growth of Brazil (%)

Economic Fundamentals

Source: IBGE *Estimate: Central Bank of Brazil

gdp growth purchase power parity of china
GDP GrowthPurchase Power Parity of China

Economic Fundamentals

  • Total GDP: US$ 11,3 trillion
  • GDP per capita: US$ 8,700 (2007)

Source: IMF

gdp growth purchase power parity of brazil
GDP GrowthPurchase Power Parity of Brazil

Economic Fundamentals

  • Total GDP: US$ 1.929 trillion
  • GDP per capita: US$ 10.152 (2007)

Source: CIA World Book

gdp x population china
GDP x PopulationChina

Economic Fundamentals

US$

Source: IMF * Estimate

gdp x population brazil
GDP x PopulationBrazil

Economic Fundamentals

US$

Source: IBGE * Estimate

foreign debt china
Foreign DebtChina

Economic Fundamentals

Source: JP Morgan * Estimate

foreign debt brazil
Foreign DebtBrazil

Economic Fundamentals

Source: Central Bank of Brazil *MAR/2008

slide13

Economic Fundamentals

International ReservesChina

Source: People’s Bank of China * Estimate

slide14

Economic Fundamentals

International ReservesChina

US$ Trillion

1,9

1,5

Source: People’s Bank of China * Estimate

slide15

Economic Fundamentals

International ReservesBrazil

Source: Central Bank of Brazil and Financial Times * Estimate

slide16

Economic Fundamentals

International ReservesBrazil

US$ Billion

Sources: Central Bank of Brazil and Financial Times * Estimate

slide17

Economic Fundamentals

Evolution of Inflation China (%)

Source: IMF * Estimate

slide18

Economic Fundamentals

Evolution of Inflation Brazil (%)

Source: Central Bank of Brazil * Estimate

slide19

Economic Fundamentals

Chinese Foreign Direct Investments Abroad

US$ Billion

Source: People’s Bank of China

slide20

Economic Fundamentals

Brazilian Foreign Direct Investments Abroad

US$ Billion

Source: Central Bank of Brazil * in JAN 2008

slide21

Economic Fundamentals

Brazilian Foreign Direct Investments Abroad

US$ Billion

Source: Central Bank of Brazil * in JAN 2008

slide22

Economic Fundamentals

Foreign Direct Investments in Brazil

US$ Billion

Source: Central Bank of Brazil *Estimate

slide23

Economic Fundamentals

Foreign Direct Investments in Brazil

US$ Billion

Source: Central Bank of Brazil *Estimate

slide24

Economic Fundamentals

Foreign Direct Investments in China

Sources: Ministry of Commerce of Popular Republic of China

US- China Business Council

* FDI statistics explicitly include financial and non-financial FDI

slide25

Economic Fundamentals

Chinese Direct Investments in Brazil

US$ Million

Source: Central Bank of Brazil

slide26

Economic Fundamentals

Chinese Direct Investments in Brazil

US$ Million

Source: Central Bank of Brazil * Estimate

slide27

Economic Fundamentals

US$ x YUAN

Source: People’s Bank of China

slide28

Economic Fundamentals

R$ x YUAN

Source: Central Bank of Brazil

slide29

Economic Fundamentals

R$ x US$

Source: Central Bank of Brazil

slide30

Economic Fundamentals

World’s Interest Rates – July 2008

Source: World Bank

slide31

Economic Fundamentals

Sources of Energy

Source: Brazilian Ministry of Mines and Energy

slide32

Economic Fundamentals

Oil Production in Brazil

  • 2005 – 1.85 million barrels a day
  • 2006 – Brazil achieves self sufficiency in oil
  • 2007 – Discovery of Tupi oilfield with estimated 10 billion of barrels of oil.The discovery could double the Brazilian reserves. Discovery of Iara oilfield with 5 million barrels of oil.
  • 2008 – Discovery of Carioca oilfield with estimated 70 billion barrels of oil. Discovery puts Brazil\'s oil reserves among the world\'s largest 1
  • 2010 – 3.4 million barrels a day 2

Sources: (1) Financial Times, July 08, 2008; and (2) Petrobras

slide33

Economic Fundamentals

Economic Fundamentals

Economic Fundamentals

Economic Fundamentals

World´s Oil Reserves

In Billion of Barrels

Sources: The Economist and Financial Times

slide34

Economic Fundamentals

Oil Production and Demand in China

Source: CIA Factbook

slide35

Economic Fundamentals

Brazilian Agribusiness

Source: Icone Brasil

slide36

Economic Fundamentals

Brazilian Agribusiness

  • GDP of Brazil´s APIB do Agribusiness was US$ 316 billion in 2007, having grown 5,52% in relation to 2006.
  • Brazilian Agribusiness represented in 2007 30% of the country´s total GDP, 37% of jobs and 35% of total exports.
  • In 2007, the balance of trade of the Brazilian Agribusiness was positive in US$ 50 billion.

