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The Energy Challenge; Is sustainabilty within sight

The Energy Challenge; Is sustainabilty within sight. TCM. Dr. Nils A. Røkke Director Climate Change Technologies SINTEF CESAER, Trondheim15 October 2010. SWAY. REC. SINTEF and NTNU - “Symbiosis at work”. Number of employees: 2175 Annual turnover (2009): 340 Million €

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The Energy Challenge; Is sustainabilty within sight

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  1. The Energy Challenge; Is sustainabilty within sight TCM Dr. Nils A. Røkke DirectorClimateChange Technologies SINTEF CESAER, Trondheim15October 2010 SWAY REC

  2. SINTEF and NTNU - “Symbiosis at work” Number of employees: 2175 Annual turnover (2009): 340 Million € Main funding is from industrial contract research, 7% basic public funding SINTEF - Scandinavia’s largest R&D Institute Founded 1950 by NTNU as a Foundation- non-profit A technological cluster with education, basic & applied research, innovations and business developments - covering 3600 of the society

  3. CenBio Centres ofEnvironmentalFriendly Energy (CEER) in SINTEF and NTNU BIGCCS – Int’ CCS R&D Centre NOWITECH • An R&D effortof million 200€ over 8 yrs • International co-operation • Unique R&D infrastructuredevelopment • Approx 110 Phd students and • Post doc’s The Norwegian CE for Solar Cell Technology

  4. The energychallenge and thesustainabiltycriterion • The Brundtland report defined sustainable development as • "meet present needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs“ Or even simpler (Gillman) • “do onto future generations as you would have them do onto you.“ • For Energy this means: • Meeting the demand for energy at present and not hamper the possibility to do so for future generations taking care of • Economy • Society • Environment

  5. Howarewedoingtodayvizsustainabilty • Do we meet the present needs, and the future?, electricity case IEA WEO2009

  6. Sustainableenergymix?

  7. Sustainableenergymix? NO! 15% 5% 80% WEO 2008

  8. Main unsustainabilityissues Reuters We do not meet the energy demands of today, there is a huge poverty issue The energy we use is based on unsustainable sources, clearly fossil fuels will run dry in the medium to long term The impact of energy conversion on the environment is unsustainable, short term remedies can be put in place but we are even changing our global framework - the atmosphere There is as such an urgent need to take actions to deliver the planet to the next generation “as we would have liked them to deliver it to us”

  9. An uncomfortablecurve! IEA WEO2009 9

  10. International Energy Agency – suggesting a lowcarbondiet Reductionneeded to keep global warmingwith 2-3 degrees IEA ETP2010

  11. Let’slook at thebright side oflife Abbot, 2010 Canwe at leastrecoversomeofthesustainability lost and mitigate? Whatdoes it take to move in thisdirection? No shortageof power

  12. A shift from fossil to environmentalfriendlyenergyneeded Observations: Less demand in 2050 than 2007 for fossil fuels Fuelswitchingplays a role Presumestechnologydevelopment ETP2010

  13. Power production, facilitatingtheelectricsociety • Observations: • Mix dependent onstrategicdecisions • nuclear? • useof gas • Main RES contributors • Solar • Wind • Hydro ETP2010

  14. Power production, facilitatingtheelectricsociety Observations: Massive deploymentneeded No silverbullet Rate today is minute ETP2010

  15. Technology Road Maps – Wind power Observations: 12% of GEP in 2050 Offshore windpower ties in around 2020 ETP2010

  16. Technology Road Maps – Cars Observations: Gradual feed in of hybrids, plug-in hybrids, FEV and H2 poweredcars Transport difficult to transform, biofuels have littlerole, use for trucks and air transport ETP2010

  17. X

  18. CO2Capture and Storage (CCS) IEA CCS Roadmap ”Key Message: CCS is not just about cleaner coal: a number of sectors will need to develop CCS to achieve the BLUE Map scenario’s emission targets”

  19. Technology Road Maps – SMART GRIDS - 2050 Observations: Backbone for facilitatingtheelectricsociety ETP2010

  20. Goodnews – it’s a profitable route! Observations: Efficiencygainsmeans less energycosts Less demand for keyenergy carriers stabilisesprices Hydrocarbonscan be used for other purposes ETP2010 Investment is approx 35% of 2010 US budget spending for 40 years

  21. Sustainable-otherbenefits! Observations: Most actionsincludeotherbenefits as well ETP2010

  22. Thereare positive movementsthough-weneed to growthem

  23. Is sustainabiltywithinsight? Weneed to invest to getonto a more sustainablepath, thesearebetterinvestmentsthanbanksavings or bonds More advancedtechnologiesareneeded, we must investmuch more intoeducation, R&D and deployment support for energytechnologies. Sustaineduseof fossil fuels is non-sustainable, anytechnologiesrelyingoncontinueduseof fossil fuelsarebridgingtechnologies Theyarehoweverurgentlyneeded as thetransplantationofthespine in ourenergy system must be of a fast transformationalratherthanrevolutionary nature. Energy is abundant onour planet- thelong term sustainablesolution is solar poweralbeitwemay have an issuewiththat in Trondheim The question is ifwewillact fast enough to hand over the planet to nextgenerations in a presentable condition, let’sworktogether!

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