Source: Icone Brasil

slide37

Economic Fundamentals

World´s Areas per Expansion of Agriculture

In hectares

394

269

220

176

169

138

76

71

Source: FAO/IBGE

slide38

Foreign Trade

Totals China

US$ Trilion

Source: Ministry of Commerce of People´s Republic of China * Estimate

slide39

Foreign Trade

Totals China

US$ Trillion

Source: Ministry of Commerce of People´s Republic of China * Estimate

slide40

Foreign Trade

Totals Brazil

US$ Billion

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry – MDIC * Estimate

slide41

Foreign Trade

Totals Brazil

US$ Billion

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry – MDIC * Estimate

slide42

Foreign Trade

Brazilian Trade Balance with China

US$ Billion

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry – MDIC * Estimate

slide43

Foreign Trade

Brazilian Trade Balance with China

US$ Bilhões

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry- MDIC * up to Aug /2008

slide44

Foreign Trade

Main Brazilian Exports to China

US$ Million

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry – MDIC * Estimate of Jul /2008

slide45

Foreign Trade

Main Chinese Exports to Brazil

US$ Million

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry – MDIC * Estimate of Jul /2008

slide46

Foreign Trade

Chinese Current of Trade and its Markets

Source: Ministry of Commerce of People’s Republic of China JUN 2008

slide47

Foreign Trade

Brazilian Current of Trade and its Markets

Source: MDIC AUG 2008

slide48

Foreign Trade

Chinese Imports by Origin

Source: Ministry of Commerce of People’s Republic of China JUN 2008

slide49

Foreign Trade

Brazilian Imports by Origin

Source: MDIC AUG 2008

slide50

Foreign Trade

Chinese Current of Trade by Economic Blocs

Source: Ministry of Commerce of People’s Republic of China JUN 2008

slide51

Foreign Trade

Brazilian Current of Trade by Economic Blocs

Source: MDIC AUG 2008

slide52

Foreign Trade

Brazilian Trade Balance of Agribusiness

US$ billion

* Estimate

slide53

Foreign Trade

Brazilian Trade Balance of Agribusiness

* Estimate

slide54

Foreign Trade

Main Destinations of Brazil’s Agricultural Exports

Source: Instituto de Economia Aplicada - IEA

slide55

Foreign Trade

Main Destinations of Brazil´s Agricultural Exports

Source: Instituto de Economia Aplicada - IEA

slide56

Foreign Trade

Main Brazilian Agribusiness Products Exported to China

Source: Instituto de Economia Aplicada - IEA

slide57

Foreign Trade

Main Importers of Brazilian Soya (%)

Source: Instituto de Economia Aplicada - IEA

slide58

Some Market Aspects

Stock Exchange Markets

slide60

Some Market Aspects

Steel Production Growth Projection for 2008

  • Brazil – 10%
  • China – 10,8%
slide61

Some Market Aspects

Naval Industry

  • In 2007, Brazilian Naval Industry Grew 74%;
  • By 2011, China will be the world´s largest manufacturer of bulk carriers and the second largest in oil tankers.
brazil s aeroplane trade us million fob

Some Market Aspects

Brazil’s Aeroplane Trade (US$ Million FOB)

Source: Development, Industry and Trade Ministry - MDIC

slide63

Some Market Aspects

World’s Availability of Fresh Water

Sources: Agência Nacional das Águas do Brasil and Embassy of the Popular Republic of China in Brazil

slide64

Some Market Aspects

Unemployment rate in Brazil

Months of April, May and June – 2002 to 2008

Source: IBGE

slide65

Some Market Aspects

Unemployment in China

Sources: CIA World Factbook , The Economist

slide66

Market Aspects

Brazil\'s Social Development: Growth of Class C

% of Population

48%

36%

34%

Sources: Ipsos Public Affairs and Financial Institution Celetem

bilateral sino brazilian cooperation
Bilateral Sino Brazilian Cooperation

Political

World Trade

Agriculture

Health

Energy

Microelectronics

Informatics

Space

slide68

NORONHA ADVOGADOS

Located in one of the main financial centers of the city, the São Paulo office is the head office of Noronha Advogados and the oldest, having been opened in June 1978.

It concentrates the highest number of professionals and is the centre for the firm’s administrative and financial departments.

Address:

Rua Alexandre Dumas, 1630CEP: 04717-004 São Paulo SP Brasil

Phone: (55-11) 5188-8090Fax: (55-11) 5184-0097(55 11) 5184-2471

Contact:   

Durval de Noronha Goyos Júnior

slide69

NORONHA ADVOGADOS IN LONDON

Noronha Advogados have had a presence in London since 1988.

Today, the firm assists clients of various nationalities wishing to do business in the United Kingdom, as well as the European Union. It also assists clients interested in business opportunities in Brazil.

The office has a wide range of international professionals, capable of practicing law in different European jurisdictions, as well as in Brazil.

4th floor, 193/195 Brompton RoadSW3 1NE London England Phones:       

Tel: (20) 7581-5040  Fax:(20) 7581-8002Email: [email protected]

Contact:   

Vera Helena de Moraes Dantas

[email protected]

Winnie Pang Xiofang

[email protected]

slide70

NORONHA ADVOGADOS

The Noronha Advogados office in Shanghai was opened in April 2001 and has a team of lawyers with fluency in English, Mandarin and Portuguese.

Address:

450 Fushan Road

Suntime International Mansion,

14th floor –Room F

200122 Pudong, Xangai, China Phone: (86-21) 6876-6311 Fax: (86-21) 6876-6312

Contact:   Gustavo Jacobina Rabello [email protected]

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